Systems Thinking Flashcards
What is a system
• A perceived whole whose elements “hang together”
because they continually affect each other overtime
–Biological organisms, the atmosphere,
organizations, families, ecological niches…
• Parts are generally systems themselves and are
composed of other parts
emergence
– “The whole is more than the sum of the parts” (Aristotle)
Why do we need to do systems analysis?
- Our mental models are limited, internally inconsistent, and unreliable.
- Our ability to understand the unfolding impacts of our decisions is poor.
- We take actions that make sense from our short-term and parochial perspectives, but due to our imperfect appreciation of complexity, these decisions often return to hurt us in the long run.
if prototypical problem solving is linear, then systems are _______
circular
causal links in systems
There are two kinds of causal links, positive
and negative.
positive causal links
(marked as “+” or “s” for “same”):
the two nodes move in the same direction.
When one node goes up, the other goes up too
negative causal links
(marked as “-” or “o” for “opposite”):
the two nodes move in the opposite direction.
When one node goes up the other goes down
loops
A closed circular set of links create a loop
• There are 2 types of loops
– Reinforcing loops
– Balancing loops
what do reinforcing loops do
-generate unnecessary growth
what do balancing loops do
generate forces of resistance
• Maintain stability and lead to equilibrium
• Keep systems ”where they ought to be”
How can you determine if a causal loop is reinforcing or balancing?
-look at the causal links
• Reinforcing loops have an even number of negative links (or 0) and balancing loops an uneven number
describe delays in systems
• Typically occur in both reinforcing and balancing loops
• Delays are often taken for granted and underestimated
– Reinforcing loops – because things don’t change as fast as
we want
– In balancing loops – delays lead to surprises collapse
what is a fundamental solution?
- a solution that addresses potential unintended consequences
- solves root of the issue, not the symptom
Why is changing systems challenging?
•Not easily planned or predicted
• Opportunities often emerge in “unrelated” domains
• Systems can flip rapidly from one steady state to another
– Change often takes longer than you imagine and then happens faster than you might expect.
• Fundamental change will usually draw anger
systems thinking do’s and don’ts
• Comprehensive analyses are difficult to conduct
• There are no right answers
• Dividing the problem into sub-problems is not the way to go. You lose characteristics of the system that way
• Recognize that cause and effect will not be closely related in time and space
• A systems diagram that is missing nodes may not be
wrong, but it may not generate insight or have good explanatory power