US Democracy and participation Flashcards
Which electoral system is used in the US for federal elections
FPTP
Outline the process of becoming president
1Announcement/invisable primary- 12-18 months before election day. It is an intra party campaign - candidates from the same party campaign to establish themselves as viable candidate for the party’s presidential nominee
2 primaries and caucuses- take place at state level between February and June. Candidates from the same party compete against each other in a public vote to decide who will be the party’s presidential candidate
3 national party conventions- in July, they confirm each party’s nominee for the president and vice president and agree a party platform (manifesto)
4 the campaign between July and November the announced candidate from each party campaigns for the presidency
5 election day - Tuesday after the first Monday in November. Voters are not directly electing the president they are nominating the electors from their state to the electoral college to whose their states electoral college vote will go
6 electoral college - on the Monday after the second Wednesday in December
7 inauguration- 20th January of the following year president is sworn in and officially takes on the role
What does the constitution state about the president
1 at least 35 years old
2 natural born US citizen
3 resident in US for more than 14 years
4 the 22nd amendment limits the president to 2 terms
Why is the election of US president not a direct election
The people are not voting for the president but for electors from their state who elect the president on their behalf
How does the electoral college work
1 each state is given a number of electoral college votes - total of 538 electoral college votes
2 number each state gets depends on their population - it is the same number as the senators plus the number of representitives the state has
3 on election day the electorate in each state are voting to decide which party their states eves will go to
4 in 48 states the party with the most votes gets all of that states evcs In Maine and Nebraska EVCs are allocated by district
5 to win a presidential candidate must achieve 270 EVCs - popular vote does not matter
What is a rogue voter
Also known as a faithless elector is an elector who does not cast their EVC for the candidate their state voted for- illegal in 30 of th3 50 states
Describe a case study of 2016 US election
Trump v Clinton on election day Trump gained 63 million votes 46% Clinton gained 66 million 48% but Trump won 30 states worth 306 EBCs whereas Clinton won 20 states worth 232 EVCs.
So even though Trump got fewer votes he was the winner
There have been many debates about reforming the electoral process describe the advantages and disadvantages of each stage of the process
Invisible primaries
Advantages
1 identifies candidates able to gain enough support and money
2 allows for a range of candidates
3 candidates are scrutinised
Disadvantages
1 those able to raise the most money are not necessarily the best candidate
2 the length of the process can cause apathy
Primaries and Caucuses
Advantages
1 maintain federalism
2 allows intra party choice
3 caucuses allow for party involvement
4 more participation in open primaries and caucuses
Disadvantages
1 they can be sabotaged
2 low turnout in both
3 calendar effects the importance of the primaries which has led to front loading
National and Party Convenetions
Advantages
1 formally announce the party candidate
2 engage the party faithful
3 a poll bounce (gain in the poll ratings)
4 to coverage allows for national involvement
Disadvantages
1 increasingly president and vice candidates are already known as is the party platform
2 to coverage is being reduced to just acceptance speeches
Electoral college
Advantages
1 states with a small population are still important
2 decisive outcome
3 usually this rebuts in the winner gaining a majority of the popular vote
4 promotes a 2 party system
5 it works largely as the founding fathers intended
Disadvantages
1 complex. And recent problems have caused more apathy
2 the winner may not have a majority of the vote
3 the winner takes all nature of state electors mean the population is not adequately represented
4 swing states overly powerful
5 disadvantages third parties
A candidate for presidency or congress is more likely to be successful if they are the incumbent. What is incumbent
The person already holding the office. In the last 11 elections the incumbent has won 8 times
What are the advantages of being the incumbent
1 well known to voters and may have proved popular in first term
2 fundraising - incumbent does not have to worry as much about fundraising but their ability to fundraise is great
3 government control - as head of government and head of state the incumbent president is able to undertake vote winning behaviour in the run up to the election
4 Campaign experience - th incumbent candidate has already been through and won a campaign so should be more polished and rehearsed
5 single candidate - incumbent is usury unchallenged from their own party. The opposing party must go through public primaries where they expose each others weaknesses
6 risk aversion - American voters can sometimes be seen as unwilling to change
7 presumed success - given the history of incumbent success there is a belief the incumbent will be successful regardless of circumstances
When was the first billion dollar presidential election campaign and what was total spend
2008 total spend per vote was $8 in 2012 each candidate raised more than a billion dollars each vote cost $20
How is the money raised
There ate 527 groups who raise unlimited money for political activities but not specifically for or against a candidate
What do political action committees do
PACs raise hard money to elect or defeat a specific candidate but are limited in their contribution to $5000 per candidate per election
What are the rules for super PACs
They can raise unlimited money for political activities they can support or oppose a candidate but cannot organise this with the persons campaign organisation
Out line 3 pieces of legislation around campaign finance
1 1974 federal election campaign act placed legal limits on campaign contributions
2 2002 bipartisan campaign reform act banned soft money
3 2010 a Supreme Court ruling which resulted in the development of super MACs
Describe an election which bucked the trend that the candidate with the biggest war chest wins a campaign
2016 Clinton raised $1.4 billion Trump $957.6 million, it was calculated Trump gained $2 billion of free media to Clinton $746 million
So it can still be claimed the candidate who did raise most money won
Why is campaign finance reform so hard
1 Supreme Court - by interpreting the constitution in citizens united vFEC the court has made it difficult to constitutionally limit campaign spending
2 politicians - those in a position to make change are often the ones who have benefitted from the current system in winning their seat
3 loopholes are constantly found - in addition to Supreme Court rulings the varying groups and types of spending are tactics to get around spending limits
4 federal election commission - the commission is continually gridlocked and fails to work in bipartisan manner meaning it struggles to enforce spending rules
List potential campaign finance reforms
1 as trialled in Seattle a democracy voucher program with each voter having four $25 tax payer funded vouchers to give candidates
2 make don ar declarations more timely rather than every quarter which means some figures are not released until after the election
3 small donor matching funds making smaller donations more lucrative
4 remove campaign finance limits - although migh t allow further influence of the wealthy it allows a greater range of voices
Why is electoral reform in the US used with reference to the electoral collage
The reform of just the system would have little impact without reforming the electoral collage
What are the reasons for reform
1 swing states are given to much importance
2 the electoral college is outdated
3 rogue voters
4 small states are over represented
5 third parties are ignored
6 ther person who wins may not have a majority vote undermining their mandate
What is the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact NPVIC
This pact is an agreement between these states and the District of Columbia, stting that they will give their 163 electoral college votes to whichever presidential candidate wins the popular vote nationally rather than in their state
List types of reform
1 abolish the electoral college and replace with a direct national vote- need a constitutional amendment
2 expand the NPVIC but this would be non enforceable due to the constitutional outline of the electoral college still being in place
3 apportion electors by district rather than by state so that’s safe states would be removed and the focus will be on districts instead
Is reform necessary for the state
Yes
1 larger states are under represented
NO
1 the electoral college retains state power
2 it protects the voice of smaller states
3 it ensures all areas of a state have a role
Is reform necessary for the people
YES
1 in the last 5 elections the popular vote has not been respected
NO
1 the electoral collage is in line with the constitutional principal of avoiding tyranny of the majority
2 the 2 party system encouraged by the electoral college usually gives the people choice
Is reform necessary for the president
Yes
It encourages him to pay more attention to swing states
NO
A decisive and accepted outcome is usually the result
Is reform necessary for the constitution
Yes
The electoral collage makes the constitution look outdated
No
The electoral collage does work as the founding fathers intended