probability and hypothesis Flashcards
probability
definiton
numerical value of liklehood of events
probability
equation
number of desired outcomes/ number of possible outcomes
empirical probability
relative frequency of events, proportion of times outcome has occured ver repetitos. e,g how likely is footballer to score penalty if his track record is 25 out of 40
sample space
definition
all possible outcomes
hypothesis
part 1
state null hypothesis - no effect
hypothesis
step 2
state alternate hypothesis
directional/ one tailed hypothesis
listen to more music will make you happier
non-directional/ two tailed hypothesis
music will have an effect on mood
hypothesis
step 3
level of significance - 5%
hypothesis
step 4
test statistic
hypothesis
step 5
reject if critical value
what can cause a sampling error
small sample size, poor sampling design
type 1 error
false positive
type 2 error
false negative
z score
calculation
z = x - m/ sigma