E3. The use of financial derivatives to hedge against interest rate risk Flashcards
Interest rate risk
Interest rate risk is faced by both borrowers and lenders. It is the risk that the interest rate will move in such a way so as to cost a company, or individual, money.
• For a borrower the risk is that interest rate rise
• For an investor the risk is that interest rate falls
Risks from interest rate movements
- Fixed rate vs floating rate debt. A company can get caught paying higher interest rates by having fixed rather than floating rate debt, or floating rather than fixed rate debt, as market interest rates change. Expectations of interest rate movements will determine whether a company chooses to borrow at a fixed or floating rate. Fixed rate finance may be more expensive; however, business runs the risk of adverse upward rate movements if it chooses floating rate finance.
- Currency of debt. A company can face higher costs if it borrows in a currency for which exchange rates move adversely against the company’s domestic currency. The treasurer should seek to match the currency of the loan with the currency of the underlying operations/assets that generate revenue to pay interest/repay the loans.
- Term of loan. A company can be exposed by having to repay a loan earlier than it can afford to, resulting in a need to reborrow, perhaps at a higher rate of interest.
- Term loan or overdraft facility. A company might prefer to pay for borrowing only when it needs the money as with an overdraft facility (bank will charge commitment fee), alternatively a term loan might be preferred (but will cost interest).
- Rises in interest rates. A company may plan to take out borrowing at some time in the future, but face the possibility that interest rates may rise before the term of borrowing commences.
Interest rate risk management.
Interest rate risk management. If the organization faces interest risk, it can seek to hedge the risk.
• Where the magnitude of the risk is immaterial in comparison with the company’s overall cash flows or appetite for risk, one option is to do nothing.
• The company may also decide to do nothing if risk management costs are excessive, both in terms of the cost of using derivatives and staff resources.
• Appropriate products may not be available, or company may consider hedging unnecessary, as it believes that the chances of an adverse movement are remote.
• The company’s taxi situation may also affect decision, If hedging likely to reduce variability of earnings, this may have tax advantages if the company faces a higher rate of tax for higher earnings levels.
• Directors may also be unwilling to undertake hedging because of the need to monitor the arrangements, and the requirements to fulfil the disclosure requirements of IFRS.
Simple techniques of reducing interest rate risk.
- Netting – aggregating all positions, assets and liabilities, and hedging the net exposure.
- Smoothing – maintain a balance between fixed and floating rate borrowing
- Matching – matching assets and liabilities to have a common interest rate.
- Pooling – asking the bank to pool the amounts of all its subsidiaries when considering interest levels and overdraft limits. It should reduce the interest payable, stop overdraft limits being breached and allow greater control by the treasury department. It also gives the company the potential to take advantage of better rates of interest on larger cash deposits.
Yield Curves (Return to debtholder)
- Normal. Long term loans - higher yields (more risk)
- Inverted. Longer term loans - Less yield (upcoming recession)
- Flat. Yields are same for short- and long-term loans
Why is yield curve important? It predicts interest rates. Normal curves are upward sloping. Therefore, in these circumstances, use short term variable rate borrowing and long-term fixed rate.
The shape of the yield curve depends on:
- Liquidity preference. Investors want their cash back quickly therefore charge more for long term loans which tie up their cash for longer and thus expose it to more risk
- Expectations. Interest rates rise (like inflation) - so longer term more charged. NB. Recession expected means less inflation and less interest rates so producing an inverted curve
- Market segmentation. If demand for long-term loans is greater than the supply, interest rates in the long-term loan market will increase. Differing interest rates between markets for loans of different maturity can also explain why the yield curve may not be smooth, but kinked.
- Fiscal policy. Governments may act to increase short-term interest rates in order to reduce inflation This can result in short-term interest rates being higher than long-term interest rates.
Gap Exposure?
The risk of an adverse movement in the interest rates reducing a company’s cashflow.
Forward rate agreement (fixing the rate)
Forward rate agreement (fixing the rate): a contract with a bank to receive or pay interest at a pre-determined interest rate on a notional amount over a fixed period in the future.
Like a currency forward, an FRA effectively fixes the rate. Unlike a currency forward, the FRA is a separate transaction, and is structured to create a fixed outcome by counterbalancing the impact that interest rate movements have on the actual transaction (ie loan or investment). If actual borrowing rate is higher than the forward rate then the bank pays the company the difference and vice versa.
Advantages of forward rates:
- Simpler than other derivative agreements
- Normally free, always cheap (in terms of arrangement fees)
- Tailored to the company’s precise requirements (in terms of amount cover)
Disadvantages of forward rates:
- Fixed date agreements (term is fixed e.g. 3-9)
- Rate quoted may be unattractive
- Higher default risk than an exchange-based derivative.
Procedure forward rates:
- Get loan as normal
- Get forward rate agreement
- Difference between 2 rates is paid/received from the bank
Interest rate future:
Interest rate future: an agreement with an exchange to pay or receive interest at a pre-determined rate on a standard notional amount over a fixed standard period (usually 3 months) in the future.
General features are the same as for currency futures, with key difference being interest rate futures have a standardised period of three months. Like FRAs, interest rate futures allow the fixing of an interest rate (losses on actual transaction will be covered by profits from futures and vice versa).
Pricing interest rate futures contracts.
The pricing of an interest rate futures contract is determined by the three months interest rate (r %) contracted for and is calculated as (100 – r). For example, if three months Eurodollar time deposit interest rate is 9%, a three months Eurodollar futures contract will be priced at (100-9) = 91; and if interest rate is 10%, the future price = 90= (100-10). The decrease in price or value of the contract reflects the reduced attractiveness of a fixed rate deposit in times of rising interest rates.
Maturity mismatch.
Maturity mismatch occurs if the actual period of lending or borrowing does not match the notional period of the futures contract (three months). The number of futures contracts used has to be adjusted accordingly. Since fixed interest is involved, the number of contracts is adjusted in proportion to the time period of the actual loan or deposit compared with three months.
Types of Interest rate futures contract.
- A company with a cash surplus over a period of time in the future will be worried about interest rates falling; a futures contract to receive interest is needed, this is a contract to buy (buy assets=receive interest).
- A company needing to borrow money in the future will be worried about interest rates rising; this requires futures contract to pay interest, this is a contract to sell (sell bonds = pay interest).