Minor - Week 4 Flashcards
Demand
The willingness and ability to buy quantity of a good given price and given time
- Qd= A-bP
- quanity
- Ability and willingness
- P and Q inversely related
Demand curve endogenous change
Has to do with in the formula;
- Price and quantity
- Moving up and down the curve
Demand curve exogenous change
Happens outside the formula; marketing, willing to pay more for the product
- Moves down or up, whole graph
- Positve (moves to right)
- negative (downwards or left)
Ex. Vaccination not effective; shifts down (price lower and quantity
Supply
the willingness and ability to sell quantity of a good given the price and time
- Positive slope (want so sell more)
- Qs= A +bP
- Directly related (generate surplus)
Supply curve endogenous change
Has to do with in the formula:
- Price and quantity
- Qs goes up, Ps goes up on supply side (not market)
Supply curve exogenous change
- Outside of the formula; resources for example during covid
Supply curve moves left or right
Positive shock; moves to the right (down); finding a goldmine, quantity higher and price lower
Negative shock; to the left (upwards), cost you more fot he product (price higher for same product), quantity lower, price higher
Steps to analyse exogenous shock
- Define market
- Demand or supply or both
- Positive or negative
- Why?
equilibrium
- high supply fall in price
- Low price fall in supply
- low supply higher price
- Higher price high supply
NCE and behavioral
- Expected utility vs. prospect theory (reference dependance)
- Discounted utility vs. hyperbolic discounting
Risk
refers to the uncertainty around a transaction
Risk types
Risk Neutral: Indifferent towards risk (payoff = expected value)
Risk Averse: Do not like risk; need compensation to take risk (payoff > expected value)
Risk Seeking: Enjoy risk; offer compensation to take risk (payoff < expected value)
There’s a 90 % chance you got 1000 and 10 % chance you get 0.
What is the expected value?
- Risk Neutral:
- Risk Averse:
- Risk Seeking:
- Risk neutral payoff is expected = 900
- Risk averse; payoff > 900
- Risk seeking; payoff< 900
Prospect theory to the rescue
People weight gains and losses differently.
* People weight probabilities differently.
* People weight magnitudes depending on a reference point.
Diminishing utility loss aversion
- Was lineair
- Needed to make it steeper
- Apply diminishing effect
PV
= FV/ (1+R)^t
- kan je nu omschrijven naar FV= pv *(1+R)^t
NCE: PV = δ0U0 + δ1U1 + +δ2U2 + … + δtUt
* BE: PV = δ0U0 + βδ1U1 + βδ2U2 + … + βδtUt
Difference is adding of present bias parameter
- Let op dat je wel de utility pakt bij de juiste tijd
Violations of discounting rates
- Quasi hyperbolic discounting
- Sequence effect (ascending order lower discounted)
- Magnitude effect (lagers outcomes discounted at lower rate than small outcomes)
Two nash Equilibriums
Stag hunt
- Both parties can gain from each other if they work togehter.
- Prisoners dilemma strong incentive to confess towards each other
crowed and uncrowded street and prisoners dilemma relevance
Crowded (busy street): When no one cooperates, it becomes crowded and chaotic. Own interest living
Uncrowded (quiet street): When everyone cooperates, it stays calm and well-organized.
Prisoner’s Dilemma: Not cooperating = bad outcome. Cooperating = best outcome.
ultimatum game and policy relevance - Smoking program
- Need to make an faire offer, otherwise the other party will not accept
- Fair offers increase participation
(assuming everyone takes anything above 0 euro), but it needs to be fair otherwise not accept
monotonic preferences
- Weakly; you need both to have more utility, both cars and gasoline
- Strong; one of the goods is sufficient; apples and organes
Three basic psychological needs Deci & ryan
- Compentence
- Relatedness / conectiveness
- Autonomy; self relient
Move from a motivation to extrinsic and intrinsic motivation
motivation types
- extrinsic; outside of yourself
- intrinsic; inside yourself motivation (pure interest, curiosity, challenge, enjoyment)
intrinsic motivation
Inherent tendency to seek out out of curiosity, to extend and excersise your capacities and explore and learn
- Personally rewarding
- vb; sports and hobbies
- hampered by external rewards
- has more benefits; better performance, more self esteem, more determination
Extrinsic motivation
Any source of motivation that is not pure interest and enjoyment
is external
- extrinsic motivation is internalized over time
sorts of extrinsic motivation
- external regulation (rewards and punishments); avoid punishmentt
- introjected regulation (guilt, compulsion); avoid guilt or improving self esteem
- Identified regulation (valued goals); leadership eg
- integrated regulation (value fully assimilated into yourself); leadership as a value of yourself
Taxonomy of incentives (adams et al 2014)
- Direction
- Form
- Magnitude
- certainty
- Target
- Frequency
- Schedule
- Immediacy
- Recipient
Direction incentive
- How is it framed (Is the incentive a gain to be had or a loss to be avoided?)
- Use losses; people are loss averse
Ex; 240 euro now, each month you smoke you pay 20 euro
Alternative; commitment contracts (pay me 120 and add 120)
forms incentive
-Cash
- Vouchers
- Free stuff
forms incentive cons
One problem of offering cash is that it might be spend on exactly that which the recipient should try to avoid
Can backfire, maybe introduce market norms in stead of social norms; blood donation
Payed out as vouchers, giftcards
Magnitude incentive
Pay enough or dont pay at all
- Not paying enough introduced cost benefit thinking
- the higher the reward, the smaller the extra motivation or benefit for the people receiving the reward.
Target incentive
What should be incentivized?
- Targets that are in direct control of thereselves should be incentivized
- non conditional; such as weight loss is out of control
- Must be easy in behavioral control
Incentives certainty
Incentives are given with a chance of winning
- Instead of paying everyone, give one a larger amount
- Certain chance lotteries; knowing your chance
- Uncertain chance lotteries; not knowing your chance
But reasons to avoid uncertain chance lotteries
- Loss aversion
- Risk aversion
- chance of not getting anything
incentives frequency
Sort forms;
- piece rate incentives; every time payment
- Low frequenies; after 2 times payment etc. Lager after 3 times!
- Lump sump; after completion
Things to consider
- Positive discount rate
- Sequence effect (use this heuristic)
- Short term effect
incentives schedule (fixed or variable)
Constant or varying?
- Constant
- varying; increasing/ decreasing for period of time (loss aversion and gains)
- Streak effect
Study mariuana
Why relevant - fixed/ variable incentives
- Adapt to rewards
- Are more sensitive to changes than absolute amounts
- Care about sequences
- Do not want to break a ‘streak’
Incentives - recipient
- individuals
- groups / teams
- significant others
- good causes (charity)
pitfalls of using financial incentives to stimulate health behaviour
- crowding out effect
- self efficacy
- choking under pressure
Crowding out effect
incentives reduce the need for intrinsic behavior, but introduce market norms
- Beliefs and attitudes might be changed forever
Agent;
- intrinsic motivation
- extrinsic motivation
- image motivation ( care about your image)
principle decides about incentive structure (not well informed)