Intertemporal Preferences Flashcards
what is an assumption about time in intertemporal preferences
time is discounted at a constant rate. no difference between today and tomorrow, and 20 years and 20 years plus one day
what is the discount factor
1 / 1 + ρ
people prefer 100 today to 110 tomorrow but prefer 110 in 31 days to 100 in 30 days. what is this called and what is the issue
preference reversal, this is inconsistent with constant time discount factor
what does discount factor show
measure level of impatience, lower the more impatient
what is hyperbolic discount
increasing discount factor
what does hyperbolic discount factor give you
the implicit discount factor over longer time horizons is then higher than the implicit discount factor over shorter time horizons
implications of hyperbolic discounting
over consumption (or under-saving) procrastination of an onerous activity (O’Donoghue and Rabin (1999c,2001)) Ex: diet Recovering from addiction (Gruber et al 2000) and Carrillo (1999)
what is a ‘naive’ person
believe that her future preferences will be identical to her current preferences
what is a ‘sophisticated’ person
correctly predict how her preferences will change over time, aware of problem and ties own hands (tell people going to start a diet)
explain the setting of the field experiment on savings and commitments*
Ashraf et al 2005, 1777 existing or former clients of bank in Philippines, three treatments: SEED treatment: pure commitment savings product that restricts access to deposits but doesn’t compensate client, marketing treatment: encourage to save, offer no commitment, control treatment
what is results of field experiment on work effort *
Kaur et al, 2010, production 0 in 5+ days before payday, large increase in production in days leading up to payday, 75% people take up ‘crazy’ contract so are sophisticated (self set target, don’t get paid if don’t reach)
explain instantaneous utility function
u(ct,dt), where dt represents visceral states like hunger and dieting, sexual desire and various “heat-of-the-moment” behaviours, craving and so on