Variability, uncertainty and inferences Flashcards
data collected from humans is varied and this variability presents the challenge that any sample taken from the population is going to vary. What is this called?
sampling variation
the value used to represent the natural variation between participant scores and sample means =
standard deviation
what is standard deviation? (use words standardised and deviation)
it is the standardised measure of the amount of deviation we expect (the variation from the standard measure)
the SD accounts for the _______ variance and the mean difference between experimental conditions accounts for the _______ variance
unsystematic, systematic
what do we assess the effect (systematic variance) against?
how much of the total variance is unsystematic
what gives a graphical representation of variation in scores?
error bars
what do error bar graphs with 95% confidence interval provide?
an estimate of the effects we should find in a population e.g. we are 95% confident that the mean in the population will fall between the upper and lower CI
what do we look for in error bar graphs to be 95% certain?
there is no overlap between groups
what are the reasons that the sample mean will unlikely be the same as the population mean?
sampling error and unsystematic variation
estimate of the deviation between our sample mean and population mean = ?
standard error
what does a large standard error value indicate?
there is lots of variation
unsystematic variance = ? systematic variance = ?
error, effect
when running an inferential test we are looking at how much ____ and ____ there is
error (unsystematic variation), effect (systematic variation)
total amount of variance =
total unsystematic V (due to ppts differing) + total systematic V (due to experimental manipulation)
if there is more unsystematic variation what is the likely effect size and is there an effect?
unlikely to be an effect in pop > small effect size
uncertainty = ______ / ______
effect / error (mean difference/standard error) THIS PROVIDES THE T VALUE
what does the t test compare?
estimate of error against the effect (effect/error=t value)
from what value can we calculate the p value?
from the t value we can calculate the p value
whether we are likely to see an effect in the sample if there is no effect in the population =
p value