Pithua Flashcards
Epidemiology is based on what 2 fundamental assumptions?
- disease does NOT occur at random, rather there are factors/determinants that can increase or decrease the likelihood of disease
- the factors or determinants can be identified by systematic investigation of populations or subgroups within populations
__________ is the study of the distribution and determinants of disease frequency in human/animal populations and the application of this study to control health problems.
epidemiology
when studying human or animal populations, the group of subjects have common …
characteristics
such as: geographic location, age, group membership, breed, parity, housing, production levels, etc.
how do you measure disease frequency?
counting the number of cases of a disease in a population over a specific period of time
What is meant by studying the “distribution” of disease frequency?
how the disease is distributed through the population
Ex: age, sex, socioeconomic status, breed, location, time
_________ are factors that cause some individuals to acquire disease and/or factors that prevent some individuals from getting disease. These are also referred to as “exposures”.
determinants
What is the first step of the epidemiologic approach?
Make observations – suspect that exposure influences disease occurence
What is the second step of the epidemiologic approach?
form specific hypotheses about exposure-disease link
what is the third step of the epidemiologic approach?
perform epidemiologic studies to measure the relationship between exposure and disease
What is the fourth step of the epidemiologic approach?
judge if the association is valid and casual – factor in: evidence, chance, bias, cofounding, limits of study design, strength of study design
what is the fifth/last step of the epidemiologic approach?
evaluate prevention and treatment
What are the 2 criteria for a GOOD hypothesis?
- project expected association between 2 or more measurable variables
- carry clear implications for testing stated relations
__________ are important for advancing epidemiologic research and guiding study design, variable selection, sample selection, data analyses, and interpretation of results.
hypotheses
“Smoking causes cancer” is an example of what type of hypothesis?
fundamental
“People who smoke cigarettes daily have a higher incidence of lung cancer over a 10-year period than people who do not smoke cigarettes” is an example of what type of hypothesis?
operational
T/F: we must know the specific cause of a disease in order to intervene, that is why hypotheses are so important to guide our experiments.
false – we do NOT need to know a specific cause to intervene.
This type of epidemiology is described as:
1. describes patterns of disease
2. monitor public health, evaluate success of disease intervention programs, generate hypotheses about causes of disease, and monitor herd health
3. identify and count cases of disease in populations and conduct simple studies
descriptive epidemiology
This type of epidemiology is described as:
1. search for disease cause and prevention
2. evaluate hypotheses about causes of disease and evaluate success of intervention programs
3. compare groups and systematically determine if there is an association present
analytical/scientific epidemiology
what are the 3 main uses of descriptive epidemiology in veterinary medicine and public health?
- ID problems, trends, and high-risk groups
- planning: where to spend resources
- generate hypotheses for analytical epidemiology
what is the limitation of descriptive epidemiology?
cannot identify cause of disease
what are the 4 components for measuring disease frequency?
- population
- cases of disease (numerator)
- size of population (denominator)
- time
A ______ population is a population whose membership is defined on the basis of some event and membership is permanent (ex. veteran of vietnam war or people born in 1982)
fixed
A ________ population is where membership is defined by being in a state or condition, but membership is transient. (ex. being a student at a certain school, being a parent of a teenager)
dynamic
What are some examples of methods of disease ascertainment?
clinical records
diagnostic tests
disease registries
surveillance programs
self-reports
What factor is necessary to compare disease across populations?
size of the population you sampled from. you cannot compare the number of cases alone
When measuring disease frequency, this type of measure is the division of one number by another and these numbers do NOT have to be related.
ratio
ex. observed # cases of rabies in bburg during aug / expected # cases of rabies in bburg during aug
if there were 40 cases but you expected 20, then the ratio is 40/20 or 2. This means that there were 2 times as many cases of rabies in bburg during august than was expected.
From june to august, you collected 1000 blood samples from dogs at your clinic. 120 of them were positive for Lyme disease. What is the proportion of patients infected with lyme?
12% of patients were infected with lyme.
120/1000 = 0.12
Proportion is the division of two RELATED numbers in which the numerator is a SUBSET of the denominator.
You analyze data and determine that there are 100 cases of rabies per 100,000 cats per year.
What is the rate of rabies in cats per year?
Rate is the division of one number by another in which TIME is an intrinsic part of the denominator.
Therefore, rate is the # of NEW cases of rabies among 100,000 cats over a one year period.
So, 100 cases/100,000 cats per year.
_________ measures the presence of EXISTING cases of disease in a population during a specific time period.
The denominator will include the TOTAL population (healthy, sick, etc.) and it is the proportion of the population of HAVE the disease.
Prevalence
___________ is the proportion of a population that has the disease at a single point in time.
point prevalence
What is the prevalence of bordetella in Blacksburg if 89 dogs test positive for bordetella on January 1st? Note, the total population of dogs in bburg is 40,000 on Jan 1st.
0.002
You have a clinic with 25 canine patients. On monday, 5 of them have upper respiratory signs. By thursday, 3 have recovered. On saturday, they have all recovered. What is the prevalence of upper respiratory infection on thursday? what about saturday?
thursday – 2/25
saturday – 0
_________ measures the occurrence of NEW cases of disease in a population during a specific time period. This involves TRANSITION from one state to another (healthy –> ill, alive –> dead). The denominator only includes the population AT RISK (excludes those who are already measured and/or immune).
incidence
What are 2 reasons for measuring prevalence?
- assess burden of disease (plan & allocate resources)
- used for research when incidence is difficult to measure (uncertain onset)
What are 3 reasons for measuring incidence?
- etiologic research – find the cause of the dz
- evaluate preventions – are they working?
- evaluate treatment – is it working to improve survival or QOL?
___________ incidence is when time is described in words that go along with the number. This measures the occurrence of NEW cases of disease in a population during a specified time period, assuming you have a fixed population/ no loss to follow-up.
cumulative
___________ measures SPEED at which NEW cases of disease occur within a population. Time is an intrinsic part of the denominator. It does NOT assume the group being observed has been followed the entire time period.
incidence rate
You have a clinic with 25 canine patients. On monday, 5 of them have upper respiratory signs. By thursday, 3 have recovered. On saturday, they have all recovered. What is the cumulative incidence of upper respiratory infection throughout the week?
5/25 = 20%
__________ is a special type of cumulative incidence that measures the proportion of individuals exposed to an infectious agent who become infected over a certain time period.
attack rate
________- is a special type of cumulative incidence that measures the proportion of individuals with a disease who die of that disease.
case fatality rate
What are the biggest limitations of measuring cumulative incidence?
- not a perfect measure in a dynamic population or in a fixed population that loses members over time.
- doesnt consider time of occurrence
What is a person-time?
the amount of time each person AT RISK is under observation. this is the unit of measure for incident rate.
You followed 30,330 dogs from 1999-2004. There were 2,314 cases of bordetella during follow-up. What is the incidence rate?
Incidence rate is: # new cases during this time period / total person-time of observation in population at risk
IR = 2,314 / 104,574 = 0.022/PY = 2,215/100,000 PY
during 1999-2004, the incidence rate of bordetella was 2,215/100,000 PY.
T/F: to be a prevalent case, an individual has to have been an incident case at some point and must still have the disease so that duration is involved
true
What formula can you use to estimate the average duration of a disease?
D = P / IR
P is prevalence
IR is incidence rate (PY)
What would happen to the incidence of rabies if you introduced primary prevention efforts to reduce exposure to rabies?
(increase, or decrease, or no effect)
incidence would decrease
What would happen to the prevalence of rabies if you introduced primary prevention efforts to reduce exposure to rabies?
(increase, or decrease, or no effect)
prevalence would decrease
What would happen to the incidence of FIP if you introduced new treatment that prolongs the life of patients with FIP?
(increase, or decrease, or no effect)
there would be NO effect on incidence because the cases are going to occur regardless of treatment
What would happen to the prevalence of FIP if you introduced new treatment that prolongs the life of patients with FIP?
(increase, or decrease, or no effect)
the prevalence would increase because you are not preventing cases from occurring, you are only treating them and prolonging their lifespan with disease.
Which type of disease frequency is the following:
The % of dogs that contract influenza during the course of an outbreak (June 1-15, 2022).
A. prevalence
B. incidence rate
C. cumulative incidence
C. cumulative incidence
Which type of disease frequency is the following:
The % of potential breeding dogs rejected from service dog breeding program because of poor hip conformation.
A. prevalence
B. incidence rate
C. cumulative incidence
prevalence
Which type of disease frequency is the following:
The number of UTIs diagnosed in 1,000 person-years within a veterinary hospital.
A. prevalence
B. incidence rate
C. cumulative incidence
incidence rate
Which type of disease frequency is the following:
The % of live-born foals with flexural deformities among 100,000 live births.
A. prevalence
B. incidence rate
C. cumulative incidence
prevalence
T/F: the total population contributes to the denominator of cumulative incidence
false – only population at risk
T/F: when you calculate incidence rate of disease, you are required to follow subjects for the same amount of time
false
_____________ is a device or procedure with the ability to differentiate a diseased individual from a non-diseased individual
diagnostic test
Diagnostic tests are used for what type of patients in order to confirm a diagnosis, assess the severity of a disease, determine a prognosis, and assess the progress/response to treatment?
individual sick patients
____________ are used in healthy populations or individuals to detect carriers or subclinical disease. They are commonly used in disease control and prevention, detection and monitoring, as well as eradication programs.
screening tests
A test is considered useful if the result …
has the potential to alter your diagnosis or course of treatment/action.
Necropsy, bacteria culture, exploratory sx, and biopsies are considered “gold standard” tests that are accurate in determining presence or absence of disease. The downside to these tests are …
- complex
- costly
- risky
- time-consuming
T/F: when evaluating a new diagnostic test, we gather data comparing the results of the gold standard test against the results of the new test. The sample population (group that the test was evaluated with) should reflect the target population (group that you will be using test in real life).
true
_________ is the proportion of all animals sampled that TRULY HAVE the disease.
In the 2x2 table, this is a+c / (a+b+c+d)
(test pos + dz pos / total tested)
true prevalence.
_________ is the proportion of all animals sampled that appear to be infected based on a positive result from the test kit.
In the 2x2 table, this is *a+b / (a+b+c+d)
(total test pos / total)
apparent prevalence
When comparing a new diagnostic test and the gold standard test, if the apparent prevalence is LESS than true prevalence, what conclusion can you draw?
the new test is underestimating prevalence of disease.
__________ is the true positive rate or the proportion of truly diseased animals that test positive using the test kit.
In the 2x2 table, this is a / (a+c)
(test pos and dz pos / total that have dz)
sensitivity