J and C Chapter 5 Flashcards
Differences between congressional election voters/nonvoters
- Voters- older/educated/wealthy white individuals.
2. Nonvoters- younger/uneducated/poor/minorities
Comparison of midterm electorate with presidential year electorate
- Presidential year is significantly higher. Attracts weaker voters and significantly.
- Midterm years very low turnout, depending on Presidential influence and midterm decline.
Implications of low turnout in congressional elections
- The older/wealthy/educated are over represented
2. Most votes remained untapped
Why more voters defect to incumbents than to challengers
- Incumbents are better known
- Maintain status quo
- Ways to create support from voters/past experience
Significance of recall/recognition of candidates by voters
- More recognition than recall, but both correlate with success in winning elections on familiarity
- Very low defection of House/Senate voters to less familiar candidates than their own party’s.
Significant of contacting voters
- Greater familiarity/votes gathered.
- Builds over time, especially in House, less distinct in Senate
- Ensures recognition for future years
Differences in mass media contacting between Senators/House members
- Senate- more money, better candidates, closer elections. All good for media coverage/contacts.
- House- less of all the above, less expectations.
Ways voters positively evaluate incumbents’ performance/affects on voting behavior
- The ability to keep in touch with the district they represent
- Personal virtues
- Focus on party/ideology stance
Impact of National issues and policy preferences on congressional voting
- Link the incumbent party to national failures/unpopular leaders
- Policy failures or stagnation of legislation
- Hurts ruling party members throughout the country
Key takeaways from model predicting congressional voting (Tables 5.4/5.5)
- Partisanship, incumbency, and name recognition strongly linked to vote in House/Senate
- Incumbency status still increases probability of receiving votes
- People rarely vote off of party lines these days, no split-ticket voters