Poker Odds Flashcards

1
Q

Having a pocket pair and hitting trips

A

Once every 9 times, roughly 12% of the time on the flop and 19% by the river

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2
Q

Chances two players will flop a set

A

Once every 100 times or 1% of the time

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3
Q

Having suited cards and flopping a flush

A

Once every 118 times or .8%

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4
Q

Outs in a flush draw

A

9 outs: 35% based on the flop, goes down 20%

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5
Q

Open-ended straight draw (oesd)

A

8 outs: 32% on the flop, goes down 17%

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6
Q

Inside straight draw (gut shot)

A

4 outs: 16.5% on the flop, goes down 9%

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7
Q

Having a two pair on the flop and getting a full house

A

4 outs: 9% on turn/river

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8
Q

Having two overcards and improving to overpair after the flop

A

6 outs: 13% on turn/river

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9
Q

Probability of one of your hole cards hitting a pair on the flop

A

1 in 3 or 30%

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10
Q

If you flop trips, the odds of making a full house or better by the river

A

1 in 3 or roughly 33%

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11
Q

If you flopped two pair, the odds of getting a full house or better by the river

A

16.74%

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12
Q

Flopping a straight with connectors (54-JT)

A

1 in 76 or 1.4%

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13
Q

Chance of an overcard hitting the board when you have a pocket pair

A

KK: flop 20%; river 35.3%
QQ: flop 40%; river 60%
JJ: flop 60%; river 76.3%
TT: 70%; river 86.9%

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14
Q

Probability of suited/connector cards hitting the flop

A

Roughly 1/3 times: flush draw 35% (20% completed board), outside straight draw 32% (17% completed board)

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15
Q

Counting combinations: unpaired hands (eg. AK)

A

16 combinations: 4 suited, 12 unsuited

eg, if an A is on the flop then that means there are only 12 combos of AK left

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16
Q

Counting combinations: pocket pairs

A

6 combos of each pair

eg, if 1 of the cards are not available because it is either in your hand or on the flop, only 3 combos left

17
Q

Simplified Pot Odds vs. Equity Needed, if you are facing…

A

If you are facing:
1/2 pot bet - 3:1 (25% equity needed)
2/3 pot bet - 2.5:1 (29% equity needed)
1 pot bet - 2:1 (33% equity needed)

18
Q

Pot Odds

A

$ in pot: $ needed to call

eg. 2:1 (risk 1 unit to win 2)
eg. 150bb (in pot):50bb (to call)

19
Q

How often will at least one Ace will flop if you aren’t holding one?

A

23%

20
Q

How often will you flop an Ace if you are holding one?

A

17%

21
Q

Chances of hitting a backdoor flush/straight (runner-runner) draw?

A

Need two more cards to get the nuts, roughly 4% of hitting it from the flop. If you hit one of them on the turn, then it goes up to 17%

22
Q

Inside Straight Draw & Two Overcards

eg. AK on QT3 board

A

10 outs: on the flop 38% then goes down 21%