Reading 11 Concentrated Single Asset Positions Flashcards
Concentrated positions and risks associated with them
Concentrated positions can have consequences for return and risk. The assets may no be efficiently priced and, therefore, not generate a fair risk-adjusted return. Illiquid assets can be difficult and costly to exit or non-income producing.
The risks in such assets is both systematic and company- or property- specific.
- Systematic risk is the risk that cannot be diversified away holding a portfolio of risky assets. In the single factor CAPM, this would be beta. In multifactor models there will be more than one systematic risk.
- Company-specific risk is the nonsystematic risk of an investment that can be diversified away. It would derive from events that affect a specific investment but not the overall market. A corporate bankruptcy as a result of financial fraud would be an extreme example of company-specific risk. Nonsystematic risk increases the standard deviation of returns without additional expected return.
- Property-specific risk for real estate is the direct countrerpart to company-specific risk for a company. It is additional, deiversifiable risk associated with owning a specific property.
Three common objectives when managing a concentrated position
There are three common objectives when managing a concentrated position:
- Reduce the risk caused by the wealth concentration
- Generate liquidity to meet diversification of spending needs
- Optimize tax efficiency to maximize after-tax ending vaule
Constraints to consider when managing a concentrated position
Reducing the concentrated position is not appropriate for all clients. There are other specific objectives and constraints to consider:
- Restrictions on sale. Stock ownership in a public company may be received by a company executive as part of a compensation package, with company expectations or regulatory requirements that the executive will hold the stock for a certain lenght of time.
- A desire of control. Majority ownership brings control over the business.
- To create wealth. An entrepreneur may assume high specific risk in expectation of building the value of the business and his wealth.
- The asset may have other uses. Real estate owned personally could also be a key asset used in another business of the owner.
Considerations affecting all concentrated positions
- Sale of a concentrated position may trigger a large capital gain tax liability. A large concentrated position is often accumulated and held for many years, resulting in a zero or low tax basis. A plan to defer, reduce, or eliminate the tax may be desirable.
- Illiquidity and/or high transaction costs can be a factor even if there is no tax due. A public company trading with insufficient volume may require a price discount to sell. The expense of finding a buyer for a private business of real estate can be substantial. The intended use by the prospective buyer may affect the price.
Institutional and capital market constraints
Institutional and capital market constraints such as tax law can significantly affect the costs of selling or monetizing a concentrated position.
Legal issues depend on the form of asset ownership: sole proprietorship, limited partnership, limited company, or public stock.
Other specific issue that may exist include:
- Margin lending rules
- Securities law and regulations
- Contractual restrictions and employer mandates
- Capital market limitations
Margin lending rules
Margin lending rules limit the percentage of the asset`s value that can be borrowed. Derivative positions can be used to reduce the risk of the asset position and increase the percentage of value that can be borrowed.
Rule-based systems tend to be rigid and define the exact percentage that can be borrowed, while risk-based systems consider the inderlying economics of the transaction.
Securities law and regulations
Securities law and regulations may define the owner as an “insider” (who is presumed to have material, nonpublic information) and impose restrictions, regulations, and reporting requirements on the position
Contractual restrictions and employer mandates
Contractual restrictions and employer mandates may impose restrictions (such as minimum holding periods or blackout periods when sales may not be made) beyond those of securities law and regulation.
Capital market limitations
Capital market limitations in the form of market structure can have indirect consequences. Monetization strategies commonly require over-the-counter derivative trades with a dealer to hedge the security`s risk and increase the LTV ratio. To offer such trades, dealers must be able to hedge the risks they assume. This may be impossible. For example, if the asset is an initial public offering (IPO) or trades infrequently, there will NOT be a price history on which the dealer can base a hedge. Borrowing and shorting the underlying asset is often required for the dealer to hedge their risks. This is prohibited in some markets. Without sufficiaent price history and liquidity in the underlying instruments, monetization techniques may be unavailiable.
Psychological Considerations
A number of emotional biases can combine to negatively affect the decision making of holders of concentrated positions, including the following:
- Status quo bias (preference for no change)
- Loyalty effects
- Overconfidence and familiarity (illusion of knowledge)
- Naïve extrapolation of past returns
- Endowment effect (a tendency to ask for much more money to sell something than one would be willing to pay to buy it)
A number of cognitive biases can combine to negatively affect the decision making of holders of concentrated positions, including the following:
- Conservatism (in the sense of reluctance to update beliefs)
- Anchoring and adjustment (the tendency to reach a decision by making adjustments from an initial position, or “anchor”)
- Illusion of control (the tendency to overestimate one’s control over events)
- Availability heuristic (the probability of events is influenced by the ease with which examples of the event can be recalled)
- Confirmation (looking for what confirms one’s beliefs)
Goal-Based Planning in the Concentrated-Position Decision-Making Process
A goal-based decision process modifies traditional mean-variance analysis to accomodate the insights of BFT. The portfolio is divided into tiers of a pyramid, or risk buckets, with each tier or bucket designed to meet progressive levels of client goals.
- Allocate fundes to a personal risk bucket to protect the client from poverty or a drastic decline in lifestyle. Low-risk assets such as money and bank CDs, as well as personal residence, are held in this bucket. Safety is emphasized, but below-market return is likely.
- Next, allocate funds to a market risk bucket to maintain the client`s existing standard of living. Portfolio assets in this bucket would be allocated to stocks and bonds earning an expected market return.
- Remaining portfolio are allocated to an aspirational risk bucket holding positions such as private business, concentrated stock holdings, real estate investments, and other riskier positions. If succesful, these high-risk investments could substantially improve the client`s standard of living.
To implement a goal-based plan, the manager and the client must determine the primary capital neccessary to meet the goals of the first two risk buckets and the amount of any remaining surplus capital to meet aspirational goals. If a concentrated holding in the aspirational bucket leaves insufficient funds for the fist two primary capital buckets, sale or monetization of the concentrated postion must be discussed with the client.
Asset Location
Asset location determines the method of taxation that will apply. Location in a tax-deferred account would defer all taxes to a future date. In a taxable account, interest, dividends, and capital gains may be subject to different tax rates (or deferral possibilities in the case of when to realize capital gains).
Wealth transfer
Wealth transfer involves estate planning and gifting to dispose of excess wealth. The specific strategies used depend on the tax laws of the country and the owner`s situation. Key considerations include:
- Advisors can have the greatest impact by working with clients before significant unrealized gains occur. If there are no unrealized gains, there are generally no financial limitations on disposing of the concentrated position.
- Donating assets with unrealized gains to charity is generally tax-free even if there are gains.
- An estate tax freeze is a strategy to transfer future appreciation and tax liability to a future generation. This strategy usually involves a partnership or corporate structure. A gift tax would be due on the value of the asset when transfer is made; however, the asset (including any future appreciation in value) will be exepmt from future estate and gift taxes in the giver`s estate. Any tax owned is “frozen”, meaning paid or fixed near an initial value.
Estatate tax freeze is usually done through recapitalization and issue of 2 classes of shares: preferred voting (bond like) for the owner and common non-voting (for the next generation)
A five-step process for managing a concentrated position
A five-step process can be used to make decisions for managing a concentrated position:
- Identify and establish objectives and constraints. The objective (or combination of objectives) of the owner of the concentrated position should be identified, established, and put in written form. Constraints should be identified and their impact analyzed.
- Identify tools/strategies that can satisfy these objectives. All the tools and strategies that could be used to satisfy the owner’s stated objectives subject to binding constraints need to be identified, while remembering that different techniques can often provide essentially the same economics.
- Compare tax advantages and disadvantages. The tax advantages and disadvantages of each tool/strategy should be compared.
- Compare non-tax advantages and disadvantages. The non-tax considerations of each alternative tool/strategy need to be thoroughly compared.
- Formulate and document an overall strategy. After weighing the tax and non-tax advantages and disadvantages of each alternative tool/strategy, the overall strategy that appears to best position the client to achieve his or her goals is selected.
Three broad techniquies to manage concentrated positions
Three broad techniquies can be used to manage concentrated positions:
- Outright sale: Owners can sell the concentrated position, which gives them funds to spend or reinvest but often incurs significant tax liabilities.
- Monetization strategies: These provide owners with funds to spend or re-invest without triggering a taxable event. A loan against the value of a concentrated position is an example of a simple monetization strategy.
- Hedging the value of the concentrated asset: Derivatives are frequently used in such transactions.
Hedging techniques often utilize over-the-counter (OTC) or exchange-traded derivatives.