IOA2017Q13 Flashcards

1
Q

What is interdependent decision making?

A

When your payoff does not only depend on your own decision, but also another player’s decision.

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2
Q

What is a game?

A

A stylized model that depicts situations of strategic behaviour, where the payoff for one agent depend on its own actions as well as on the actions of other agents.

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3
Q

What does a game consists of?

A

A set of: players, rules, and payoff

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4
Q

What are the two types of decision-making?

A

Simultaneous decision making

Sequential decision making

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5
Q

What is a dominant strategy?

A

A strategy that is strictly better than any other strategy regardless of the other players’ strategy choices.

If a player has a dominant strategy and if the player is rational, we should expect the player to choose the dominant strategy (we do not even need to assume the other players to be rational)

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6
Q

What is the prisoner’s dilemma?

A

It depicts the conflict between individual incentives and joint incentives.

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7
Q

What is a dominated strategy?

A

One whose payoff is inferior to that of another strategy regardless of what the other player does.

Intuition: if a given player has a dominated strategy and that player is rational, then we would expect the player not to choose such strategy

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8
Q

What is the difference between dominant and dominated strategies?

A

A player will always choose a dominant strategy, however, NEVER a dominated strategy. However, when we have a dominated strategy, it doesn’t tell us which strategy the player will then choose.

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9
Q

What is the importance of rationality in a game?

A

It is not only important whether players are rational. It is also important whether players believe the other players are important.

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10
Q

What is a Nash equilibrium?

A

A pair of strategies constitutes a Nash equilibrium if no other player can unilaterally change its strategy in a way that improves payoff.

Most games have a NE, but not all.

Equilibria sometimes requires players to randomly choose one of the actions

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11
Q

What are the assumptions for a monopoly?

A
  • Well-defined market
  • One single supplier
  • Seller chooses a price to maximize profits
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12
Q

What is the profit condition for a monopoly?

A

MR=MC

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13
Q

How does the price elasticity of demand relate to the price-cost margin?

A

The more inelastic (steep demand curve) the demand is, the greater is the price-cost margin for the monopoly → inelasticity leads to higher price, i.e. higher markup

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14
Q

What is monopoly power and how is it related to demand elasticity?

A
  • The ability of the firm to sell at a price substantially above costs
  • It is inversely related to the demand elasticity
    • Inelastic markets (0<ϵ<1) imply high degree of monopoly power (easier for monopoly to set price substantially above costs)
    • Elastic markets (1<ϵ) imply low degree of monopoly power (harder for monopoly to set price substantially above costs)
  • I.e. monopoly is not as much about market shares, but more about the ability to sell at a price substantially above costs (monopoly power)
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15
Q

What is the allocative efficiency under monopoly?

A
  • Monopoly implies allocative inefficiency
    • I.e. price is greater than marginal costs (P>MC)
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16
Q

What is a natural monopoly?

A
  • A situation where only one firm is viable, and thus the optimal solution to only have one firms (e.g. due to large fixed costs / economies of scale)
  • Solution: direct regulation of the firm
    • For example, set price equal to average costs
      • But, can lead to no incentives to reduce costs or improve quality
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17
Q

What is a monopoly bottleneck?

A
  • When the monopolist’s assets or output is an essential facility
  • E.g. an airport, railroads, etc.
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18
Q

What is the Efficient Component Pricing Rule (ECPR)?

A
  • Implies that the maximum price an integrated firm can charge another downstream firm is w2=p1-c1
  • Meaning that, the other firm can set the same price, but will only receive a positive margin if its marginal costs are lower: c2 < c1
  • Implies productive efficiency (however, can end in monopoly prices)
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19
Q

What are the assumptions for perfect competition?

A
  • Many small independent sellers and many small independent buyers
  • Homogenous product
  • Perfect information regarding price (Sellers and buyers are price takers)
  • Free entry in long run (zero profits (for marginal firm))

Or as quoted by the book:

  • Atomicity (many suppliers)
  • Product homogeneity
  • Perfect information
  • Equal access (symmetric cost functions)
  • Free entry
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20
Q

What are the characteristics of perfect competition?

A
  • An individual firm cannot affect price or quantity
  • Long run equilibrium: No firms want to enter/exit: P=MR=MC and P=AC
  • Short run definition: firms cannot change the usage of fixed inputs
  • Long run definition: firms can change all factors of production
  • Long run equilibrium has both productive and allocative efficiency (it is actually the condition for perfect condition)
  • Demand faced by each firm is horizontal
  • Perfect competition only leads to maximum efficiency given the existing technology → does not say anything about technological progress
  • Positive profits: firms are attracted to industry
  • Negative profits: firms make losses and exit
  • Because technology is the same (equal access assumption): firms receive zero supranormal profits in long run
  • All plants must be of same size in long run
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21
Q

What is the allocative efficiency under perfect competition?

A
  • Equilibrium is efficient:
    • Firms set efficient output (P = MC) (max allocative efficiency)
    • Active firms are efficient in LR (P = min AC) (productive efficiency)
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22
Q

What is productive efficiency?

A

Productive efficiency: goods are sold and produced at the lowest possible average cost (P = min AC )

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23
Q

What is allocative efficiency?

A

Allocative efficiency: that price is equal to marginal cost of production (measured by total surplus) (P = MC)

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24
Q

What is dynamic efficiency?

A

Dynamic efficiency: rate of introduction of new products and improvements in production techniques

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25
Q

What are the assumptions of competitive selection?

A
  • Atomicity (many suppliers)
  • Product homogeneity
  • Perfect information
  • Firms must incur a sunk cost in order to enter
  • Not all firms have access to same technology (not symmetric cost functions)

Three first assumptions are the same as perfect competition, number 4 is new, and 5 is changed. Moreover, the assumption that there is free entry is gone

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26
Q

What is the characterisation of competitive selection?

A
  • Firms have different degrees of efficiency (different cost functions – more efficient firms have lower marginal cost)
  • Each firm is uncertain about its own efficiency (firm has a vague idea upon entry, and gradually adjust to optimal efficiency)

Implies that (remember that firms do not know their exact costs upon entry):

  • Firms that incur high production costs gradually decrease their output and might exit
  • Firms that incur low production costs gradually increase their output and stay
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27
Q

How does competitive selection consist with the empirical facts?

A
  • Different firms earn different profit rates (also in long run)
  • Simultaneous entry and exit in the same industry (new entrants do not know if they will be unprofitable beforehand so they will enter, and existing unprofitable firms have found out that they are unprofitable so they exit)
  • Efficient firms have higher output, and inefficient firms have low output (implying that entrant and firms exiting have lower output than average)
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28
Q

Is the equilibrium under competitive selection efficient?

A

The equilibrium under competitive selection is efficient

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29
Q

What are the assumption of monopolistic competition?

A
  • Atomicity (many suppliers)
  • No product homogeneity
  • Perfect information
  • Equal access (symmetric cost functions)
  • Free entry
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30
Q

What are the characteristics of monopolistic competiton?

A
  • Demand faced by each firm is not horizontal
  • Changing the assumptions (homogeneity, access, entry) about perfect competition does not change the results much
  • Strategic behaviour changes things more radically
  • Divide industries into:
    • Highly concentrated (monopoly)
    • Oligopolies
    • Competitive industries (perfect competition, monopolistic competition, competitive selection)
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31
Q

What happens in the short-run in monopolistic competition?

A
  • P > AC (price could also be lower – it depends on number of firms)
  • As long as P ≠ AC it is the short-run equilibrium
  • If P > AC → more firms enter
  • If P < AC → firms exit
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32
Q

What happens in the long-run in monopolistic competition?

A
  • Firms maximize profits: MR=MC
  • Firms make zero profit: P=AC
    • Remember that under perfect competition, we had that price should be equal to the minimum of average cost. This is not the case here.
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33
Q

How is monopolistic competition similar to perfect competition?

A
  • Because of free entry, profits are zero in the long run (P = AC)
    • However, remember that the there still is a difference here. Under perfect competition price is equal to minimum of average costs, while under monopolistic competition, the price is just equal to average costs.
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34
Q

How is monopolistic competition different from perfect competition?

A
  • Price is equal to minimum of average costs under perfect competition (P = min AC )
  • Price is greater than the minimum of average costs under monopolistic competition (P > min AC )
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35
Q

What is the allocative efficiency under monopolistic competition?

A

P > MC implies that total surplus would increase by increasing output

See the condition for maximum allocative efficiency (P = MC)

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36
Q

What is the productive efficiency under monopolistic competition?

A
  • P > min AC implies that total costs for the industry would be lower if fewer firms produced a higher output
  • See the condition for maximum production efficiency (P = min AC )
  • Because firms are price makers
  • → They do not produce at the minimum of their average costs
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37
Q

What are the characteristics of an oligopoly?

A
  • Few competitors
    • If only 2 competitors: Duopoly
  • Strategic interdependencies
    • Perfect competition and monopoly does not have to react to competitors
    • In oligopoly, however: an action by one firm is likely to influence another firm
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38
Q

What are the assumption of the Bertrand model?

A
  • 2 firms
  • Homogenous product
  • Simultaneously set prices
  • One period (price is chosen once and for all)
  • No capacity constraints
  • In book: Same constant marginal cost
  • In book: Linear demand
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39
Q

What is the Nash Equilibrium in the Bertrand model?

A
  • A pair of prices such that no firm can increase profits by unilaterally changing price
  • Each firm will undercut the other, until price is equal to marginal costs, as an undercut in price by little will steal all demand
  • Result: P = MC (Allocative efficiency)
  • Result: price ends at perfect competition, even with only 2 competitors
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40
Q

Why is the Bertrand model not very realistic?

A
  • There are no profits
  • Change from 1 firms to 2 firms is changing profits from monopoly to 0
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41
Q

What kind of competition is there in the Bertrand model?

A

Price competition

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42
Q

What is the Bertrand paradox?

A
  • Product differentiation (Chapter 12)
    • Undercutting the rival if products are not homogenous will not necessarily lead to all demand, and thus, it does not lead price down to marginal costs
  • Dynamic competition → Repeated interaction (Chapter 8 - Collusion)
    • When prices are set more than once, and competition is over more than one period, it may not drive prices down to MC even though product is homogenous
  • Capacity constraints (Chapter 7)
    • What happens if firms are constrained by capacity?
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43
Q

What are the assumption in the Bertrand model with capacity constraints?

A
  • 2 firms
  • Homogenous product
  • Simultaneously set prices
  • In book: Same constant marginal cost
  • Each firm is constrained by its capacity ki
  • Capacity: long-run variable
  • Price: short-run variable
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44
Q

What is the equilibrium in the Bertrand model with capacity constraints?

A
  • pi = P (ki + kj)
  • Price is set such that the industry total capacity is equal to the demand curve. I.e. firms are producing as much as the can to the highest possible price.
  • It can not pay of for an individual firm to set price above or below. As if they set it below, they will not receive more demand, because they are capacity constrained (thus, they just lower their own profit).
  • If the total industry capacity is low in relation to market demand, then equilibrium prices are greater than marginal costs
    • Meaning that, if capacity is sufficiently large, prices will must end up being equal to marginal costs (back to old Bertrand model).
  • The same result applies if firm must decide capacity beforehand
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45
Q

What are the assumptions of the Cournot model?

A
  • Constant marginal costs
  • Simultaneously choose quantity (output)
  • Homogenous product
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46
Q

What kind of competition is the Cournot model?

A

Quantity competition:

  • You cannot set a lower price and get higher market-share, because you are committed to the quantity produced (and the others know you are committed). Therefore, you only compete on quantity.
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47
Q

What are the characteristics of the Cournot model?

A
  • What output levels should firms choose in the first place?
  • Price is set such that the demand equals the total quantity produced by both firms
  • Static model
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48
Q

What are the steps in the Cournot model?

A
  • First step:
    • Derive each firm’s optimal choice given what it thinks the rival does
    • I.e. derive the firm’s reaction curve
  • Second step:
    • Put reaction curves together
    • Find a mutually consistent combination of actions and guesses
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49
Q

What is the residual demand curve in the Cournot model?

A
  • All possible combinations of firm i’s quantity and price for a given quantity of firm j
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50
Q

What is the best response function in the Cournot model?

A
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51
Q

What is the Nash-Cournot equilibrium?

A
  • A pair of values (qi, qj) such that qi is firm i’s optimal response given qj, and likewise, qj is firm 2’s optimal response given qi
  • The intersection of the firms’ reaction curves
  • Note: when demand is linear and marginal cost is constant, there is only 1 equilibrium (otherwise, more than 1 can exist).
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52
Q

What is the profit in the Cournot model?

A

Profit firm i: πi = Pqi - C (qi) = [a - b (qi + qj)] qi - cqi

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53
Q

What is the first order condition in the Cournot model?

A
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54
Q

What is the best response function with more than 2 firms in the Cournot model?

A

[image]

  • If n goes up, individual quantity goes down, total quantity goes up, market price goes down, and markup goes down
  • If n goes towards infinity, we have zero markup and a perfectly competitive market
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55
Q

What is the comparative static of an increase in MC in the Cournot model?

A
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56
Q

Is the Bertrand or Cournot model better?

A
  • Industries differ – so model depends on industry and circumstances
  • In general:
    • If capacity can easily be adjusted but prices cannot
      • Bertrand is the better approximation
    • If prices can easily be adjusted but capacity cannot
      • Cournot is the better approximation
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57
Q

What are the characteristics of collusion?

A
  • Increases market power
  • Secret agreements
  • Intuition: that each firm’s decision involves a trade-off between short-run gains and medium- to long-term losses
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58
Q

How is model of Collusion?

A

A dynamic Bertrand game:

  • Prices change over time with t = 1, 2, …
  • In each period, prices are set simultaneously
  • A Bertrand game is played in each period of an infinite series of periods
    • Also called a dynamic game
  • Follows a grim strategy
    • A strategy that can continue until it is first violated, and will not work anymore thereafter
    • As long as the game is ‘respected’ prices are set at monopoly level
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59
Q

What is the equilibrium under collusion?

A

The dynamic Bertrand games for collusion basically check if the payoff for deviating one period (and thus gain monopoly profit once) is higher or lower than the discounted payoff forever

  • V = discounted equilibrium payoff
  • V’ = payoff from optimal deviation (monopoly profit once)
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60
Q

What is the discount factor in collusion?

A
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61
Q

Why don’t we observe collusion more often?

A
  • Antitrust policies
  • Probability of continuation, when there are a lot of firms (the probability each firm exists in the next period is low, if the rate of entry and exits is high, therefore, firms have no incentive to collude)
  • The proposed trigger strategies might not be an equilibrium because the involved punishments are not credible.
  • Not all prices are observed with precision
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62
Q

What are some conclusions on collusion?

A
  • If price cuts are difficult to observe, then occasional price wars may be necessary to collusion
  • Collusion is more likely in concentrated industries
  • Collusion is more likely between symmetric firms (e.g. symmetric MC)
  • Collusion is more likely if firms compete in more than 1 industry
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63
Q

What are the notations under collusion?

A
  • δ = Discount factor
  • V = discounted equilibrium payoff
  • V’ = payoff from optimal deviation (monopoly profit once)
  • r = interest rate
  • f = frequency
  • h = probability industry exists 1 period later
  • g = industry growth rate
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64
Q

How many firm does it take for the Cournot to converge towards perfect competition?

A
  • It does not take a large number of firms, for competition to be close to perfect competition
    • When there are 15 firms, the allocative inefficiency as a percentage of allocative inefficiency under monopoly is 1.5%.
  • If we have more than 2 symmetric firms, the equitation for the Cournot equilibrium becomes (output is identical for all firms):
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65
Q

What is market power?

A

The Lerner index

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66
Q

What is the Lerner index?

A
  • Measures market power
    • The ability to set price above marginal costs
    • Implies a higher degree of allocative inefficiency
  • Weighted average of each firm’s margin with weight given to market shares
67
Q

What is the relationship between market power and concentration?

A

The degree of market power is increasing in the degree of concentration (in a cournot market)

L=H / ϵ [see attached image]

  • The lower the ϵ (the more inelastic (0 < ϵ <1) is the market) and the higher is the ability for the monopoly to set a price above marginal costs
    • On the contrary, the higher the ϵ (the more elastic (ϵ > 1) is the market) and the worse is the ability for the monopoly to set a price above marginal costs
  • So, the Lerner index (market power) is increasing the lower the elasticity.
    • And, the Lerner index (market power) is increasing as market concentration increases
      • Hence, the ability to set prices above marginal costs increases as the number of firms in the industry decreases
      • Market concentration measures the number of firms, however, it does not only depend on the number of firms, it also depends on the market share of each firm. (E.g. an industry with 3 firms, with market shares 70%, 15%, 15% has a higher concentration than an industry with 2 firms and market share 50%, 50% - but not by much).
68
Q

What is the Herfindahl index?

A
  • Measures market concentration
  • The sum of the squared market share of all firms
69
Q

How is market concentration measured?

A

By the Herfindahl index (Market Concentration):

  • The sum of the squared market share of all firms
70
Q

What is the C4?

A
  • Measures market concentration
  • The sum of the market share of m firms:
71
Q

What is the Structure-Conduct-Performance paradigm (SCP)?

A

Structure (concentration)

Conduct (behaviour of firms, e.g. collusion)

Performance (market power, allocative efficiency etc.)

  • Influence (→) on each other
    • Structure → conduct
      • Collusion is easier with few firms
      • Collusion is easier when firms are similar
    • Structure (H) → performance (L)
      • The higher the concentration (H), the higher the market power (L)
        • Derived above from the equation: L=H / ϵ [see attached image]
        • L is increasing in H
    • Conduct → performance (L)
      • The more competitive firms behave, the lower the market power, and the greater the allocative efficiency
        • Bertrand equilibrium (P = MC) vs. collusive price setting (P > MC)
  • Structure-Performance hypothesis:
    • Implies that we have positive relationship between structure (concentration, H) and performance (market power, L)
72
Q

What is the Structure-Performance hypothesis?

A

Implies that we have positive relationship between structure (concentration, H) and performance (market power, L)

73
Q

What is the Simultaneity problem (feedback effect)?

A
  • The Structure-Performance hypothesis ignores the possibility of a reserve link between Market structure and performance
  • As price is increased and the number of firms adjusts, concentration decreases as market power increases
  • Now:
    • Market structure = endogenous
    • Market performance = exogenous
74
Q

What is collusion hypothesis?

A

Concentration implies market power through increased collusion between firms

Hence, policymakers should be concerned with anything that increases market concentration

75
Q

What does the New Emperical Industrial Organization say?

A
76
Q

What does the degree market power (Lerner index) depend on?

A
  • Demand elasticity, ϵ
  • Market concentration, H
  • Collusive behaviour, θ
77
Q

What is the SSNIP-test?

A

SSNIP = Small significant non-transitory increase in price

Suppose one firm controlled all products in the market:

  1. Would it be profitable to increase all prices by 5-10%?
  2. NO: If new prices don’t give higher profits then need to add suppliers of substitute products to make it a market → to back to 1.
  3. YES: If new prices give higher profits, then we have identified the market. Stop here.
78
Q

What is the notation under collusion?

A
79
Q

What are the types of price discrimination?

A
  • Requires the absence of resale (arbitrage)
  • 3rd degree price discrimination:
    • On observable characteristics
  • 2nd degree price discrimination:
    • Non-observable characteristics
    • Self-selection
  • 1st degree price discrimination:
    • Unique price for each buyer
80
Q

What is the equilibrium for a monopoly doing 3rd degree price discrimination?

A

Monopoly doing 3rd degree price discrimination:

  • Has MC equal to each market’s marginal revenue
  • Firm charges a lower price for market segments with a higher price elasticity (price elasticity greater than 1)
    • Remember: ability to set price above MC decreases as the price elasticity increases
81
Q

What is the two-part tariff for a monopoly under price discrimination?

A
  • Fixed part, f → positive for monopoly
  • Variable part, p → lower than monopoly price
  • Total surplus is greater than under uniform pricing
82
Q

What is the Incentive-compatibility constraint?

A

type i prefers plan i to plan j

83
Q

What is the participation constraint?

A

each consumes prefers to consume relative to not consuming at all

84
Q

How to set the two-part tariff for low and high consumption consumers?

A

For low consumption consumers:

  • Fixed part: f1 = CS1 (p1)
  • Variable part: p1 > c

For high consumption consumers

  • Fixed part: f1 < f2 < CS2 (p2)
  • Variable part: p2=c

High consumption consumers pay a higher fixed fee, and lower variable fee, and low consumption consumers pay a lower fee but higher variable part

Consumers choose the plans they do, because they prefer the one plan compared to the other

Consumers are sorted out by self-selection

Under 2nd degree price competition, the seller must ‘pay a price’ to sort buyers out in means of self-selection

85
Q

What is the definition of vertical relations?

A

Definition: relations between two firms in a sequence along the value chain

  • Upstream firm (M/U) - Manufacturer
  • Downstream firm (R/D) - Retailer
86
Q

Why is the relation between a manufacturer and retailer different from the relation between a retailer and consumer?

A
  1. A manufacturer selling to a retailer does not control most of the variables that determine demand, e.g. price, quality, advertising, sales service etc.
  2. Retailers compete with each other, consumers do not.
87
Q

What is the double marganalization?

A

Integrated firm:

  • π=(pM - c) · D (pM)

Separate firms:

  • πD = (pR - w) · D (pR) → where pR > pM, and w is the same as MC
  • πU = (w - c) · D(p) → where w is wholesale price paid by retailer

Conclusion:

  • π > πD U
  • Because of a double margin being made
  • When firms are separated, two monopoly pricing decisions are being made
88
Q

How is the two-part tariff under vertical relations?

A
  • Manufacturer (upstream firm) sets the price paid by the retailer (downstream firm) equal to the manufacturers marginal costs, i.e. w = c
    • The retailer gets variable profit equal to the integrated profit, however, must pay a fixed fee
  • Moreover, it sets a fixed fee, which is equal to the profit the integrated firm would gain i.e. f=πM, where πM = (pM - c) · D (pM)
    • The manufacturer gets no variable profit, but gets a fixed fee equal to profit for an integrated firm
    • The fixed fee is corresponding to the maximum that the retailer is willing to pay
  • Conclusion:
    • When using a two-part tariff, i.e. allowing for fixed fees, the manufacturer (upstream firm) profit maximization is to maximize joint profits (i.e. maximize profits for an integrated for, and avoiding double marginalization) and then charge a fixed fee equivalent to the join profit, which is the maximum the retailer is willing to pay
89
Q

What are the assumptions for vertical relations?

A
  • No competition at each stage (only 1 downstream firm)
  • Complete information about costs and prices
90
Q

What are the assumptions for retailer competition?

A
  • No capacity constraints for downstream firms
  • More than 1 retailer/downstream firm
  • No other variable costs than the wholesale price paid to the manufacturer
91
Q

What is the conclusion on retailer competition?

A
  • Without retailer competition:
    • If manufacturer sets wholesale price (price paid by retailer) equal to its own marginal costs, it will lead the retailer to set the price equal to monopoly price (where it would otherwise had set it above monopoly price).
  • With retailer competition:
    • If manufacturer sets wholesale price (price paid by retailer) equal to its own marginal costs, it will lead the retailer to set the price below the monopoly price, because it will have an incentive to steal market share from its competitors.
92
Q

What is the conclusion when we have retailer competition?

A
  • With Bertrand competition:
    • The price will be equal to the wholesale price (the price paid by the retailer, i.e. the retailers’ marginal costs, P = MC)
    • w=pM, so the retailers will set p=pM
    • Retailers will get zero profit, and manufacturer gets monopoly profit
  • With Cournot competition:
    • The optimal solution for the manufacturer will be to set a price for the retailer between w and pM
  • Conclusion
  • The greater the degree of competition between retailers, the higher the optimal wholesale price
93
Q

What is Resale-Price Maintenance (RPM)?

A
  • Problem:
    • When retailers do sales efforts to increase sales, it is often the case that other retailers also benefit from it (positive externality)
    • When retailer 1 gives a good service, but charges a higher price than retailer 2, the customer will go to retailer 1 for service, and buy at retailer 2 for a lower price
  • Solution: Resale-Price Maintenance (RPM):
  • Also called a vertical restraint
    • Manufacturer imposes a minimum price on retailers
    • If the minimum price is high enough, retailers will stick to it
      • Every retailer prices at the uniform minimum level
    • Hence, if each retailer prices at the minimum level, and thus have the same prices, all extra effort by the retailers will benefit themselves in form of extra sales.
  • Exclusive territory:
    • Same as RPM, just with territories.
    • Retailer is given the exclusive rights to sell e.g. a specific car-brand within a country, but cannot sell that car in other countries.
    • Advertising effort will only benefit the retailer due to the retailer’s exclusive territory
94
Q

What is slotting allowance?

A

The fact that, when there are many competing manufacturers and few retailers, the manufacturer has to pay a fixed fee (instead of receiving a fixed fee) to the retailer in order to get shelf space

95
Q

What is exclusive dealing?

A

The manufacturer pays the retailer to supply only the manufacturers’ product.

96
Q

How is the notation under vertical relations?

A
  • w= wholesale price
  • f= fixed fee
  • D or R= downstream firm (retailer)
  • U or M= upstream firm (manufacturer)
  • c= marignal costs
  • si = sales effort by firm i
97
Q

What is horizontal differentiation?

A
  • When different consumers value products differently
  • E.g., one consumer might value memory capacity higher than speed, whereas another value higher speed over memory capacity
  • Even though both consumers can agree that both more memory and a higher speed is better, they value them differently
98
Q

What is vertical differentiation?

A
  • Where all consumers prefer a product over another
  • E.g. fuel efficiency (everybody agrees that the more fuel efficiency the better)
  • Universal agreement that more is better
99
Q

What is the characteristics approach?

A
  • The demand for each good is derived from the demand of each characteristics
  • The reason why the recent graduate prefers a Geo, and the CEO prefers a Porsche
100
Q

What are the assumptions of the Bertrand-Hotelling model?

A
  • Large number of buyers - distributed along a line
  • Sellers simultaneously set prices
  • Products differentiation
  • Firm located at each end
  • Location/positioning is given
  • Costumers incurs a transportation costs (t)
101
Q

What are the characteristics of the transportation costs in the Bertrand-Hotelling model?

A
  • Costumers incurs a transportation costs (t)
    • The transportation costs determines the slope of the demand curve, the higher the t, the steeper the demand
    • The lower the transportation costs, the flatter the demand curve
      • And the closer price will be to MC (the closer to Bertrand competition)
    • A greater value corresponds to a greater degree of product differentiation
102
Q

What is the conclusion of the Bertrand-Hotelling model?

A
  • The greater the degree of product differentiation, the greater the degree of market power:
    • Remember definition of market power (Lerner index): the ability to set a higher markup, i.e. set a higher price than marginal costs
103
Q

What are the assumption of product positioning?

A
  • Product positioning/location is no longer given
    • Firms choose their position
    • Implies a strategic behaviour​
  • Firms choose position firms (LR variable) and then choose price (SR variable)
104
Q

What is the direct effect?

A
  • Direct effect (induces firms to locate close to each other):
    • When prices are given, then we see the direct effect takes place, which implies that for a given price, one of the firms will locate closer to the other firms where the demand is, and thus get higher profits
105
Q

What is the strategic effect?

A
  • Strategic effect (leads firm to differentiate):
    • Implies that, if prices are NOT given (and they are normally not → they are determined in second period), then firms locating close to each other will end up in a Bertrand competition with zero profits (as the product is the same in the eyes of the consumers). Therefore, they will differentiate their products (move to another location to avoid Bertrand).
106
Q

What is the conclusion of product positioning?

A

If price competition is intense, then firms tend to locate far apart (high degree of differentiation). If price competition is not intense, then firms tend to locate close to the center (low degree of differentiation).

107
Q

How does search/switching cost affect the Hotelling model?

A
  • Homogenous products, but consumers treat sellers differently, which is the same as product differentiation
  • Consumers are imperfectly informed about prices
  • Incurs a search costs, s
    • If s = 0 → Bertrand equilibrium, and P = MC
    • If s > 0 → may lead to monopoly price, P = u
      • No firms have an incentive to reduce price
      • Lowering price will only lower revenue
108
Q

What is the conclusion of search/switching costs in the Hotelling model?

A

The greater the search or switching costs, the greater the sellers’ market power tends to be

109
Q

What is the tourists-local model?

A

Tourists-locals model:

  • Some consumers might incur positive search costs (tourists), while others incur no search costs (locals)
    • Store with high price: only sells to those with a positive search costs, that happens to enter the store (i.e. tourists that happen to go into the expensive store). Will not sell to the locals, as they have no search costs, and will thus go to the cheap store
    • Store with low price: sells to both locals and tourists (i.e. tourists that happen to go into the cheap store)
110
Q

What is the notation under product differentiation?

A
  • b<em>ij</em> = consumer i’s valuation for characteristic j
  • c<em>kj</em> = how much k has of characteristic j
  • k = the product
  • j = the characteristic
  • m = number of characteristics
  • t = travel costs
  • x = indifferent consumer
  • u = max price a consumer is willing to pay
111
Q

What are the types of advertising and goods?

A
  • Informative advertising: describes the products characteristics (provides information)
    • Has value for consumers
  • Persuasive advertising: aims to change consumers’ preferences
    • Little direct value
  • Search good: features and quality is known beforehand
  • Experience good: features and quality is not known beforehand (i.e. taste of wine)
  • Advertising expenditures may serve to signal product quality
112
Q

What is the effect of advertising?

A
  • Leaving aside whether advertising is informative or persuasive:
    • Simply assume that: advertising expenditures imply a shift in the consumer demand curve
113
Q

What is add-elasticity?

A
  • Marginal gain from advertising is greater the more sensitive the demand curve (the more add-elastic the demand curve) is to advertising
    • Add-inelastic: advertising has little impact, and only shifts demand out to the right by a little
    • Add-elastic: advertising has larger impact, and shits demand out to the right by more
114
Q

What is the relationship between demand- and add-elasticity?

A

Tmore price elastic the demand curve, ϵ (NOT ADD-elastic, η, here we talk about the price elasticity of the demand itself), the less is the effect of advertising.

  • Remember from chapter 5:
    • The more elastic the demand curve, the less market power, and the lower ability to set a high markup
    • The more inelastic the demand curve, the more market power, and the better ability to set a high markup (i.e. price above MC)
115
Q

What is the Dorfman-Steiner formula?

A

[formula: attached image]

η= how much does quantity demanded increase (in percent) when advertising expenditures are increased by 1%?

ϵ= how much does quantity demanded decrease (in percent) when price is increased by 1%?

116
Q

What is the advertising-to-sales ratio?

A

The advertising-to-sales ratio, a/R, is greater the greater the advertising elasticity of demand, η, and the lower the price elasticity of demand, ϵ.

117
Q

What is the relationship between market structure and the Dorman-Steiner formula?

A

[see attached image for formulas]

Effect of market structure:

  • On price elasticity:
    • The more fragmented the industry, the greater the price elasticity of demand
    • I.e., as n↑→ϵ↑
    • The more firms, the more the demand decreases for a 1% increase in price → i.e. the flatter line
    • As η/ϵ↑↓=a/R↓, so as the number of firms goes up, the expected advertising intensity is expected to go down
  • On advertising elasticity:
    • On the one extreme: advertising increases every firms demand equally
      • The more fragmented the industry, the more firms advertising benefit, and the less the advertising benefit the firm itself
      • Advertising, η, decreases, as the number of firms increases
      • i.e. n↑→η↓
      • As η↓/ϵ↓= a/R↓, so as the number of firms goes up, the expected advertising intensity is expected to go down
    • On the other extreme: advertising does not increase demand, but switches demand between sellers
      • Opposite effect than above. The more fragmented the industry, the higher the advertising elasticity (as there are more firms to steal customers from)
      • In fact, if n = 1, i.e. monopoly, advertising elasticity = 0, as the monopoly cannot steal market-share from itself
      • i.e. n↑→η↑
      • As η↑/ϵ↑=a/R↑, so as the number of firms goes up, the expected advertising intensity is expected to go up
  • The net-effect of the market structure:
    • Two effect implies that more concentration implies less advertising intensity, whereas the last effect implies a higher advertising intensity.
    • Net-effect is ambiguous
118
Q

What are the assumptions of the advertising and price competition model?

A
  • Homogenous products
  • Advertising only shifts market shares (does not increase demand, i.e. demand is constant)
  • The one that advertises more receives all demand
119
Q

What game is played in the advertising and price competition model?

A

Bertrand game:

  • We will have a game similar to a Bertrand, where firms advertise until net profit is equal to 0, because on firm will have an incentive to advertise just a bit more than the other, until profits are 0
120
Q

What is the conclusion of the advertising and price competition model?

A

Repeated interaction:

  • As we have seen with collusion, repeated interaction might lead to P > MC
  • However, there are differences:
    • Frequency:
      • Prices are often set more often than advertising budget, so the frequency of the game is lower for advertising than for prices.
      • Remember from chapter with collusion, that the discount factor is decreasing in the frequency
    • Short and long run effects.
      • Prices only have a short-run effect
      • Advertising has a long-run effect (brand equity)
  • Therefore: it will be harder for firms to keep advertising at a low level (i.e. collude with respect to advertising-ish) because the discount factor if higher → greater incentive to break the cartel
121
Q

What are the difference between advertising prices and characteristics?

A
  • Advertising product characteristics:
    • Likely to increase product differentiation and soften price competition
  • Advertising prices:
    • Likely to increase price competition
122
Q

What is the notation under advertising?

A
  • a/R = advertising-to-revenues ratio
  • η/ϵ = Dorfman-Steiner formula
  • η = demand elasticity with respect to advertising expenditure
  • ϵ = price elasticity of demand
123
Q

What are the assumptions of the free entry equilibrium?

A
  • All firms have access to same unique available technology
    • Costs-function: C=F + cq is the same for all
  • Firms have perfect information regarding the market (they all know the demand function
  • The entry process is well coordinated
    • Each firm make their entry decision sequentially, knowing the decision earlier entrants have made
  • All firms in equilibrium are of same size
124
Q

What is the free entry equilibrium?

A

[image]

125
Q

What is the intuition of the free entry equilibrium?

A

[image]

  • Note also that, this relationship implies that, the higher the fixed costs are, the more concentrated the industry will be.
    • I.e. the higher minimum efficient scale, the more concentrated the industry
  • The same will be true for scale economies
    • The higher the economies of scale, the more concentrated the industry
  • Conclusion:
    • MES and scale economies are instances of barriers to entry
    • The higher the barriers to entry, the more concentrated the industry will be
126
Q

What is the conclusion of the free entry equilibrium?

A
  • MES and scale economies are instances of barriers to entry
  • The higher the barriers to entry, the more concentrated the industry will be
127
Q

Why does history matter in the free entry equilibrium?

A

One can find examples where industries do not match this model. There can be several reason:

  • E.g., there might be more than one equilibrium
    • Imagine we have an industry with 2 ways of production:
      • High fixed costs, low variable costs
      • Low fixed costs, high variable costs
    • The total costs will approximately be the same, and more than 1 equilibrium will exist
128
Q

What is the effect of entry costs on market concentration in the free entry equilibrium?

A

How can Portugal have 2 beer producers, when the U.S. have 3 beer producers?

  • US is around 30-50 times bigger than Portugal
  • Suggested by the free-entry equilibrium, the US should have about 30 to 50 [see attached image] more firms than Portugal (because S will be 30-50 times higher in US). This means there should be 10-15 firms in the US.
  • An important aspect that is not considered is advertising.
  • Advertising is an endogenous entry cost, with respect to market size
129
Q

How is the lottery game played (exogenous costs)?

A

Lottery (exogenous):

  • Imagine rights to technology is given to only 1 firm by lottery, then the probability to get the license is 1/n
  • The expected revenue will be S/n
  • And we will have equilibrium number of firms n=[S/F]
  • As market size, S, increases, the number of entrants increases by the same factor → because we have no price competition!
130
Q

How is the auction game played (endogenous costs)?

A
  • Firms pay a fixed cost F, to bid on the right to exploit a license
    • Highest bid gets the license
  • If more than 1 firm is bidding, it will result in Bertrand competition
    • Firms set their bid equal to the value of the license, S
    • Equilibrium expected profit is 0
  • It there is only 1 bidder:
    • Will bid zero (or what the minimum bid is)
    • Bidder receives license with certainty
    • Expected payoff is value of license minus the bid (i.e. minimum bid or 0)
  • Equilibrium:
    • Only 1 firm will enter bidding contest, regardless of the size of the market (i.e. value of the license, S)
    • It will not payoff for another firm to enter bidding contest, if it knows there is another firm entering
131
Q

What is the conclusion on costs in the free entry equilibrium?

A
  • Going from exogenous costs to endogenous costs:
    • Takes us from a proportional change in the number of firms with respect to market size (exogenous), to not change at all (endogenous).
  • If entry costs are endogenous, then the number of firms is less sensitive to changes in market size.
  • It is likely that, in any situation where firms engage in an “escalation war” for grabbing a share of the market, or the whole market, it is likely to involve some degree of entry costs endogeneity
    • With endogenous entry costs, the relation between the market size and industry concentration is also likely to be flatter
132
Q

Is the equilibrium number of firms in an industry excessive or insufficient from a social perspective?

A
  • It depends on what conditions are satisfied
  • If all conditions, among other free entry, for the perfect competition are satisfied, the perfect competition equilibrium is socially efficient
  • However, let’s imagine that there is not free entry
  • The business stealing effect:
    • The result can be that, it is profitable to enter the industry, but not economic profitable in a social sense in form of welfare
  • [image]*
  • The above figure shows an example where this is the case
    • Imagine that [BCI] + [CDEI] < k < [CDFH]
    • It is profitable for the firm to enter, but society does not gain as a whole, because of entry costs
    • The loss in profits for the other firms is larger than the gain for the entrant
    • Result: is excessive entry
  • The business steal effect is approximately equal to [IEFH]
133
Q

What is the conclusion on social welfare in the free entry equilibrium?

A

If product differentiation is very important, or if competition is very fierce, then free entry implies insufficient entry from a social point of view. If, conversely, product differentiation is unimportant and competition is soft, then the business-stealing effect dominates, whereby the free-entry equilibrium entails excessive entry.

134
Q

What is the business stealing effect?

A
  • The result can be that, it is profitable to enter the industry, but not economic profitable in a social sense in form of welfare
  • [image]*
  • The above figure shows an example where this is the case
    • Imagine that [BCI] + [CDEI] < k < [CDFH]
    • It is profitable for the firm to enter, but society does not gain as a whole, because of entry costs
    • The loss in profits for the other firms is larger than the gain for the entrant
    • Result: is excessive entry
  • The business steal effect is approximately equal to [IEFH]
135
Q

What is the effect of product differentiation on social welfare in the free entry equilibrium?

A

There might be a positive externality from an entrant to a consumer (e.g. more varieties, etc.)

136
Q

What is the effect of firm homogeneity on social welfare in the free entry equilibrium?

A
  • It is assumed that firms are homogeny, however, this is not always the case.
  • Therefore, there might be gains from free entry
    • In form of survival of the fittest
    • Inefficient firms will go out
    • Free entry should therefore take into account the benefits from entry in terms of increased average productivity
137
Q

How is the notation in the free entry equilibrium?

A
138
Q

What is entry deterrence?

A

Producing a quantity higher than monopoly quantity, to deter entrance from a possible entrant

[image]

  • I.e. setting a quantity ≥q1D
  • This is an optimal solution if, and only if: π1M (q1D) > π(q1S)
  • I.e., the profit is higher when the monopoly deters entry, than if it produces at monopoly level, and a possible entrant enter the market
139
Q

What is blockaded entry?

A

When entry costs are high enough, such that the incumbent firm should just set monopoly quantity, because the fixed costs are so high, that the monopoly quantity is high enough to deter entry

140
Q

What is entry accommodation?

A

The loss from deterring entry is higher than the loss from accommodating the possible entrant

Monopoly should now adjust output (optimal output would potentially not be the same as under monopoly) in response to the rationale output of the entrant

141
Q

What is capacity pre-emption?

A

An announcement by firm 1 about capacity-expansion, that is credible, and deters the entry of firm 2

Is only credible if: capacity costs are high and sunk

142
Q

What is product proliferation to deter entry?

A

From the hotelling model:

  • Deterring entry by making a number of products that give no sustainable market share upon entry to a possible entrant
  • Remember exercise 15.1 (Q12)
  • Example:
143
Q

What is the effect of long-term contracts to deter entry?

A

They might be able to agree on contract terms with the incumbent which are more favourable to them than the situation after the actual entry of the entrant.

144
Q

What is predatory pricing and how do you distinguish from normal pricing?

A

Pricing below costs to induce exit of other incumbent firms

  • Very hard to distinguish predatory pricing from a change in market structure
  • Case with EasyJet and KLM
    • EasyJet enters market with low costs and low prices
    • KLM reduces prices to same level
      • It this predatory pricing, or a shift to a new market structure? E.g. a Bertrand competition, where this would be the natural effect
      • One could argue that KLM’s strategy is not to price low, and that the probably made losses
145
Q

What is the rationale of not engaging in price competition?

A

Rational players should never exit when preyed upon:

  • Rational players should never engage in price competition
  • Assume that we have two periods, and one incumbent firm and another entrant:
    • Incumbent (monopoly) decides whether to price aggressive or not.
      • First period:
        • If it does price aggressive:
          • Both firms make loss L
        • If it does not price aggressive:
          • Both firms receive profit D, duopoly profit
      • Second period:
        • Entrant exits:
          • Incumbent receives monopoly profit
        • Entrant stays:
          • Both make loss L
          • Or, if imcubent accommodates:
    • Both firms make duopoly profit It can be seen that, it is not rationale for the incumbent to price aggressively at all, it is better to accommodate.
      • It is so, because: the incumbent’s threat to keep prices low is not credible!
      • The entrant should thus not exit, even though it makes loss, L, in the first period (because it is better for the incumbent to accommodate, and the loss L is just temporary)
      • So if the firm just stays in the market, the incumbent will find out that it is better to just accommodate
146
Q

What is the long-purse / deep-pocket theory?

A

Introducing capital / borrow from bank with probability, p

  • If the entrant does not have enough capital to sustain losses, it can borrow from the bank:
    • The bank will refuse the loan with probability, p
    • Even though it would always be rational for the bank to borrow the money, we assume that it is not the case
  • Now, the rational decision is only for the entrant to stay in the market as long as the initial loss, L, is less than what it expects to get in the future (duopoly profit) times the probability of getting the bank loan, (1-p)
    • Entrant is willing to stay as long as: (1-p)*πD > L
  • Now, it will be a rational strategy for the incumbent to price aggressively.
    • If pricing aggressively, it will get monopoly profit, with probability p
    • If not pricing aggressive, it receives duopoly profit
  • Therefore, pricing aggressive is optimal as long as:
  • p*πM>L+(1+p)*πD
  • With this theory, we have that:
    • Predation is observed in practice
    • Rationale for the incumbent to be a predator
      • and for the entrant to resist aggressive behaviour
    • With percentage p, the predation is successful in driving competition out of the market
147
Q

What are other explanations for doing predatory pricing?

A
  • Low-cost signalling:
    • Signalling to other firms that your firm has low costs, and that there is no more room for other placers, and that market is not profitable
    • Or, as is in the case with American Tobacco:
      • Before acquiring other small firms, the priced predatory, in order to make the firms appear less efficient, and thus acquire them for a bargain
  • Reputation for Toughness:
    • Aiming to be seen a ‘tough’ by possible entrants, so they do not wish to enter the market, because they know you will be a though competitor
  • Growing Markets:
    • When capturing a minimum market share early on is essential for long-term survival
    • E.g. platform (xbox, PS etc.)
      • Need to get developers to develop for their platform as well
148
Q

What are non-pricing predatory strategies?

A
  • E.g. Microsoft did not charge a price per unit of Windows installed, instead they charged a fixed price for installing Windows, not depending on the units of installation
  • Kodak: made their camera files incompatible with other cameras
149
Q

What is the Areeda-Turner test?

A

Areeda-Turner Test:

  • Prices should be regarded as predatory if they fall well below marginal cost
    • But, this could also be because the firm wants to move down its learning curve?
  • How to distinguish: post-exit price increase
    • After the exit of the firm that is driven out, does the prices rise again, or do they remain at the low level?
    • If they rise directly after firm is driven out of market, it might very well be predatory pricing
150
Q

Why should predatory pricing be illegal?

A

Why should it be illegal?

  • US Supreme Court conditions for predatory pricing:
      1. Price is below costs
      1. Pricing below costs is a rational decision (i.e. the firm is likely to recoup its short-run losses)
  • Examples where it benefits the consumers:
    • When both firms lose the price war episode
    • Network externalities
      • It is worth more to have an Apple product when there are a lot having an Apple product
151
Q

What are the assumptions for M&As?

A

Assumptions:

  • N firms
  • Same marginal and fixed costs
  • Quantity competition (Cournot)

Only talking about Horizontal mergers:

  • Two firms the same industry merging
152
Q

What happens when two firms merge?

A

What happens when firm 1&2 merge?

  • Merges normally imply an increase in price and a reduction in costs
  • Still has marginal costs c, and fixed costs F
  • New equilibrium is N-1 (before it was just N)
    • Price increases
    • Quantity decreases
  • If product differentiation is not important:
    • A merger implies a decrease in consumer welfare
  • When N is very large (many firms)
    • N is close to N-1
    • Merger is unprofitable
      • Before merger, profit was 2*profit with N firms
      • After merger, profit is 1*profit with N-1 firms
        • If profit is almost the same before and after, then 1*profit is certainly less than 2*profit
153
Q

What is the result on non-merging firms?

A

The value of non-merging firms may decrease or increase as the result of a merger, depending on the cost efficiencies generated by the merger

154
Q

What are merger waves?

A
  • Exogenous events:
    • Deregulations can cause merger waves to occur
  • Endogenous events:
    • Let’s say there are 4 firms, and there are only synergies between two of the firms, e.g. 3&4.
    • It can be shows than, to merges for any combination of firms except for 3&4, it will not be profitable
    • However, if firm 3&4 do merge, because they have synergies, the industry now only has 3 firms left.
    • It might now be profitable for other firms, e.g. 1&2 to merge now
    • Example from page 282
155
Q

What is the public policy towards mergers?

A

Three interested parties:

  1. Merging firms
    • Expected to gain
  2. Non-merging firms
    • May gain or lose
  3. Consumers:
    • Lose
156
Q

What are the two price increase channels for the public policy towards mergers?

A
  1. Unilateral effect:
    • A function of the increase in Concentration (Herfindahl (H) index/C4)
    • Sum of the squared market shares
    • As C goes up, the market power, L also goes up
    • Remember: L=Hϵ
  2. Collusion effect:
    • Also depends on the distribution of market shares
    • When concentration increases and when firms become more symmetric, it is more likely that they will collude (and the price will thus increase)
157
Q

What is the conclusion on public policy on mergers?

A

The smaller the size of the merging firms, the more likely the total effect of the merger is positive

158
Q

What is the value of R & D in different market structures?

A

The value of R&D on market structure:

  • Monopoly:
    • Extra profit of qM·(c-c)
    • From a new innovation, the monopoly get the difference in the costs before and after multiplied by the monopoly quantity
  • Perfect competition
    • Extra profit of qC·(c-c)
    • In a perfectly competitive market, the firm that reduces costs get a higher return from the innovation, as the firm is able to go from 0 profit, and reduce the price just a tiny bit to capture the whole market.
    • The perfectly competitive quantity is also higher
  • Conclusion - Replacement effect:
    • The monopoly has a disincentive created by its pre-innovation monopoly profits
    • For the perfectly competitive firm, pre-innovation profits does not exists (equal to 0)
    • This is called the replacement effect
    • Replacement effect states that:
      • Generally, it would indicate that firms with more market power (set a higher price cost margin) have a lower incentive to innovative because they have more to lose than firms with little market power (low price cost margin), who have little or nothing to lose from innovation.
      • Market power reduces the incentives to innovate
159
Q

What is the replacement effect of R & D?

A
  • The monopoly has a disincentive created by its pre-innovation monopoly profits
  • For the perfectly competitive firm, pre-innovation profits does not exists (equal to 0)
  • This is called the replacement effect
  • Replacement effect states that:
    • Generally, it would indicate that firms with more market power (set a higher price cost margin) have a lower incentive to innovative because they have more to lose than firms with little market power (low price cost margin), who have little or nothing to lose from innovation.
    • Market power reduces the incentives to innovate
160
Q

How is the dynamic game of R&D?

A
  • Two firms:
    • Incumbent (monopolist)
    • Potential competitor (rival)
  • Third player:
    • R&D lab
    • Has just discovered and patented and innovation
    • Want to sell the innovation (cannot market it)
    • Sells to the firm that pays the most
  • Which firm will buy the innovation?
    • Monopoly:
      • Before buy: receives monopoly profit
      • After buy: receives monopoly profit
        • And rival 0 profits
    • Rival:
      • Before buy: no profits
      • After buy: duopoly profits
        • And monopoly: also duopoly profits
    • Conclusion:
      • Monopoly is willing to pay:
        • πM - πD
      • Rival is willing to pay:
        • πD - 0
      • Monopoly is willing to pay more than rival as long as:
        • πM > 2 · πD
      • Industry profit definition: total profits under the market structure
        • If product are identical and marginal costs are constant:
          • Monopoly profits will always be higher than industry (total profit) under duopoly
      • The monopolist often has more to lose from not winning the bid on the patent
      • Efficiency effect:
        • That industry structure will move in the direction that total industry profits are higher under monopoly
          • The monopoly will thus persist over time
161
Q

What is the effect of probability on R&D?

A
  • Gradual innovation:
    • Now with probability p, there is a rival bidding for the patent
    • The monopolist does not know whether a rival will bid, only that it will bid with probability p
      • The higher the p, the less the monopoly wants to pay for the innovation
      • The higher the p → the more uncertainty about a rival entering
    • The monopolist is willing to bid up to:
      • πM - ((1 - p) · πD + pπM) = (1 - p)(πM - πD)
  • Drastic innovation:
  • If rival bids and gets innovation, the monopoly will now receive zero profit, and no longer duopoly profit
  • Monopoly profit zero: 1-p
  • Monopoly initial profit: p
  • Monopoly is willing to pay up to:
    • πM - ((1 - p)0 + pπM)=(1 - p)πM
  • Rival is willing to pay up to:
    • πM, which is greater than (1 - p)πM
  • Conclusion:
    • Monopolist is willing to pay less for a drastic innovation than the rival is
  • Conclusion:
  • The monopolist have the greatest incentive to invest in a gradual innovation, however, if we add uncertainty and a more drastic innovation, it is likely that the rival is willing to pay more
162
Q

What are the expectations of risk and firm size for R&D?

A
  • Intuition from sport: doesn’t matter to lose by 1 or 2 goals, so better to adapt risky strategy in order to perhaps tie (even though downside is to lose by a lot)
  • Two ways to improve with innovation:
    • Move up product-quality ladder
    • Move down cost ladder
  • Two strategies
    • Risky strategy: an innovation that leads to a large jump with a low probability
    • Safe strategy: an innovation that implies a small step up with high probability
  • Expectations:
    • Markets leader to invest primarily in improvements to their current products (safe strategy) - Gradual innovation
    • Market laggards would primarily invest in the new class of product (risky strategy) - Radical/drastic innovation
163
Q

What is the public policy towards R&D?

A
  • Two areas of public policy:
    • Patent protection
    • Interfirm agreements pertaining to R&D
  • Trade-off
    • Bad: Patents implies monopoly profit
      • Higher allocative inefficiencies
    • Good: Higher rate of technical progress
  • Two instruments:
    • Length of patent
    • Strength of patent
  • Conclusion:
    • The stronger the patent, the higher the allocative inefficiency
    • Weakening the patent decreases allocative inefficiency
    • Optimal to have a very weak patent system with long patents
    • Trade-off, however:
      • Weakening the patent also decreases incentives for innovation
164
Q

What is R & D spillovers and agreements?

A
  • Spillovers:
    • $1 of R&D expenditure of firm j, benefits firm i by a value of γ,
      • where: 0<γ<1
      • Firm j can freeride on firm i’s R&D
  • R&D agreements:
    • If firm j and i choose R&D budget together:
      • Likely they will choose a very low budget
      • Bad from a social perspective
      • Solves however the free-riding problem