L16: Measuring Disease Occurrence Flashcards
What are the 4 stages/phases of the Public Health Model?
1) Defining and measuring the problem
2) Describing causes and consequences
3) Developing and evaluating interventions
4) Disseminating effective policy and practice
What are the measures of occurrence?
Prevalence and Incidence (incidence proportion + incidence rate)
This is the proportion of the population who have the disease at a point in time.
Prevalence
What is the formula for prevalence?
Number of people with disease at a given point in time / Total number of people in the population at that point in time
What are the 2 limitations of measuring prevalence?
- difficult to assess the development of disease (like when did it worsen or how did it happen)
- is influenced by the duration of the disease
This measures the occurrence of new cases of an outcome in a population during a specific period of follow up.
Incidence
This is the proportion of an outcome free population that develops the outcome of interest in a specific time period.
Incidence proportion
What is the formula for incidence proportion?
Number of people who develop disease in a specific period / number of people at risk of developing the disease (usually those who don’t have it at the beginning of time period)
Why might some people not be considered at risk at the start of a study?
They already have the condition.
The condition is something that cannot develop
What are the 2 main limitations of incidence proportion?
- assumes a closed population (so does not account people coming and going)
- highly dependent on the time period (time-at-risk increases if time increases)
This is the rate at which new cases of the outcome of interest occur in a population.
Incidence rate
What is the formula for incidence rate?
Number of people who develop the disease in a specified period / number of person years at risk of developing the disease (total number of years a population is at risk)
What are the 2 main limitations of incidence rate?
- person time not available (aka lost to follow up or no longer in the population)
- complex to calculate
Prevalence approximates?
Incidence * duration
So changes to incidence and duration can affect disease prevalence
When comparing populations, what 2 factors must be considered?
- age structure
- disease risk (does it vary by age?)