Food Production Flashcards
define production
- process by which products are created
- the managerial function of converting food purchased in various stages of prep into menu items that are served
quantity vs. quality
quantity: distinguishes foodservice production from home/family food prep
quality: aesthetic, nutritional, microbial safety aspect
what are the objectives of production
primary: transform huma/material/facility/operational resources into outputs
secondary: product/service characteristics & quality, process characteristics, efficiency, customer service
what decisions go into production decisions
- forecasting/planning
- synthesis of quantity/quality/cost objectives
- product/process characteristics
- establish quality standards
consequences of over production
- wasted resources (food + money from food/labour/utilities/space)
- unnecessary storage = increased utility/labour/space costs
- revenue loss
consequences of under production
- inability to meet customer demand = loss of reputation/clientele + dissatisfaction
- loss of revenue/return customers
what is the role of historical records?
provide more accurate projection abilities for future production needs + annual budget
- record of which item were sold + how many
- assess productivity
what to include in historical records (6 items)
- date/day of the week
- meal/hour of service
- note of special event/holiday/weather conditions
- food items prepared
- quantity of each item prepped
- quality of each item served
what is a daily record of the menu items that have been sold, helps explain sale volume + tracking for forecasting
scatter sheet mix
what are the 4 aspects of production forecasting
- production demand
- historical records
- quantity demand
- forecasting models
(Phil Has Quick Feet)
what is the criteria for forecasting models
- cost of model
- accuracy of model
- relevancy of past data
- lead time
- pattern of behaviour
are the principles of what:
1. forecasts are ALWAYS estimates
2. they’re more accurate for grouped data than individual items
3. they’re more accurate for shorter than longer periods of time
forescasting
what are the 2 types of forecasting models + what they’re based on
- qualitative methods: based on human judgement/opinions, subjective and non-mathematical
- quantitative methods: based on mathematics
pros/cons of qualitative methods
pro: incorporate latest changes in environment/inside information
con: can bias the forecast/reduce accuracy
pros/cons of quantitative methods
pro: consistent and objective, considers lots of info/data at once
con: data not always available, results are only as good at the data they’re based in
Time series + casual models are types of what forecasting model
quantitative
what model shows that what happened in the past will happen again, assumes future will follow same patterns as the past based on data gathered to generate a forecast contained in a time series of data
time series mode
what model explores complex cause/effect relationships, multivariant, often need software to evaluate
casual model