EBM Day 2 Flashcards
Statistical Hypot
is there difference between groups,
Ho
no association between x and y
Fail to reject means
Reject null
fail to reject, never prove hypo because may be due to the 5% chance
consider possibility of type 1 error (unless p
statistically sig means
result where reject Ho at whatever alpha level we set
type 1 vs type 2 errors
t1-fail to reject null when true
t2- reject null when false
T1 and T2 in releation to power, alpha, and beta
and what is alpha, beta, power
alpha-willingness to be wrong (reject null when we shouldn’t)
beta-=t2 error=willingess to fail to reject a false Ho (typically .1 or .2)
Power-1-beta=power to correctly reject false null (80%)-ability to detect or verify difference is real
Sensitivity and Specificity
sensitivity=true positives/(true positives and false negs)
specificity=true negatives/(true negatives and false positives)
power determination
alpha (more stringent, less power), beta (too lax, less power), prevalence of condition, magnitude of effect, sample size (more subjects make more power)
Effect size
how big of a difference we look for
smaller effect size=larger the sample size needed
Bonferroni adjustments
adjusting for multiple comparisons-increases type 2 error and decreases power
T test
-compares difference between two means divided by variability in sample
assumes equal variances
Mann Whitney U
Non parametric-operates on ranks
ignores mean and median
Minimize T1 and T2 at same time?
there is always a tradeoff
Tolerate type 1 if false positive okay
Tolerate type 2 if if procedure may be serious danger to patient
Increase power
lower beta, raising alpha, raising sample size, testing a large difference
2x2 table
Draw=THERE ARE QUESTIONS AT END OF HIS SLIDES
Risk and how offset
Probabilty of an outcome
Offset by intervention, treatment, prevention
Primary, secondary, tertiary prevention
before disease
Catching early
treatment
Pathogenic Triangle
host, environment, agents