Guiding Seminar 6 (2020) Flashcards
Capital Structure
Myers, Stewart, 2001
Describe Modigliani & Miller theory
If we live in perfect capital markets, the choice between EQUITY AND DEBT financing is IRRELEVANT- no material effect on the value of the firm or on the cost or availability of capital.
In the real world, the financing choice does matter because of taxes, difference in information, agency costs
Capital Structure
Myers, Stewart, 2001
Name 3 theories that explain why capital structure matters
1) Trade-off theory → emphasizes taxes
2) Pecking order theory → emphasizes difference in information
3) Free cash flow theory → emphasizes agency costs
Capital Structure
Myers, Stewart, 2001
How are companies financing themselves nowadays?
Most of the investment is financed from INTERNAL CASH FLOW (depreciation and retained earnings)
External financing is usually less than 20% of real investment, mostly consists of debt
Capital Structure
Myers, Stewart, 2001
Describe the situation with stock issuance
Net STOCK ISSUES are frequently NEGATIVE:
- shares are eliminated in acquisitions
- shares are repurchased rather than issued
Only smaller, riskier and more rapidly growing firms rely heavily on stock issuance.
Capital Structure
Myers, Stewart, 2001
Describe the situation with debt in companies
Industry debt ratios are low or negative when profitability and business risk are high (like now).
Pharmaceutical and many prominent growth companies typically operate at negative debt ratios (cash and marketable securities > debt) - probably because a lot of R&D is going on and you need cash.
Firms with valuable growth opportunities tend to have low debt ratios
Capital Structure
Myers, Stewart, 2001
Describe tradeoff - theory
Increased leverage is good because you get tax shields, bad because of possible default costs.
The firm will borrow up to the point where the marginal value of tax shields on the additional debt is just offset by the increase in the costs of possible distress.
(marginal benefit of tax shields = marginal costs of financial distress)
Capital Structure
Myers, Stewart, 2001
What are costs of financial distress?
1) Direct = the costs of bankruptcy or reorganization
2) Indirect = the agency costs that arise when the firm’s creditworthiness is in doubt
Capital Structure
Myers, Stewart, 2001
What doesn’t the trade-off theory account for?
The most profitable companies tend to borrow the least (although they have more taxable income to shield)
The trade-off theory cannot account for the correlation between high profitability and low debt ratios.
Capital Structure
Myers, Stewart, 2001
Explain Pecking order theory
Firms will firstly finance themselves from internal financing (retained earnings), then debt, then equity.
This is because of information asymmetry between managers and investors.
If firms issue stock, investors believe that managers have some private information about poor future prospects → that means that equity is overvalued → stock price drops after the announcement of an equity issue.
Also, debt suffers from adverse selection much less than equity, thus, will be issued first.
Capital Structure
Myers, Stewart, 2001
What do firm’s debt ratios reflect?
Firms’ debt ratios reflect the cumulative need for external financing - if firms issue equity, they are really reallly in need of it.
Capital Structure
Myers, Stewart, 2001
What doesn’t Pecking Order theory explain?
Why financing tactics are not developed to avoid the
financing consequences of managers’ superior information, e.g. use “deferred equity” - a debt, repayable in the firm’s shares in the future. It conveys no information because the manager cannot know whether in the future equity will be over- or undervalued.
Capital Structure
Myers, Stewart, 2001
Describe Free Cash Flow Theory
FCF says that dangerously high debt levels will increase firm value, despite the threat of financial distress
(especially designed for mature firms which are prone to overinvest)
FCF is not really a theory predicting how managers will choose capital structures, but a theory about the
consequences of high debt ratios. Helps the trade-off theory explain why managers do not fully exploit
the tax advantages of borrowing.
The theory is based on agency costs. To avoid them, one could increase leverage, which would:
• Discipline managers and strengthen their incentives to maximize value to investors (e.g. covenants that restrict taking too large risks)
• Forces them to generate cash (to repay debt)
• Leveraged buyouts (LBOs) - in the first place considered to be attempts to cut back wasteful
investment and discipline the management
Capital Structure
Myers, Stewart, 2001
How do managers transfer the risk of default from creditors to debtors? (act in the interests of shareholders, not debtholders)
How do debtholders deal with this?
1) Investment in riskier assets/risk-shifting/overinvestment → increase the “upside” for stockholders, the “downside” is absorbed by the firm’s creditors (think long call)
2) Borrow more/cash out → pay out cash to stockholders
3) Debt overhang/underinvestment → cut back potential investments (even ones that would increase the overall value of the firm), because cash flows to creditors would be relatively bigger than to equity holders. Creditors would benefit more.
4) “Play for time” → managers conceal problems to prevent creditors from acting to force
immediate bankruptcy (link to options’ logic)
Debt investors (creditors) try to avoid this by writing contracts properly → DEBT COVENANTS restrict additional borrowing, limit dividend payouts and other distributions to stockholders, and provide that debt is immediately due and payable if other covenants are seriously violated.
Corporate payout policy
DeAngelo, DeAngelo, Skinner (2008)
Explain the dividend payout theory - lifecycle theory
- Introduction & growth stages:
Company has a lot of profitable investment
opportunities – requires cash, thus, they will PAYOUT LESS and keep cash in the company - Maturity stage:
Fewer or no investment opportunities with NPV>0,
but earnings grow → PAYOUT MORE dividends rather
than waste cash on uncertain investments
Also, agency costs require higher dividends as a
disciplinary measure to prevent wasteful
investment
Corporate payout policy
DeAngelo, DeAngelo, Skinner (2008)
Describe 3 factors that stimulate payouts
- INVESTORS PRESSURE managers to accelerate cash payouts (avoid wasteful investment & managers’ personal benefits)
- Managers have incentives to build a REPUTATION for treating investors fairly in their payout decisions to be able to sell future equity at higher prices
- Firms generating large amounts of cash and not paying it out are “SITTING DUCKS” for TAKEOVERS by activist investors (if investor demand for dividends not fulfilled -> company valuation decreases).