Stats/Epidemiology Flashcards
What is prevalence?
- The proportion of sampled individuals affected AT A GIVEN POINT IN TIME
- Includes both old and new cases
- Typically expressed as a percent
What is incidence?
- The number of NEW cases occurring in a specified population over a SPECIFIC PERIOD OF TIME
- Typically expressed as cases per individual per unit of time
What is the equation for prevalence in terms of a 2x2 table?
Prevalence = (a+c)/(a+b+c+d)
Prevalence = (animals with the disease)/(total population)
What is sensitivity?
- The likelihood of a POSITIVE test in individuals known to HAVE the disease
- The TRUE POSITIVE rate
What is specificity?
- The likelihood of a NEGATIVE test in individuals that DO NOT HAVE the disease
- The TRUE NEGATIVE rate
What represents the TRUE POSITIVE rate?
Sensitivity
What represents the TRUE NEGATIVE rate?
Specificity
What is the equation for sensitivity in terms of a 2x2 table?
Sensitivity = a/(a+c)
Sensitivity = true positives/everyone that has the disease
What is the equation for specificity in terms of a 2x2 table?
Specificity = d/(b+d)
Specificity = true negatives/everyone that does not have the disease
What is the positive predictive value?
- The likelihood of a POSITIVE test in an animal truly AFFECTED by the disease
- INCREASES as PREVALENCE of disease INCREASES
What is the effect on the positive predictive value as the prevalence increases?
The positive predictive value will increase
What is the negative predictive value?
- The likelihood of a NEGATIVE test in an animal truly NEGATIVE for the disease
- Decreases as PREVALENCE of disease INCREASES
What is the effect on the negative predictive value as prevalence increases?
The negative predictive value will decrease
What is the equation for positive predictive value in terms of a 2x2 table
PPV = a/(a+b)
PPV = true positive/all animals testing positive
What is the equation for negative predictive value in terms of a 2x2 table?
NPV = d/(c+d)
NPV = true negatives/all animals testing negative
What is relative risk?
- The ratio of risk in individuals exposed vs not exposed to the factor
- Also called risk ratio
What is the equation for relative risk in terms of a 2x2 table?
Relative risk = [a/(a+b)]/[c/(c+d)]
Relative risk = (risk in exposed individuals)/(risk in unexposed individuals)