voting behaviour Flashcards

1
Q

voting behaviour can be separated into _ factors

A

3

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2
Q

the 3 factors that VB can be separated into are

A

social factors
political context
media

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3
Q

give examples of social factors

A

class
region
age
ethnicity
education
gender

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4
Q

give examples of political context

A

governing competence
leadership
campaigns
issues

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5
Q

give examples of media

A

opinion polls
TV
social media

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6
Q

what is partisan dealignment

A

described the way in which voters since the 1970’s have abandoned traditional class based party loyalties and instead vote based on their impressions of the governments competence + the salience of specific issues

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7
Q

in ____ class was important in determining the result of the election as labour won ___% of __ voters and the conservatives won __% of __ voters

A

1964
64% of DE voters
78% of AB voters

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8
Q

an example of partisan dealignment in the 1970 election is

A

many WC labour supporters chose to vote conservative in 1970 election as Enoch Powells ‘rivers of blood’ speech (1968) caused significant numbers of white WC to believe conserv would have better immigration control

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9
Q

what was Enoch Powells speech called and when was it

A

1968
‘rivers of blood’

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10
Q

what is an example of when a party leader was able to broaden their party’s appeal (leadership)

A

Thatcher 1979 broaden party support beyond core supporters with ‘right to buy’ campaign

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11
Q

what was Thatchers ‘right to buy’ campaign

A

let you buy your council property

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12
Q

social class has declined in importance because …..

A

people now vote in regards to issues rather than class + people also consider the competence of the government

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13
Q

give a prime example of issue based voting

A

2017 , AB voters voted labour because conservs seen as pro Brexit

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14
Q

expand on the social factor region

A
  • there is a north - south divide in UK voting behaviour
  • urban/ rural divide lab does better in large cities conserv does better in rural areas
  • people in urban environment see effect of poverty so likely to support high taxes
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15
Q

recent elections show the declining importance of regional voting as ….

A

voters tend to cast their vote based on issues rather than regional loyalties

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16
Q

give examples of people voting based on issues rather than region

A

2019 Corbyn surrounded by allegations/detached from core supporters conservs took 5 key constituencies in the North East including Tony Blairs former sedgefield seat,

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17
Q

why is conservative support weak in London

A

city largely voted remain in 2016
cost of home ownership has gone up

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18
Q

where are Liberal Democrats most popular

A

in the south where there is a long tradition of non conformity

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19
Q

true or false age is a social factor

A

true

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20
Q

policies which appeal to older voters include

A

lower taxation
strong national defence
law and order

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21
Q

younger voters are more concerned with …

A

issues e.g. social justice & the environment

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22
Q

age is significant in determining voting behaviour e.g. ___ is the pivotal age we switch from supporting ____ to ______

A

47
labour , conservative

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23
Q

Conservative party benefits more from older people than lab does from younger people why is this

A

young people are less likely to vote than older people who cast their ballots regularly

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24
Q

sometimes the main parties are able to reach beyond their core age support give an example of this

A

1997 labour achieve a 5% lead over the conservatives among voters aged 65+

25
Q

true or false ethnicity is a social factor

A

true

26
Q

historically commonwealth immigrants were more likely to vote ____ because they were in the social class ___ , ___ & ___

A

labour
C2, D & E

27
Q

____ has had a clear advantage over the ______ in the support of ethnic minorities

A

labour , conservatives

28
Q

what are the 4 valence factors

A

campaigns
manifesto
leadership
governing competence

29
Q

valence factors inform ….

A

peoples judgment about the competence of the government & opposition

30
Q

give examples of times elections were won due to governing competence

A

1959 harold macmillan , conserv won 100 seat majority
1964 harold wilson , conservs shrouded in failures + scandals e.g. Profumo scandal 1963
1966 under wilson labour increased majority seats to over 100
1974 Edward heath plagued by miner strikes called a snap election & lost to lab
1979 strikes + misquoted Callaghan ‘crisis? what crisis?” lost power to thatcher coined “winter of discontent”

31
Q

explain the importance of Governing competence

A

if swing voters are reassured the govt is competent then they are less likely to vote for opposition parties but if the govt seems unable to cope with challenges then swing voters will be encouraged to vote in new govt

32
Q

give examples of years elections were won based on good leadership

A

1983, 2001, 2010, 2015

33
Q

why did Thatcher win in 1983

A

reputation for strong & focused leadership won over voters who might have voted lab , labs leader Michael foot looked out of touch

34
Q

why did Blair win in 2001

A

Blairs personality and charisma won voters away from the conservatives , weak + divided under Hague

35
Q

why did conservatives do better than labour in the 2010 election

A

Cameron succeeded in focusing election on increase of national debt under Brown , wasn’t able to achieve parliamentary majority Nick Clegg v popular at time

36
Q

UKIP won ___% of votes in 2015 due to their relentless focus on immigration which made it an issue among the ___

A

13%
WC

37
Q

explain the importance of leadership as a valence factor

A

a popular party leader can be v important in winning support even if they have negative approval ratings can still achieve high if they define their advantage to the public

38
Q

give examples of good campaigning that affected voting behaviour

A

1992 John major used ‘soapbox politics’ effective so won labour votes
2017 Corbyn led campaign similar to major appealed directly to the people contrasting Mays approach

39
Q

give examples of bad campaigning that affected voting behaviour

A

1983 campaign socialist rhetoric of labour applied only to core supporters

40
Q

campaigns are not as important as _____ _____ or ______ in determining voting behaviour

A

governing competence , leadership

41
Q

give an example of when governing competence & leadership have proved to be more important than campaigns

A

1987 labour campaign successful but did not win votes
2017 campaign successful but did not win

42
Q

____ voting is becoming increasingly important to voters

A

issue

43
Q

give an example of issue voting

A

1983 conserv warnings that lab would end ‘ right to buy’ scheme contributed to Thatchers landslide re-election

44
Q

what are the 4 elements of the UK media

A

opinion polls
the press
TV + radio
social media

45
Q

what are opinion polls

A

an assessment of public opinion by questioning a representative sample

46
Q

what are examples of opinion polls

A

yougov, ipsos mori

47
Q

give examples of times achieving a lead in the polls has not been helpful for a party

A

1992 polls told of labour support growing meaning more cons turned out
2015 polls predicted close race between cons & lab so con voters turned out

48
Q

the press tend to over ______ their role in general elections

A

exaggerate

49
Q

give examples of the press over exaggerating their role

A

1992 ‘its the sun wot won it’
1997 ‘the sun backs Blair’

50
Q

why is press not that important

A

often simply reinforce voting intentions rather than changing them + rapid decline of newspapers due to internet availability

51
Q

in 199_ there was __ million newspaper readers this saw a rapid decline and in 201_ there was ___ million newspaper readers

A

7
3.8 million newspaper
1.6 million newspaper

52
Q

the BBC and ITN are ____

A

impartial

53
Q

name three leaders who used TV to their advantage or disadvantage

A

harold macmillan (1957 - 1963)
Margaret Thatcher (1979 - 1990)
Tony Blair (1997 - 2007)

54
Q

how did harold macmillan use media to his advantage

A

appeared on BBC regularly before 1959 election

55
Q

how did TV become a disadvantage for Harold macmillan

A

he became a point of mockery for popular satirical programmes as an Edwardian figure (e.g. ‘that was the week that was’)

56
Q

how did Margaret Thatcher use TV to her advantage

A

softened her voice
wore bolder outfits
favoured appearing on sympathetic programmes

57
Q

how did Blair use TV to his advantage

A

during his years ‘spin’ became dominant
his press secretary Alistair Campbell understood importance of spinning a story
good composure e.g. ‘people’s princess’ tribute

58
Q

how did Blair undermine his relationship with the media

A

cash for honours scandal 2006 businessmen pay Blair x amount to make themselves a lord + other failures undermined positive media relationship