IOA2017Q13 Flashcards
What is interdependent decision making?
When your payoff does not only depend on your own decision, but also another player’s decision.
What is a game?
A stylized model that depicts situations of strategic behaviour, where the payoff for one agent depend on its own actions as well as on the actions of other agents.
What does a game consists of?
A set of: players, rules, and payoff
What are the two types of decision-making?
Simultaneous decision making
Sequential decision making
What is a dominant strategy?
A strategy that is strictly better than any other strategy regardless of the other players’ strategy choices.
If a player has a dominant strategy and if the player is rational, we should expect the player to choose the dominant strategy (we do not even need to assume the other players to be rational)
What is the prisoner’s dilemma?
It depicts the conflict between individual incentives and joint incentives.
What is a dominated strategy?
One whose payoff is inferior to that of another strategy regardless of what the other player does.
Intuition: if a given player has a dominated strategy and that player is rational, then we would expect the player not to choose such strategy
What is the difference between dominant and dominated strategies?
A player will always choose a dominant strategy, however, NEVER a dominated strategy. However, when we have a dominated strategy, it doesn’t tell us which strategy the player will then choose.
What is the importance of rationality in a game?
It is not only important whether players are rational. It is also important whether players believe the other players are important.
What is a Nash equilibrium?
A pair of strategies constitutes a Nash equilibrium if no other player can unilaterally change its strategy in a way that improves payoff.
Most games have a NE, but not all.
Equilibria sometimes requires players to randomly choose one of the actions
What are the assumptions for a monopoly?
- Well-defined market
- One single supplier
- Seller chooses a price to maximize profits
What is the profit condition for a monopoly?
MR=MC
How does the price elasticity of demand relate to the price-cost margin?
The more inelastic (steep demand curve) the demand is, the greater is the price-cost margin for the monopoly → inelasticity leads to higher price, i.e. higher markup
What is monopoly power and how is it related to demand elasticity?
- The ability of the firm to sell at a price substantially above costs
- It is inversely related to the demand elasticity
- Inelastic markets (0<ϵ<1) imply high degree of monopoly power (easier for monopoly to set price substantially above costs)
- Elastic markets (1<ϵ) imply low degree of monopoly power (harder for monopoly to set price substantially above costs)
- I.e. monopoly is not as much about market shares, but more about the ability to sell at a price substantially above costs (monopoly power)
What is the allocative efficiency under monopoly?
- Monopoly implies allocative inefficiency
- I.e. price is greater than marginal costs (P>MC)
What is a natural monopoly?
- A situation where only one firm is viable, and thus the optimal solution to only have one firms (e.g. due to large fixed costs / economies of scale)
- Solution: direct regulation of the firm
- For example, set price equal to average costs
- But, can lead to no incentives to reduce costs or improve quality
- For example, set price equal to average costs
What is a monopoly bottleneck?
- When the monopolist’s assets or output is an essential facility
- E.g. an airport, railroads, etc.
What is the Efficient Component Pricing Rule (ECPR)?
- Implies that the maximum price an integrated firm can charge another downstream firm is w2=p1-c1
- Meaning that, the other firm can set the same price, but will only receive a positive margin if its marginal costs are lower: c2 < c1
- Implies productive efficiency (however, can end in monopoly prices)
What are the assumptions for perfect competition?
- Many small independent sellers and many small independent buyers
- Homogenous product
- Perfect information regarding price (Sellers and buyers are price takers)
- Free entry in long run (zero profits (for marginal firm))
Or as quoted by the book:
- Atomicity (many suppliers)
- Product homogeneity
- Perfect information
- Equal access (symmetric cost functions)
- Free entry
What are the characteristics of perfect competition?
- An individual firm cannot affect price or quantity
- Long run equilibrium: No firms want to enter/exit: P=MR=MC and P=AC
- Short run definition: firms cannot change the usage of fixed inputs
- Long run definition: firms can change all factors of production
- Long run equilibrium has both productive and allocative efficiency (it is actually the condition for perfect condition)
- Demand faced by each firm is horizontal
- Perfect competition only leads to maximum efficiency given the existing technology → does not say anything about technological progress
- Positive profits: firms are attracted to industry
- Negative profits: firms make losses and exit
- Because technology is the same (equal access assumption): firms receive zero supranormal profits in long run
- All plants must be of same size in long run
What is the allocative efficiency under perfect competition?
- Equilibrium is efficient:
- Firms set efficient output (P = MC) (max allocative efficiency)
- Active firms are efficient in LR (P = min AC) (productive efficiency)
What is productive efficiency?
Productive efficiency: goods are sold and produced at the lowest possible average cost (P = min AC )
What is allocative efficiency?
Allocative efficiency: that price is equal to marginal cost of production (measured by total surplus) (P = MC)
What is dynamic efficiency?
Dynamic efficiency: rate of introduction of new products and improvements in production techniques
What are the assumptions of competitive selection?
- Atomicity (many suppliers)
- Product homogeneity
- Perfect information
- Firms must incur a sunk cost in order to enter
- Not all firms have access to same technology (not symmetric cost functions)
Three first assumptions are the same as perfect competition, number 4 is new, and 5 is changed. Moreover, the assumption that there is free entry is gone
What is the characterisation of competitive selection?
- Firms have different degrees of efficiency (different cost functions – more efficient firms have lower marginal cost)
- Each firm is uncertain about its own efficiency (firm has a vague idea upon entry, and gradually adjust to optimal efficiency)
Implies that (remember that firms do not know their exact costs upon entry):
- Firms that incur high production costs gradually decrease their output and might exit
- Firms that incur low production costs gradually increase their output and stay
How does competitive selection consist with the empirical facts?
- Different firms earn different profit rates (also in long run)
- Simultaneous entry and exit in the same industry (new entrants do not know if they will be unprofitable beforehand so they will enter, and existing unprofitable firms have found out that they are unprofitable so they exit)
- Efficient firms have higher output, and inefficient firms have low output (implying that entrant and firms exiting have lower output than average)
Is the equilibrium under competitive selection efficient?
The equilibrium under competitive selection is efficient
What are the assumption of monopolistic competition?
- Atomicity (many suppliers)
- No product homogeneity
- Perfect information
- Equal access (symmetric cost functions)
- Free entry
What are the characteristics of monopolistic competiton?
- Demand faced by each firm is not horizontal
- Changing the assumptions (homogeneity, access, entry) about perfect competition does not change the results much
- Strategic behaviour changes things more radically
- Divide industries into:
- Highly concentrated (monopoly)
- Oligopolies
- Competitive industries (perfect competition, monopolistic competition, competitive selection)
What happens in the short-run in monopolistic competition?
- P > AC (price could also be lower – it depends on number of firms)
- As long as P ≠ AC it is the short-run equilibrium
- If P > AC → more firms enter
- If P < AC → firms exit
What happens in the long-run in monopolistic competition?
- Firms maximize profits: MR=MC
- Firms make zero profit: P=AC
- Remember that under perfect competition, we had that price should be equal to the minimum of average cost. This is not the case here.
How is monopolistic competition similar to perfect competition?
- Because of free entry, profits are zero in the long run (P = AC)
- However, remember that the there still is a difference here. Under perfect competition price is equal to minimum of average costs, while under monopolistic competition, the price is just equal to average costs.
How is monopolistic competition different from perfect competition?
- Price is equal to minimum of average costs under perfect competition (P = min AC )
- Price is greater than the minimum of average costs under monopolistic competition (P > min AC )
What is the allocative efficiency under monopolistic competition?
P > MC implies that total surplus would increase by increasing output
See the condition for maximum allocative efficiency (P = MC)
What is the productive efficiency under monopolistic competition?
- P > min AC implies that total costs for the industry would be lower if fewer firms produced a higher output
- See the condition for maximum production efficiency (P = min AC )
- Because firms are price makers
- → They do not produce at the minimum of their average costs
What are the characteristics of an oligopoly?
- Few competitors
- If only 2 competitors: Duopoly
- Strategic interdependencies
- Perfect competition and monopoly does not have to react to competitors
- In oligopoly, however: an action by one firm is likely to influence another firm
What are the assumption of the Bertrand model?
- 2 firms
- Homogenous product
- Simultaneously set prices
- One period (price is chosen once and for all)
- No capacity constraints
- In book: Same constant marginal cost
- In book: Linear demand
What is the Nash Equilibrium in the Bertrand model?
- A pair of prices such that no firm can increase profits by unilaterally changing price
- Each firm will undercut the other, until price is equal to marginal costs, as an undercut in price by little will steal all demand
- Result: P = MC (Allocative efficiency)
- Result: price ends at perfect competition, even with only 2 competitors
Why is the Bertrand model not very realistic?
- There are no profits
- Change from 1 firms to 2 firms is changing profits from monopoly to 0
What kind of competition is there in the Bertrand model?
Price competition
What is the Bertrand paradox?
- Product differentiation (Chapter 12)
- Undercutting the rival if products are not homogenous will not necessarily lead to all demand, and thus, it does not lead price down to marginal costs
- Dynamic competition → Repeated interaction (Chapter 8 - Collusion)
- When prices are set more than once, and competition is over more than one period, it may not drive prices down to MC even though product is homogenous
- Capacity constraints (Chapter 7)
- What happens if firms are constrained by capacity?
What are the assumption in the Bertrand model with capacity constraints?
- 2 firms
- Homogenous product
- Simultaneously set prices
- In book: Same constant marginal cost
- Each firm is constrained by its capacity ki
- Capacity: long-run variable
- Price: short-run variable
What is the equilibrium in the Bertrand model with capacity constraints?
- pi = P (ki + kj)
- Price is set such that the industry total capacity is equal to the demand curve. I.e. firms are producing as much as the can to the highest possible price.
- It can not pay of for an individual firm to set price above or below. As if they set it below, they will not receive more demand, because they are capacity constrained (thus, they just lower their own profit).
- If the total industry capacity is low in relation to market demand, then equilibrium prices are greater than marginal costs
- Meaning that, if capacity is sufficiently large, prices will must end up being equal to marginal costs (back to old Bertrand model).
- The same result applies if firm must decide capacity beforehand
What are the assumptions of the Cournot model?
- Constant marginal costs
- Simultaneously choose quantity (output)
- Homogenous product
What kind of competition is the Cournot model?
Quantity competition:
- You cannot set a lower price and get higher market-share, because you are committed to the quantity produced (and the others know you are committed). Therefore, you only compete on quantity.
What are the characteristics of the Cournot model?
- What output levels should firms choose in the first place?
- Price is set such that the demand equals the total quantity produced by both firms
- Static model
What are the steps in the Cournot model?
- First step:
- Derive each firm’s optimal choice given what it thinks the rival does
- I.e. derive the firm’s reaction curve
- Second step:
- Put reaction curves together
- Find a mutually consistent combination of actions and guesses
What is the residual demand curve in the Cournot model?
- All possible combinations of firm i’s quantity and price for a given quantity of firm j
What is the best response function in the Cournot model?
What is the Nash-Cournot equilibrium?
- A pair of values (qi, qj) such that qi is firm i’s optimal response given qj, and likewise, qj is firm 2’s optimal response given qi
- The intersection of the firms’ reaction curves
- Note: when demand is linear and marginal cost is constant, there is only 1 equilibrium (otherwise, more than 1 can exist).
What is the profit in the Cournot model?
Profit firm i: πi = Pqi - C (qi) = [a - b (qi + qj)] qi - cqi
What is the first order condition in the Cournot model?
What is the best response function with more than 2 firms in the Cournot model?
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- If n goes up, individual quantity goes down, total quantity goes up, market price goes down, and markup goes down
- If n goes towards infinity, we have zero markup and a perfectly competitive market
What is the comparative static of an increase in MC in the Cournot model?
Is the Bertrand or Cournot model better?
- Industries differ – so model depends on industry and circumstances
- In general:
- If capacity can easily be adjusted but prices cannot
- Bertrand is the better approximation
- If prices can easily be adjusted but capacity cannot
- Cournot is the better approximation
- If capacity can easily be adjusted but prices cannot
What are the characteristics of collusion?
- Increases market power
- Secret agreements
- Intuition: that each firm’s decision involves a trade-off between short-run gains and medium- to long-term losses
How is model of Collusion?
A dynamic Bertrand game:
- Prices change over time with t = 1, 2, …
- In each period, prices are set simultaneously
- A Bertrand game is played in each period of an infinite series of periods
- Also called a dynamic game
- Follows a grim strategy
- A strategy that can continue until it is first violated, and will not work anymore thereafter
- As long as the game is ‘respected’ prices are set at monopoly level
What is the equilibrium under collusion?
The dynamic Bertrand games for collusion basically check if the payoff for deviating one period (and thus gain monopoly profit once) is higher or lower than the discounted payoff forever
- V = discounted equilibrium payoff
- V’ = payoff from optimal deviation (monopoly profit once)
What is the discount factor in collusion?
Why don’t we observe collusion more often?
- Antitrust policies
- Probability of continuation, when there are a lot of firms (the probability each firm exists in the next period is low, if the rate of entry and exits is high, therefore, firms have no incentive to collude)
- The proposed trigger strategies might not be an equilibrium because the involved punishments are not credible.
- Not all prices are observed with precision
What are some conclusions on collusion?
- If price cuts are difficult to observe, then occasional price wars may be necessary to collusion
- Collusion is more likely in concentrated industries
- Collusion is more likely between symmetric firms (e.g. symmetric MC)
- Collusion is more likely if firms compete in more than 1 industry
What are the notations under collusion?
- δ = Discount factor
- V = discounted equilibrium payoff
- V’ = payoff from optimal deviation (monopoly profit once)
- r = interest rate
- f = frequency
- h = probability industry exists 1 period later
- g = industry growth rate
How many firm does it take for the Cournot to converge towards perfect competition?
- It does not take a large number of firms, for competition to be close to perfect competition
- When there are 15 firms, the allocative inefficiency as a percentage of allocative inefficiency under monopoly is 1.5%.
- If we have more than 2 symmetric firms, the equitation for the Cournot equilibrium becomes (output is identical for all firms):
What is market power?
The Lerner index