ERM Ch.1 Flashcards
Key aspects of ERM
Is a process, not a one time analysis Enterprise-wide basis Not all risks are critical or material; focus on those that are Risk has upside as well as downside - it is when actual outcomes differ from expected Risks must be quantified; dependencies must be evaluated and quantified Strategies must be developed to avoid, mitigate, or exploit risk factors Strategies are evaluated as a tradeoff of risk & return - to maximize firm value
Categories of Risk
- Financial
- Operational
- Strategic
- Insurance Hazard
General Environment Risks
- Political
- Uncertainties
- Government Policy
- Macroeconomic
- Social
- Natural
Industry Risks
- Input Market
- Product Market
- Competitive Uncertainties
Firm Specific Risks
- Operating
- Liability
- R&D
- Credit
- Behavioral
Implemenation Strategies
- Avoidance
- Reduction in chance of occurrence
- Mitigation of the effect of a given occurrence
- Elimination or transfer of the consequences
- Retention, by design or default of some or all of the risk
Important elements that differentiate model quality
- Reflects relative importance of various risks
- Modelers have a deep knowledge of the fundamentals of those risks
- Includes dependencies
- Modelers have a trusted relationship with senior management
ERM
Enterprise Risk Management is the process of systematically and comprehensively identifying critical risks, quantifying their impacts and implementing integrated strategies to maximize enterprise value
ERM Process
- Diagnose
- Analyze
- Implement
- Monitor
Good vs. Weak Model
- Show as realistically as possible - risk & reward from a range of different strategies
- A weaker model may overstate some risks & understate others
- A good model recognizes its own imperfection
- Extent & Quality of Data
Essential elements of the Enterprise Risk Model
- Underwriting Risk
- Reserving Risk
- Asset Risk
- Dependencies (Correlation)
Underwriting Risk Parameters
- Loss Frequency & Severity Distributions
- Pricing RIsk
- Parameter Risk
- CAT Model Uncertainty
Parameter Risk Components
- Estimation Risk
- Projection Risk
- Event Risk
- Systematic Risk
Approaches to setting captial requirements
- Set captial based on default avoidance
- Results in a downgrade
- Sufficient captial to service renewals
- Not only survive a major catastrophe, but to thrive in its aftermath