Reading 27: Asset Allocation to Alternative Investments Flashcards
Risk Factor Based Asset Allocation
Implementation hurdles are a limitation of risk-based approaches. While the risk-based approach explicitly defines target exposures to different quantitative risk factors (such as equity, duration, and credit spreads), it is not explicit as to how these target risk factor exposures are best achieved using the asset classes available to the manager. Risk factor-based approaches
to asset allocation can be applied to develop more robust asset allocations.
Traditional Approach
Primary limitations include overstating the portfolio diversification and obscure the primary drivers of risk.
Mean Variance Optimisation
Mean–variance optimization typically over-allocates to the private alternative asset classes, partly because of underestimated risk due to stale pricing and the assumption that returns are normally distributed. Can be fixed by imposing limitations. Alternative investments can be illiquid, have valuation issues, have option like returns, causing them not to have normal distributions so MVO can be limited.
Liquidity Planning
Liquidity planning should take into account that under a scenario in which public equities and fixed-income investments are expected to perform poorly, general partners may exercise an option to extend the life of the fund.
Return Enhancing Investments
Private equity and private credit can be viewed as return enhancing (risk increasing). Real assets may be seen as risk reducing and thus lower returns. Real assets hedge for inflation. Hedge funds can fall anywhere on the spectrum depending on strategy. Precious metals or govt bonds are seen as safe havens.
Hedge Funds
L/S and short biased somewhat reduce portfolio’s overall equity beta but are expected to increase returns through alpha. Merger arbitrage or global macro may be less correlated with traditional assets. Have gates which are maximum amounts for redemption. But liquidity provisions are usually less strict that for private equities, real estate, and real assets. Liquidity for investors can be overstated as hedge funds have side pockets of large holdings that investors cannot redeem.
Private Equity
Limited diversification as public and private equity are exposed to similar risk factors. Main function of private equity is to increase returns.
Private Credit
Distressed debt has risk return profile more like equity because factors specific to the issuer effect it more than interest rate movements.
Alternatives
Typically offer higher returns than bonds but have higher correlation with equities than bonds. There is a trade off with long term horizon of lower volatility or greater returns. Alternatives tend to overestimate diversification benefits due to smoothed SD (appraisal based, survivorship based, backfill bias).
Risk Factor Based Approach
Defining asset classes by statistically estimating their sensitivities to risk factors identified by managers. Can show some alternative classes are correlated with equities so can detect overestimation of diversification. Highlights primary drivers of portfolio risk, unlike traditional. Risk factors can be sensitive to the period used and may be difficult to communicate to decision makers. Additional step of translating optimised risk exposure to an asset allocation. Return sensitivity to some risk factor exposures might not be stable over time.
Private Equity
Limited partners (investors) commit capital and general partner will call this down over 3-5 years. LPs must meet these capital calls, and can invest the undrawn capital liquid investments to reduce the opportunity cost of holding it in cash. Usually they invest it in the public asset class equivalent to the private asset class. Distributions can be made during the call down period. Not all capitals is required to be called down.
Alternative Investments
Based on the premise that managers can create value through active management. Not suitable for investors whose philosophy is grounded on price-efficency of markets.
Managing Liquidity for Call Downs
Forecast models to project cash flows to and from a fund. Annual capital calls and distributions that may be used to fund the capital calls. Implementing an allocation to alternative investments required time and estimating for returns because 20% now will not be the same as 20% in future.
Multiple on Invested Capital
Divides the value of the funds underlying investments less distributions by total invested capital. This strips out the effects of cash flows that effect the IRR.
Undertaking for Collective Investment in Transferable Securities (UCITS)
The regulation of UCITS does limit investment choice. Compared to traditional limited partnership investments, UCITS have better liquidity.