Week 21: (C) Emerging viral Diseases Flashcards
What is the R rate?
the average number of people 1 person will infect
What is the growth rate?
quickly the numbers of infections are changing day by day. If the growth rate is greater than 0 (+ positive), then the epidemic is growing. If the growth rate is less than 0 (- negative) then the epidemic is shrinking.
What is the difference between R rate and growth rate?
R alone does not tell us how quickly an epidemic is changing.
Different diseases with the same R can generate epidemics that grow at very different speeds.
For instance, 2 diseases, both with R=2, could have very different lengths of time for 1 infected individual to infect 2 other people; one disease might take years, while the other might take days.
What are the 2 strategies for dealing with Covid?
mitigation
suppression
What is mitigation strategy?
focuses on slowing but not necessarily stopping epidemic spread reducing peak healthcare
demand while protecting those most at risk of severe disease from infection,
reduce peak health care demand
What is suppression?
which aims to reverse epidemic growth, reducing case numbers to low levels and
maintaining that situation indefinitely.
What are examples of mitigation?
optimal mitigation policies (combining home isolation
of suspect cases, home quarantine of those living in the same household as suspect cases, and social
distancing of the elderly and others at most risk of severe disease)
How might mitigation reduce peak healthcare demand and deaths?
2/3 and deaths by half
What is the preferred strategy option?
suppression
What is the major challenge with suppression?
this type of intensive intervention package, or something
equivalently effective at reducing transmission will need to be maintained until a vaccine becomes
available (potentially 18 months or more), given that we predict that transmission will quickly rebound
if interventions are relaxed
What are features of Covid DNA?
Contain a positive sense, single stranded RNA
genome of 27-32 kb
What is S, E, M and N?
The 3’ terminal 1/3 of the genome encodes
structural proteins including envelope
glycoprotein spike (S), envelope (E),
membrane (M) and nucleocapsid (N)
What are features of the 5’ end terminal?
The 5’ terminal 2/3 of the genome encodes a polyprotein, pp1ab which is further cleaved into
16 non-structural proteins involved in genome
replication and transcription
What type of RNA does COVID have?
positive sense
What is directly translated in COVID?
ORF1a produces pp1a
What cleaves up the pp1a protein?
viral protein
3CLpro
its a protease
What does 3CLpro do?
cute the viral protein up into its constituent parts
What does ORF1a and ORF1b produce?
pp1ab
How are proteins 12, 13, 14, 15 and 16 on pp1ab produced?
by ribosomal frame shifting