Veterinary Epidemiology - Epidemiological studies Flashcards
What is epidemiology
= the scientific study of the distribution (freq/pattern and determinants (i.e. causes and risk factors) of health (NOT just disease) in specified populations
- However, epidemiology has historically been concerned with disease prevention
- Epidemiology focuses on studying the health status of populations. The emphasis is on the population (more so than the individual)
what is the role of veterinary epidemiology
- To describe patterns of health and disease within populations
- To interpret the differences
- To apply our results to improve animal health and welfare and protect public health
- To evaluate the effect of interventions
two key factors in most veterinary epidemiological studies
- Exposure: the risk factor that can influence the outcome
(e.g. bushfire, exposure to another animal with disease)
~ Can be time variant or invariant (whether animal is male or female = not going to change over time) - Outcome: the disease or event of interest
We assume that exposures and outcomes are part of a intricate web of interactions.
challenges determining the populations at risk
- closed and open populations
- Closed population
~ no additions to study population,
~ few losses.
~ Rel. easy in controlled laboratory conditions.
~ Animals lost to the study are called withdrawals
Open population –
~ animals enter and leave the study population throughout study period e.g. cases of canine allergic dermatitis in a group of veterinary practices over one year
observational vs interventional epidemiology
- Observational
= patterns of health or disease in a population are described
~ no alterations are made to the factors that may influence these patterns - Two types of Observational epidemiology:
~ Descriptive : Measure the burden of disease in a population
~ Analytical : Investigate risk factors for a disease or outcome - observational - hard to interpret findings = measuring associations between exposures and outcomes
- even if demonstrate association = dont nessasarily mean exposure/risk factor caused the outcome
- Interventional epidemiology:
= randomized controlled trials RTCs or quasi-experimental designs
~ RTC - randomly allocated to treatmen/control group, animals folowed to see how many got outcome
~ Q - animals not randomly assigned to groups BUT there is experimental manipulation
(e.g. evaluate passibe immune transfer between cows that suckled from dam and separated immediately, cant comp randomise as if calf born at night unsure suckle from dam, artificially put calf in suckling group, see calf born = put into sep group)
Common study designs in epidemiology (how linked)
observational ~ descriptive ~ analytic - cohort study - cross-sectional study - case-control study
interventional
- randomised control trial
- quasiexperimental
cross sectional study
- about
- An observational study in which the measure of interest is prevalence (i.e. the number of cases that already exist in a population when the study begins)
- A sample is obtained, and the presence/absence of the outcome at the time of sampling is determined. The current or previous exposure is noted.
- For analysis, the prevalence in the exposed and non-exposed subjects is compared
cross sectional study
- advantages
- Basic structure is straightforward
- Good for initial hypothesis exploration (i.e. May be a useful first step in generating hypotheses for future studies)
- Can evaluate multiple exposures and diseases
- Relatively cheap and fast to carry out
cross sectional study
- disadvantages
- This study design doesn’t support causal inferences
~ Often difficult to determine if the “exposure” preceded the “outcome” when the timing of disease occurrence is unknown
(in order for exposure to cause disease = come before disease) - Inefficient if disease is rare or if there is a short duration of clinical signs or persistence of antibodies
(only 2 cases, difficult to relate to an exposure as too small subsample - Multiple biases possible (we will talk more about biases later)
- If lab tests are used, then the prevalence determined will depend upon the sensitivity and specificity of the test used
cohort study
- about
- Cohort: group that has a characteristic in common
- In epidemiological studies, the characteristic of interest is the exposure status (already exposed/unexposed)
- Cohorts (i.e. groups of study subjects) are selected based upon exposure (For example, a group of exposed animals is included and a group of unexposed animals is included)
- We would then observe the cohorts for a defined follow-up period and compare the incidence of disease in the groups. So, the subjects must NOT have the disease at the beginning of the follow-up period to be included
cohort study
- prospectively vs retrospectively
- In a prospective study, animals are selected based upon exposure status. Disease has not occurred in the study animals at the time the study starts
- In a retrospective study, the follow-up period has ended, and the disease event has occurred. (But cohorts are still selected based upon prior exposure and must have been healthy at beginning of follow-up)
cohort studies
- exposures
= Any potential risk factor of disease e.g. infectious agent, management factors, feed ingredient etc.
- Can be exposed or non-exposed (dichotomous variable); low, medium or high dose (ordinal scale); organisms per gramme of feed (continuous scale)
- Objective: Identify consequences of a specific exposure factor in terms of e.g., developing disease
cohort stidies
- advantages
- Can assess multiple outcomes (e.g., diseases) from a single exposure factor.
- Possible to assess temporality (we know that exposure has preceded disease).
- Less potential bias involved as all animals were disease-free to begin with
- If done well, prospective cohort studies provide the strongest evidence towards causality among the observational study designs (still, we would need a randomised controlled trial to prove causality)
cohort studies
- disadvantages
- Impractical for rare diseases (in other words, a large number of exposed animals would nee to be followed to detect just a few cases of disease)
- Impractical for diseases with a long incubation period (individuals would have to be followed for a long period of time)
- May lose subjects to follow-up during the study (e.g., due to sale or death of an animal)
- Can be expensive and lengthy before results can be obtained
case control study
- about
- Subjects are selected based upon the outcome (e.g., disease status). In other words, a group of cases and a group of non-cases (i.e. controls) are selected from a population
- Frequency of exposure in the cases is contrasted against frequency in the controls
- Case-control studies are retrospective (since the outcome has occurred when the study begins)