Individual & Group Decison Making Flashcards
what is decision
a choice made from among available alternatives
what is the decision making
Process of identifying and choosing alternative courses of action
stages in decision making
Stage one- identify the problem or opportunity
Stage 2- think up alternative Solutions
Stage 3- evaluate Alternatives and select a solution
Stage 4- Implement and evaluate the solution chosen
what does rational decision making explain and assume
explain how managers should make decisions
Assume managers will make logical decisions that will be the optimum in furthering the organization’s best interest
what does rational model also called
Classical model
what are the three assumptions of the rational model
- complete information, no uncertainty
- logical, unemotional analysis
- best decision for the organization
what does non-rational models assumes
Assume that decision making is nearly always uncertain and risky, making it difficult for managers to make optimal decisions
what does bounded rationality suggest
Suggest that the ability of decision-makers to be rational is limited by numerous constraints
what is the example of numerous constraints
Complexity, time, money, and cognitive capacity
what is satisficing model
Manager seek Alternatives until they find one that is satisfactory, not optimal
what is incremental model
Managers take small, short-term steps to elevate a problem
what are the benefit of intuition model
- it can spit up decision-making useful ,when that lines are tight
- it can be helpful to managers when resources are limited
what is prior hypothesis bias
Decision makers with strong prior beliefs tend to make their decision based on their beliefs- even if evidence shows that those beliefs are wrong
what are the 3 example of non-rational models
Satisficing,
Incremental,
Intuition
what is problems in terms of management
Difficulties that inhibit the achievement of goals
what is opportunities in management
Situations that present possibilities for exceeding existing goal
what does diagnosis mean
Analyzing the underlying causes
evaluate each alternative according to
Cost, quality
ethical,
Feasible ,
effective
what do we need to do t achieve successful implementation
- plan carefully
- be sensitive to those affected
what should you do if the action is not working
- give it more time
- change it slightly
- try it another alternative
- start over
what is holistic hunch
Intuition that stems from expertise
what is automated experience
Intuition based on feelings- the involuntary emotional response to those same matters
what are the drawbacks for intuition model
it can be difficult to convince others that your hunch makes sense
what does evidence-based decision making depends on
Depends on an “attitude of wisdom”
what is the principle of evidence-based decision making
- Treat your organization as an unfinished prototype.
- No brag, just facts
- Do yourself and your organization as Outsiders do
- Evidence-based management is not just for senior executives
- Like everything else, you still need to sell it
- If all else fails, slow the spread of bad practice
- The best diagnostic question: what happens when people feel?
what makes it hard to be evidence based
- There’s too much evidence
- There’s not enough good evidence
- The evidence doesn’t quite apply
- People are trying to mislead you
- You are trying to mislead you
- The side effects outweigh the Cure
- Stories are more persuasive anyway
what is analytics
- sophisticated forms of business data analysis
- also called business Analytics
what are the three key attributes among analytics competitors
- Use of modeling: going Beyond Simple descriptive statistics
- Having multiple applications, not just one
- Support from the top