PMP Glossary D Flashcards
Reserve Analysis - Key Features 01:
Contingency Reserves: These are funds or time added to the project baseline to cover identified risks. They are typically used for known risks that can be anticipated.
Reserve Analysis - Key Features 02:
Management Reserves: These are additional funds or time set aside for unforeseen risks that may arise during the project. These are not included in the baseline but can be accessed if necessary.
Reserve Analysis - Key Features 03:
Risk Assessment: Reserve analysis requires a thorough risk assessment process to identify potential risks and their impacts, enabling project managers to determine the appropriate amount of reserve needed.
Reserve Analysis Example:
In a construction project, after assessing risks like weather delays, material shortages, and labor issues, the project manager might decide to set aside:
Contingency Reserve: $50,000 to cover expected delays and costs.
Management Reserve: $20,000 for unexpected issues that may arise.
By having these reserves in place, the project manager can better navigate uncertainties without jeopardizing the project’s overall success.
Reserve Analysis Application
Reserve analysis helps ensure that projects remain on track and within budget, even when unexpected challenges occur, making it a vital part of risk management in project planning.
Basis of Estimate (BOE)
is a detailed document or explanation that provides the rationale, assumptions, and methods used to develop project cost or time estimates.
It explains how the estimates were created,
what data was used, and any assumptions made.
This helps ensure transparency and allows for future revisions if assumptions change.
Basis of Estimate (BOE) Key Features 01:
Assumptions: It outlines the assumptions made during the estimating process, such as resource availability, costs of materials, or labor rates.
Basis of Estimate (BOE) Key Features 02:
Methodology: It explains the method used to calculate estimates, such as analogous estimating, parametric estimating, or bottom-up estimating.
Basis of Estimate (BOE) Key Features 03:
Data Sources: It includes details on where the data came from, such as historical project data, expert judgment, or market rates.
Basis of Estimate (BOE) Key Features 04:
Range of Accuracy: It indicates the possible range of accuracy for the estimates, for example, ±10%, depending on the level of project detail.
Basis of Estimate (BOE) Key Features 05:
Risks and Uncertainties: The BOE also mentions any risks or uncertainties that might affect the estimate.
Example:
For a software development project, a Basis of Estimate might include:
Assumptions: Developers will work 40 hours per week, and the hourly rate is $50.
Methodology: A bottom-up estimate was used to calculate the cost for each phase (research, design, development, testing).
Data Source: The estimate is based on past project data for similar software projects and current market labor rates.
Range of Accuracy: The estimate is accurate within ±15% based on available information.
Risks: Risks include potential changes in technology requirements or additional testing cycles.
Importance:
The BOE ensures that stakeholders understand how and why estimates were made, increasing confidence in the project plan and helping in future discussions about changes or variances. It serves as the foundation for cost and time management throughout the project.
Formulas for Three-Point Estimate:
Triangular Distribution:
(O+P+M)/3
o=optimistic
p=pessimistic
m=most likely
Formulas for Three-Point Estimate:
Beta (PERT) Distribution:
(O+P+4M)/6
o=optimistic
p=pessimistic
m=most likely
4M= 4xby most likely