W105 Risk Management; W113 Problem Solving Flashcards
W105 - Per JP 3-0. Risk Management is a process of…
Identifying, assessing and controlling risks arising from operational factors and making decisions that balance risk cost with mission benefits.
Ultimate goal of Risk Management is…
Prevent Unnecessary loss.
Two types of Risk Management are…
Deliberate and Real-time
Type of Risk Management that is available in ample time to apply the five-step process as part of detailed planning for an operation.
Deliberate RM
Risk Management that requires immediate management of hazards as they occur.
Real-Time RM
The 4 principles of Risk Management
Integrate RM into all phases of missions/operations.
Make risk decisions at the appropriate level.
Accept no unnecessary risk.
Apply RM cyclically and continuously.
Who determines to accept or not accept the risk(s) associated with an action he or she will take or will direct others to take?
Commander, leaders and the individual.
he level of risk the responsible commander is willing to accept is called what?
Risk tolerance
Any risk that, if taken, will not contribute meaningfully to mission accomplishment or will needlessly endanger lives/resources.
Unnecessary risk
Five steps to cyclical and continuous risk management
Identify the hazard. Assess the hazards. Develop controls and make risk decisions. implement controls. Supervise and evaluate.
The identification and assessment of hazards is…
Risk assessment
What of the 5 cyclical and continuous risk management process are management steps?
- Develop controls and make risk decisions.
- Implement Controls
- Supervise and evaluate.
A condition with the potential to cause injury, illness or death of personnel, damage to or loss of equipment or property; or mission degradation (JP 3-33)
Hazard
What is METT-TC
Mission, Enemy, Terrain and weather, Troops, Time and civilian considerations.
List some tools/resources used to identify hazards:
Experience and experts. Regulations, manuals, SOP and policies. Accident data from U.S. Combat Readiness War-gaming/what if Data from risk assessment matrices Readiness assessment Cause and effect diagrams Change analysis Energy trace and barrier analysis Logic diagrams Mapping AAR
Type of score that assesses the odds (probability) of something going wrong and the effect (severity) of the incident when it occurs.
Risk Level
Probability is…
The likelihood that an event would occur.
List the levels of Risk ( 5 )
Frequent (A) Likely (B) Occasional (C) Seldom (D) Unlikely (E)
______ is the expected consequences of an event in terms of injury, property damage, or other mission-impairing factors.
Severity
List the levels of Severity (4)
Catastrophic (I)
Critical (II)
Moderate (III)
Negligible (IV)
An assessment that is both Frequent and Critical/Catastrophic; Likely and Catastrophic.
Extremely High Risk (EH)
a _____ is an action taken to eliminate a hazard or to reduce its risk.
Control
Three forms of Controls
Educational (Awareness) Controls
Physical Controls
Hazard Elimination Controls
For a control to be effective, it must meet the following criteria.
Feasibility
Acceptability
Suitability
What is residual risk level?
level of risk remaining after re-assessing the mitigating effects of the implemented controls.
The level of risk remaining after re-assessing the mitigating effects of the implemented controls.
Residual Risk Level
_______ ________ is a critical component of Risk Management when identifying hazards.
Situational Understanding.
A _______ is an issue or obstacle that makes it difficult to achieve a desired goal or end state.
Problem
Easy to identify type of problems, the required information is available and methods to solve them are somewhat obvious.
Well-Structured Problems
Type of problem that is more interactively complex than well-structured problems.
Medium-structured problem
Problems of mathematics and time/space relationships would be an example of what type of problem? (W113)
Well-Structured problems
Complex, nonlinear and dynamic problems are called what?
Ill-structured problems
Type of problem that most leaders down agree on how to solve. By its nature, leaders argue weather or not they are even solvable.
Ill-Structured problems
T or F; Not all problems require lengthy analysis.
True
What are the two terms often associated with problem solving?
Critical reasoning (thinking) Creative Thinking
The 7 steps of the Army’s approach to problem solving
Gather information/knowledge Identify the problem Develop criteria Generate possible solutions Analyze possible solutions Compare solutions Make and implement the decision
T or F; Gathering information and knowledge continues throughout the problem solving process.
True
Reliable pieces of information that have objective reality are called…
facts
An ________ is a supposition on the current situation or a presupposition on the future course of events, either or both assumed to be true in the absence of positive proof.
Assumption
T or F; While seeking to identify a problems root cause, ONLY focus on the surface symptoms.
False
Five things a leader must answer for when trying to identify the root cause of a problem.
Who is affected What does it affect When did it occur Where is the problem Why did it occur
A statement that clearly describes the problem to be solved.
Problem statement
Leaders use ______ _______ to ensure solutions they consider can solve the problem.
Screening criteria
Five questions asked as Screening Criteria.
Is it suitable as a solution? Is it feasible? Is it acceptable? Is it distinguishable? Is it complete?
______ is based on relevant examples of prior success.
Historical precedent
_______ is based on personal experience and judgement as to what is good.
Reasoning
_______ ______ is based on an existing condition, which is considered desirable.
Current Example
_______ is based on the mathematical average of the solutions being considered.
Averaging
Leaders analyze possible solutions to problems by determining its _____ and ________.
Merits and drawbacks
Problem Solving Roadblocks
Fear of Failure Tunnel Vision Over Seriousness Over Certainty Binding customers Fear of the unknown Command pressure Failure to properly identify the problem Failure to communicate with others Lack of adequate information for assumptions Not identifying all of the players Not specifying the desired end state
