1 Flashcards

1
Q

Supply > demand

A

Prices tend to fall as consumers have a greater choice of cheaper alternatives

  • producers’ lower prices (reduce profits) to remain competitive
  • fall in prices may lead to a demand which benefit produces in the long run
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2
Q

Supply < demand

A

Prices are likely to increase

  • generally, they perceive there is no alternative available
  • others may not be willing to pay more and simply switch to another wine or alcoholic drink altogether
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3
Q

What are the contributing factors that are factored into the price of a bottle of wine? (Demand side)

What demand factors affect the price of a bottle of wine?

A

-social factors

-economics factors

-legislative and political factors

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4
Q

Factors influencing the demand for wine – social factors

What are the social factors that affect the demad for wine?

A

S H a R P

S -changes in spending patterns

H -consumption habits

R -changes in reputation

P -consumer preferences

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5
Q

Factors influencing the demand for wine – social factors

Describe snapshots of Consumption habits in recent hisory?

A

____ increased rapidly in the 1st part of 2000s

  • fall back in global financial crisis of 2008
  • graph- wine consumption is falling (France / Italy)
  • static (Germany) in traditional wine drinking countries

-increasing in USA & China

-US consumers more willing to embrace new tastes in last 20-30 years

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6
Q

2011 the US overtook France and Italy in wine consumption, what lead to that?

A

P I E

-improvements in wine Production in the domestic market

  • Increasing globalization of the food & drinks industry
  • consumer more able and willing to Embrace new tastes
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7
Q

Reasons for China’s consumption of wine increase?

A

-growing middle class

  • way to show status is by moving up from local drinks to wine
  • drink imported is better status
  • at first French but increasing elsewhere- Australia, Chile
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8
Q

Reasons for consumption of wine to be falling?

A

C H e R r Y

-changes in lifestyle- shorter mealtime, traditional of drinking at lunch is increasingly forbidden by employers

  • health concerns- increasing awareness of negative health effects
  • reduced availability of cheap wine
  • younger people drinking less- old fashioned & turn to other drinks – Spending less time in bars, contact friends through social media
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9
Q

Reasons for consumption of wine to be falling

Younger people drinking less wine because?

A

-drinking age to mid-thirties

  • regard wine as old fashioned -in Spain drinking Gin is old
  • have turned to other alcoholic drinks
  • eg. UK _____ spend less time in bars and not prefer contact with friends via social media
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10
Q

Reasons for consumption of wine to be falling

Health concerns

A
  • increasing awareness of the negative health affects
  • usually due to the Gov campaigns or policies
  • Loi Evin in France contributed to a significant drop in wine consumptions

The alcohol policy law, the Loi Evin, was passed in France in 1991 in order to control the advertising of alcohol and tobacco.

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11
Q

Reasons for consumption of wine to be falling

Changes in lifestyle

A

Often less time for longer meals where wine would be consumed

Consuming alcohol during the workday becoming increasingly forbidden

-changing culture

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12
Q

Reasons for consumption of wine to be falling

Reduced availability of cheap wine

A
  1. traditional wine producing countries have been taking steps to reduce over-production
    - eg Vine Pull schemes
    - resulting in small volumes of wine but better quality
  2. some countries have just simply switched to other, cheaper alcoholic drinks
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13
Q

Factors influencing the demand for wine – social factors

Consumer preferences

A
  • increase in rose – especially in US
  • increase in Prosecco sales in UK
  • increase in sparkling wine globally (despite reduced wine consumption)
  • increase demand for lower alcohol wine (fortified wine down)
  • decreased demand for medium sweet German wines Liebfraumilch -had been popular in US & UK in 50s-70s.
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14
Q

Factors influencing the demand for wine – social factors

Consumer reputation

A
  • as the ____ grows of a produce or a wine grower the demand will also increase & justify higher prices
  • good reviews from publication/ critics

-key opinion leaders

-television series, music lyrics, celebrity lifestyles

-peer opinions & behaviors

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15
Q

Define Price sensitive markets?

A

A market where customers are unwilling to spend more than the lowest price possible

Germany &UK

-fierce competition / can make market unprofitable for producers

-often reluctant to pass on increases in production costs for fear of losing consumer- brand loyalty

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16
Q

Factors influencing the demand for wine – social factors

Consmumer generlly have what two Spending patterns phillosophies?

A

Lowest $— Price-sensitive markets- customers willing to only pay the lowest price

Most value—- Premiumisation market – the action or process of attempting to make a brand or product appeal to consumers by emphasizing superior quality & exclusivity

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17
Q

Premiumisation market – define

A

the action or process of attempting to make a brand or product appeal to consumers by emphasizing superior quality & exclusivity

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18
Q

Describe the trend for premiumsation?

A

Customers (in US and price-sensitive like UK) are willing to pay more for individual bottles of wine

  • Because they are buying less wine in volume
  • Better quality buyers àUS
  • Willing to pay more for something perceived to be better quality than the cheapest option
  • willing to pay more for less bottles of better wine
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19
Q

Factors influencing the demand for wine- economic factors

What are the economic factors that affect the demand for wine?

A

F a C E

-fluctuation in the currency exchange

-changes to the market

-economy strength

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20
Q

Factors influencing the demand for wine- economic factors

How does the strength of the economy affcet the demand for wine?

A

-wines sales will change w/ changing disposable income

Recession: consumers trade down to cheaper wines or switch to less expensive alcoholic drinks

2008- Champagned demand shrank & Prosecco grew

Growing disposable income: China’s middle-class buying Bordeaux and Burgundy increased

21
Q

Factors influencing the demand for wine- economic factors -fluctuating currency exchange

-if exporting currency gaines value compared to importing country?

A

Exporting counrty has options of:

  • increase the price of the wine (risk losing sales)
  • price stable & loose profit
22
Q

Factors influencing the demand for wine- economic factors -fluctuating currency exchange

-if exporting currency looses value compared to importing country?

A

-exporting country has optons of:

  • lower price of wine and boost sales
  • keep it stable & improve profits for future investments
  • week currency environment means cost to producers are more to import equipment and supplies (barrels, corks, yeasts)
23
Q

Factors influencing the demand for wine- economic factors

-changes to the market

A

Products entering and exiting markets changes demands

  • creates opportunity for competition for similar products
  • Introduction of new lower priced or better value wine may cause a fall in demand for other similar products
24
Q

Factors influencing the demand for wine- legislative and political factors

A

W I L T in G

  • wine laws
  • international trade
  • laws prohibiting or limiting the sale of alcohol
  • taxation
  • government policies to reduce alcohol consumption
25
Q

Factors influencing the demand for wine- legislative and political factors

-laws prohibiting or limiting the sale of alcohol

A

Some countries completely prohibit sales of alcohol

-some restrict/ tightly control à limit by state owned monopolies

-USA’s three tier system

  • such controls inevitably limited supply & increase prices
  • Or have a minimum drinking age & hours of day
26
Q

Factors influencing the demand for wine- legislative and political factors

-government policies to reduce alcohol consumption

A

-Excessive drinking is a concern in many countries

-illnesses, and injuries caused by regular or heavy consumption

France- Loi Evin introduced in 1991 restricts Advertising

Scotland- 1st to introduce ‘minimum unit pricing’ reduce the availability of cheap alcohol. (a particular size, abv must cost$$)

Most countries impose a BAC blood Alcohol Concentration

Tightening the drink-drive laws

27
Q

Factors influencing the demand for wine- legislative and political factors

-taxation

A

One side- higher price for consumer / other side – revenue generator

  • Sales tax (known as VAT in EU) paid at the point of sale
  • specific excise duties or taxes on alcohol paid at manufacture

Level of duty may vary between categories of drink – influence demand

Eg: Ireland duty on still 3.2/ bottle and sparkling 6.37 has reduce demand for sparking

Wine Investment Companies- some duty decreases in certain markets making it more competitive 2008 Hong Kong aimed to become trading hub of East Asia

28
Q

Factors influencing the demand for wine- legislative and political factors

-international trade

A

-tariffs on imported goods- some case revenue / also protectionism policy intended to encourage the sale of domestic rather than imported

-free trade area (all of EU within themselves) making nonmembers more expensive/ make agreements to reduce tariff trade

-Tariffs still payable by non-members making them comparably more expensive

-trade wars can result in negative feelings among customer, when tariff lifted, consumers may not switch buying habits back

29
Q

Factors influencing the demand for wine- legislative and political factors

-international trade- tariff examples

A

Australia- tariffs are payable on goods imported into EU

UK may experience this when/if they leave the EU

Australian wine will be less expensive to the UK then

  • Argentina 2010 made trade restrictions which limited winery equip, (barrels, cork, yeast) making production more expensive & slowed foreign investment
  • US/China trade war
30
Q

Factors influencing the demand for wine- legislative and political factors

-international trade- protection examples

A

can be for political or economic reasons

-can cause negative feelings among customers even when restrictions are lifted

31
Q

Factors influencing the demand for wine- legislative and political factors

-wine laws

A

Creation of Geo Indications (GIs) such as Protected Denominations of Origin (PDO) or PGIs can impact supply

  • creation of a GI increase recognition & demand from region
  • EU restrict producers = certain grape, production method, maturation vs. outside EU no limited can change to fit consumers
32
Q

Factors influencing the demand for wine- legislative and political factors

-wine laws In EU vs. Outside EU?

A

-In EU PDO rules limit produces to certain varieties, production methods, maturation periods…..

Outside EU -produces are rarely subject to limitation

Free to react more quickly to change in marked/ preferences

  • legal can change slowly -sometimes not:
  • China 2012 wanted to stop practice of Lavish gifting which often included premium wines -sales of less expensive wine grew, premium sales dropped
33
Q

What are the contributing factors that are factored into the price of a bottle of wine? (supply side)

A

P L O W I n G M T S

  • Production -Growing costs
  • Legislation -Marketing costs
  • Over/ Under -Transportation costs
  • Winemaking costs -Sales Costs
  • Importation costs
34
Q

Factors influencing Supply of wine

-production – what are the influencing factors of supply?

A

C A V E H A N

reasons for loss other

  • Conversion to other uses -Human factors
  • Abandon rural area -Area under vine
  • Vine pull schemes -Natural Factors
  • EU restriction on planting new vineyards
35
Q

Factors influencing Supply of wine

-production – area under vine factors?

A

Generally speaking, the greater area ____ the more produced

  • Contrast has been outside of Europe which largely has new vineyard (particularly China) now 2nd largest ______
36
Q

Factors influencing Supply of wine

-production – reasons for loss of vineyard land?

A

C A V E

Conversion of vineyard land to other uses

Abandonment of rural areas

Vine pull schemes

EU restriction on planting new vineyards

37
Q

Factors influencing Supply of wine

-production - Vine pull schemes

A

1980s- EU production > demand = surplus know as Wine Lake

EU paid growers to _______ poor quality vines in southern France, Italy, and Spain

  • resulted in several hundred thousand hectors of EU plants
  • technique has also been used in Australia, NZ and Argentina
38
Q

Factors influencing Supply of wine

-production - EU restrictions on planting new vineyards

A

EU had been part of a broader policy to reduce wine production

  • limiting plants on new vineyards
  • restriction have been relaxed
  • May start to grow again but in a controlled way

-effort to produce quality wine rather than excessive bulk wine

39
Q

Factors influencing Supply of wine

-production - Conversion of vineyard land to other uses

A

In parts of the world, wine grapes are low value agriculture crop

EG Elgin replace with apples = 5x more financial return than grapes

EG Madeira land bought for property development for tourist

EG Santa Clara Valley – bought property for business

40
Q

Factors influencing Supply of wine

-production -Abandonment of rural areas

A

Trend for younger people to leave _____ for work

  • reduce workforce for vineyards and some cases leaving family rural estates w/ no one to take over
  • rural economies are suffering from lack of labor and investment

Even in prestigious wine regions

41
Q

Factors influencing Supply of wine

-production human factors?

A

Modern techniques are also employed to increase production

-better site selection, clonal selection, improved canopy mgt, pest/ disease control

-modern winemaking tech = higher quality wine can be produced at a retail price consumers are willing to pay

42
Q

Factors influencing Supply of wine

-production human factors? A world example includes?

A

Spain has reduced Ha under vine but increased production

-relaxed irrigation laws- still maintain low density planting

-Increased use of modern higher density planting in certain areas

43
Q

Factors influencing Supply of wine

-Natural Factors

A
  • Variation in weather condition - EU particularly susceptail to vintage variation - 2017 combiantion of spirng frost, hailstorms, heat waves - volume fell 14%
  • longer term climate chnage- droughts in South Africa and CA
  • While voulme not necessarly correlated with quality, reduced yields lead to shortages and higher prices that consumers may not be will ing to pay
44
Q

Factors influencing Supply of wine

-legislation

A

-the main ____ influence on supply is the increase # of GIs

-OUTSIDE EU - that is as far as it goes AVA in USA

Wines of Origin in SA or GI in Australia

-AOPs of France and DOC/Gs of Italy dictate what grape in that area,

  • max yields winemaking production maturation tech
  • restrictions can further limit volume produced
45
Q

Factors influencing Supply of wine -legislation

-Aim of GIs?

A
  • to define the style of wine produced in a particular region
  • bring S &D more into line = reduce risk of downward price pressure
  • EG retails need Sauv Blanc from Marlbrough =less influence on price than looking for Sauv Blanc from world
  • EG where demand is rising – pressure to extend permitted production area dilution of quality b/c include vineyards with less favorable sites
46
Q

Factors influencing Supply of wine -legislation

-Aim of PDOs?

A

Helps to set and enforce the rules for EU

Also helps other roles such as marketing

-eg. Comité Champagne and the Sherry Consejo Regulador, actively limit the amount of wine so as to control supply and maintain price

47
Q

Factors influencing Supply of wine -legislation

-Aim of Vin de pays system?

A
  • some strict rules on PDO lead to some winemakers not able to compete w/ counterparts in less heavily regulated regions
  • in 1970s _______ formed the basis of the EU PGI
  • still need 85% form geo area
  • permit a wider range of varieties, less rules on viticulture and winemaking
48
Q

Factors influencing Supply of wine -production – natural factors? (weather variation)

How does weather variation affect the volume of grapes grown?

A
  • variation in weather impact volume produced
  • EU contains over half the world’s vineyards and will have major impact on global wine production
  • eg EU 2017 combo of devasting spring frost, hailstorms & severe heat resulted in 14% fall in production
49
Q

Factors influencing Supply of wine -production – natural factors? (changing climate)

How does climate change affect the volume of grapes grown?

A
  • eg drought in South Africa and CA
  • eg Chilean gov predict sever vineyard water shortage by 2050
  • yield reduction does not always correlate with quality, reduced yields will generally lead to lower production
  • Shortages cause higher prices which consumers are not always willing to pay, especially if adverse condition result in drop in quality