Economic and Business Cycles (B5:M1) Flashcards
what is the normal sequence of a business cycle? EP CTR
expansion, peak, contraction (recession), trough, recovery
if a stimulus plan is going to increase government spending by 50 million and the marginal propensity to consume (MPC) is .75, how much is GDP likely to increase by?
200 million
change in real GDP = 1 / (1 - MPC) x change in spending
50 million / (1 - .75)
1 - MPC is also known as the marginal propensity to save (MPS)
what can cause a recession?
a decrease in aggregate supply or a decrease in aggregate demand
what does expansionary fiscal policy involve?
increase government spending, decrease taxes
this policy causes aggregate demand curve to shift to right, which increases real GDP
*contractionary fiscal policy is literally the opposite
what are the factors that shift aggregate demand (AD)? TWICE G
taxes wealth interest rates consumer confidence exchange rates government spending
explain supply and demand graph
aggregate demand (AD) has a negative slope
short-run aggregate supply (SRAS) has a positive slope
long-run aggregate supply (LRAS) is vertical and it represents potential (equilibrium) output
price is on Y axis and output (real GDP) is on x axis
real GDP is where AD and SRAS intersect
what are the factors that shift short-run aggregate supply?
changes in input (resource) prices
increase = left shift; real GDP decrease
decrease = right shift
supply shocks
plentiful supplies = right shift; real GDP increase
curtailed supplies = left shift
what are the 3 types of economic indicators?
leading: predict economic activity
lagging: follow economic activity
coincidence: change with economic activity
real GDP = ?
(nominal GDP / GDP deflator) x 100