2.4 Parties in context Flashcards
has 2 party dominance been eroded at westminister: yes
- Liberal Democrats won 23% of votes in 2010, they won 72 seats in 2024
- partisan dealignment, issue over class based voting means people vote for whats important to them, whatever the party
- SNP won 50% of the vote in Scotland in 2015 (but only 9 seats in 2024)
- Reform UK won 5 seats in 2024
has 2 party dominance been eroded at Westminister: no
- 2017: 2 main parties held 82.4% of the vote and 87% of the seats in Westminister
- Liberal Democrats support plummeted since 2015
- SNP only used decisively to support the government.
different types of party systems…
- one party - authoritarian most likely
- dominant party - only one is realistically going to win
- two party system
- multiparty system
factors that contribute to a party’s success or failure
- popularity of the leader
- ‘spatial leadership’ where a leader seperates themselves from the party to encourage faith in the leader
eg. Margaret Thatcher won 3 general elections
eg. Tony Blair supported by all age groups
factors that contribute to a party’s success or failure
media relationship + examples
- nick clegg was so popular in 2010 the term ‘cleggmania’ was commonly used.
bad example: - jeremy corbyn had anti-semitism allegations against him
- isnt always relevant, Neil Kinnock and Peter Mandelson worked hard to remove bad relationship with the media, but still lost to Thatcher in 1987.
factors that contribute to a party’s success or failure
record in government
- reputation for governing competence boosts likelihood for success
eg. Macmillan won 1959 General Election due to a period of economic prosperity
bad eg. Kwasi Kwarteng tax cutting September 2022 ruined his and Lizz Truss reputation
factors that contribute to a party’s success or failure
record in opposition
if a party effectively exposes government policy, they are much more liked.
- eg. Tony Blair undermined divisions within John majors party over the EU
- bad eg. Michael Foot failed to do this with Thatcher
factors that contribute to a party’s success or failure
Funding + Organisation
funding doesnt dictate success. Conservatives lost 3 times to New Labour despite having more funding
- organisation is more important. New Labour had a coherent political message.
- another eg. 2019 Conservatives targeted traditional labour seats effectively.
factors that contribute to a party’s success or failure
Impact of relevant referendums
- eg. harold wilson promised EU referendum and won the general election
- eg. 2016 EU referendum meant conservative divisions and resignation of Cameron and May as PM
factors that contribute to a party’s success or failure
Policy Statements or manifesto commitments
eg. 1979 conservative manifesto promise to allow right to buy increased support 15% among C2 voters.
- eg. David Cameron’s commitment to EU referendum meant fewer votes were lost to UKIP in 2010
two types of politics?
consensus vs adversary
minor parties are increasingly dominant in devolved governments… examples
- scottish parliament 2021: SNP won 64 seats
- Stormont 2022: Sinn Fein won 27 seats
- power is shared more equally in devolved legislatures
is the UK a multiparty democracy?
yes
- regional dominance
- since 2007 the SNP has governed whether independently or in a coalition in scottish parliament
- smaller parties increasingly dominant
- 2010 coalition,
- 2017 DUP confidence and supply agreement
is the UK a multiparty democracy?
no
- parliament is sovereign. SNP can’t call a 2nd independent referendum
- Liberal Democrats influence has collapsed in recent years, in 2019 they had 11 MPs
- for more than 100 years labour or conservatives have been in power.