A4. Management of international trade and finance Flashcards

1
Q

Multinational enterprise:

A

Multinational enterprise: one which owns or controls production facilities or subsidiaries or services facilities outside the country in which it is based. Multinationals operate in an international trading environment.

How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
2
Q

Theory of international trade.

A

In the modern economy production is based on high degree of specialisation. International trade originated on the basis of nations exchanging their products for others which they could not produce for themselves. International trade arises for a number of reasons:
• Different goods required different proportions of factor inputs in their production
• Economic resources are unevenly distributed throughout the world
• The international mobility of resources is extremely limited.
The main reason for trade therefore is that there are differences in the relative efficiency with which different countries can produce different goods and services.

How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
3
Q

The law of comparative advantage.

A

The significance of the law is that it provides a justification for the following beliefs:
• Countries should specialise in what they produce, even when they are less efficient (in absolute terms) in producing every type of good. They should specialise in the goods where they have a comparative advantage (they are relatively more efficient in producing).
• International trade should be allowed to take place without restrictions on imports or exports – ie there should be free trade.
In practice, although countries do specialise to a degree in the production of certain goods and services, there are certain limitations or restrictions on how it operates:
• Free trade does not always exist. Some countries take action to protect domestic industries and discourage imports.
• Transport costs can be very high in international trade so that it is cheaper to produce goods in the home country rather to import them.

How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
4
Q

The advantages of international trade.

A

The law of comparative advantages is major advantage, but other advantages from encouraging international trade include:
• Some countries have a surplus of raw materials to their needs, and others have a deficit. A country with surplus can take advantage of its resources to export them. A country with deficit of a raw material must either import it, or accept restrictions on its economic prosperity and standard of living.
• International trade increases competitions among suppliers in the world’s markets. The greater competition will force firms to be competitive and so will increase the pressures on them to be efficient, produce goods of high quality, reduce prices, innovate.
• International trade creates larger markets for a firm’s output, and so some firms can benefit from economies of scale by engaging in export activities.
• There may be political advantages to international trade, because the development of trading links provides a foundation for closer political links (like EU).

How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
5
Q

Trade agreements.

A

Multinational companies will encounter a variety of different types of international trade agreements. These may provide protection to the company in the sense that competitors operating outside these areas may find it difficult to enter the market, or may create problems if the company is itself operating outside these areas and creates barriers to trade as they try to enter this markets.

How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
6
Q

Free trade agreements.

A
  • Free trade area. This exists when there is no restrictions on the movement og goods and services between countries, but individual member countries impose their own restrictions on non-members (eg North American Free Trade Agreement – NAFTA).
  • Customs Union. Involves a free trade area between member countries and, in addition common external tariffs applying to imports from non-member countries (Mercosur in South America).
  • Common market. Encompasses the idea of customs union but in addition there are moves towards creating free markets in each of the factors of production (eg labour, capital) and a move to standardise market regulations (eg safety rules).
  • Single market. Eventually common market becomes a single market with no restriction of movement in each of the factors of production and no regulatory differences (citizen in EU can work in any EU country).
  • Economic Union. A common/single market may eventually evolve into economic and monetary union which will also involve a common Central Bank, a common interest rate and a single currency.
How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
7
Q

Barriers to entry.

A

Multinational may face various entry barriers.
• Product differentiation. An existing major supplier would be able to exploit its position as supplier of an established product that the consumer can be persuaded to believe is better. A new entrant to the market would have to design a better product, or convince customers of its quality which involves substantial money spend (R&D, promotion).
• Cost barriers. This can exist where an existing supplier has access to cheaper raw material sources or know-how that the new entrant would not have. Also, existing firms may be large, so new entrants to the market would have to be able to achieve a substantial market share before they could be competitive (in terms of economies of scales).
• Legal barriers. These are barriers where a supplier is fully or partially protected by law (legal monopolies, patents).

How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
8
Q

Protectionist measures.

A

There are a number of ways that a country can seek to restrict imports.
• Tariffs. Tariffs or custom duties are taxes on imported goods. The effect of a tariff is to raise the price paid for the imported goods by domestic consumers, while leaving the price paid to foreign producers the same, or even lower. The difference is transferred to the government sector.
• Quotas. Import quotas are restrictions on the quantity of a products that is allowed to be imported into the country (e.g. quotas on the number of cars manufactured outside of Europe that can be imported into the EU). The quota has a similar effect on consumer welfare to that of import tariffs, but the overall effects are more complicated. An embargo on imports from one particular country is a total ban, i.e. effectively a zero quota.
• Exchange controls – domestic companies wishing to buy foreign goods will have to pay in the currency of the exporter’s country. To do this they will need to buy the currency involved by selling sterling. If the government controls the sale of sterling it can control the level of imports purchased.
• Administrative controls – a domestic government can subject imports to excessive levels of administration, paperwork and red tape to slow down and increase the cost of importing goods into the home economy (eg increasing the safety standards that imported goods must comply with).
• Ban on Import. An outright ban on imports (or on imports of certain products).
• Subsidies. Offering subsidies to domestic producers.

How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
9
Q

Arguments against protection:

A
  • Reduced international trade. Protection measures taken by one country will provoke retaliation by others and will reduce the volume of international trade. So, benefits of specialisation, greater competition and economies of scale will be reduced.
  • Retaliation. Because of retaliation by other countries, protectionist measures to reverse a balance of trade deficit are unlikely to succeed. Imports might be reduced, but so too would exports.
  • Effect on economic growth. It is argued that widespread protection will damage the prospects for economic growth among the countries of the world, and protectionist measures ought to be restricted to special cases which might be discussed and negotiated with other countries.
  • Political consequences. Although from a nation’s own point of view protection may improve its position, protectionism leads to a worse outcome for all. Protection also creates political ill-will amount the countries of the world and so there are political disadvantages in a policy of protection.
How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
10
Q

Arguments for protection:

A
  • Imports of cheap goods. Measures can be taken against imports of cheap g that compete with higher priced domestically produced goods, and so preserve output and employment in domestic industries.
  • Dumping. Measures might be necessary to counter dumping of surplus production by other countries at an uneconomically low price. Although dumping has short-term benefits for the countries receiving the cheap goods, the longer-term consequences would be a reduction in domestic output and employment, even when domestic industries in the linger term might be more efficient.
  • Retaliation. Any country that does not take protectionist measures when other countries are doing so is likely to find that it suffers all of the disadvantages and none of the advantages of protection.
  • Infant industries. Protectionism can protect a country’s infant industries that have not yet developed to the size where they can compete in international markets (especially less developed countries).
  • Declining industries. Without protection the industries might collapse and there would be severe problems of sudden mass unemployment among workers in the industry.
How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
11
Q

The World Trade Organisation (WTO).

A

Supports development of international trade, the WTO provides a mechanism for Identifying and reducing trade barriers and resolving trade disputes. It acts as a forum for negotiation and offering settlement processes to resolve disputes between countries. The WTO will impose fines, if members are in breach of their rules. Members of the WTO cannot offer selective free trade deals with another country without offering it to all other members of the WTO (the most favoured nation principle).

How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
12
Q

The International Monetary Fund (IMF).

A

The role of IMF is to oversee the global financial system, in particular to stabilise exchange rates, helping countries to achieve a balance of payments and influencing economic policies to help in the development of countries. The IMF can provide financial support to member countries in the form of a loan which is typically repayable in 3-5 years. The pre-conditions that IMF places on these loans vary, but general position is as follows:
• It wants countries that borrow to get into position to start repaying the loans fairly quickly. To do this, countries must take effective action to improve their balance of payment position.
• To make this improvements IMF believes that a country should take action to reduce demand for goods and services in the economy (eg increased taxes and cutting government spending). This will reduce imports and help to put brake on price rises. The countries industries will be then able to divert more resources into export markets.
• With deflationary measures, standards of living will fall, and unemployment may rise. IMF regards this as necessary to sort out balance of payments and international debt problems.
IMF has been criticized for the conditions imposed on countries, including specific criticism for the suggestion that its policies cause austerity measures, which impact more on those with lower or mid-range incomes. This in turn hinders long-term growth and development.

How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
13
Q

The World Bank.

A

Lends to creditworthy governments of developing nations to finance projects and policies that will stimulate economic development and alleviate poverty. The World Bank consists of two institutions:
• The International Bank for Reconstruction and Development (IBRD) which focuses on middle-income and creditworthy poorer countries
• The International Development Association (IDA) which focuses exclusively on the world’s poorest countries (with very high credit risk).
Both provide finance for projects which are likely to have impact on poverty. Loans are normally interest free and have a maturity of up to 40 years. Bank directly affects multinational companies by helping to finance infrastructure projects in developing economies. This creates a platform for other investment by multinationals.

How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
14
Q

Central banks.

A

Central banks normally have control over interest rates and support the stability of the financial system (eg managing risk of financial contagion). Financial contagion is where a crisis in one country spills to many other countries. One of the roles of central banks is to monitor the risk of financial contagion carefully and to increase their stimulus programmes where necessary. Collaboration between central banks is supported by the Bank of International Settlements (BICS). In the context of international trade, a key role of the central bank is to guarantee the convertibility of a currency (eg from £s to $s).

How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
15
Q

European Central Bank

A

European Central Bank was established in 1998 and is based in Frankfurt. It is responsible for administering the monetary policy of the EU Eurozone member states and is thus one of the world’s most powerful central banks. The main objective of the ECB is to maintain price stability within the Eurozone (keep inflation low). The main relevance to a multinational organization is that by keeping inflation low, the ECB can help to create a long-term financial stability (eg protect euro value over long term).

How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
16
Q

Bank of England

A

Bank of England is the central bank of the UK. – key role is the maintenance of price stability and support of British economic policies (thus promoting economic growth). Stable prices and market confidence in sterling are the two main criteria for monetary stability. The Bank aims to meet inflation targets set by the Government by adjusting interest rates. The Bank can also operate as a ‘lender of last resort’ – that is, it will extend credit when no other institution will.

17
Q

US Federal Reserve System (the FED)

A

US Federal Reserve System (the FED) is the central banking system of the United States. Created in 1913. Main duties include conducting the US monetary policy, maintaining stability of the financial system and supervising and regulating banking institutions. Also acts as a lender of last resort.

18
Q

Bank of Japan

A

Bank of Japan is Japan’s central bank and is based in Tokyo. In 1997, the Bank was given greater independence from the government. The bank has ignored government requests to stimulate the Japanese economy. As a result the Japanese economy remains in a critical state. However, in August 2011, the Bank of Japan announced a scheme to offer 3 trillion yen (approximately $35 billion) in low- interest loans in an attempt to stimulate the economy.

19
Q

Globalization.

A

One of the main developments of the last few decades has been globalisation of the financial markets. This globalisation has been buoyed by the expansion of the EU, the rise of China and India as important trading players in the world economy and the creation of the WTO. The globalisation in financial markets is manifested in developments in international equity markets, in international bond markets and in international money markets.

20
Q

Euromarkets and Eurocurrency

A
  • The Euromarkets refer to transactions between banks and depositors/borrowers of Eurocurrency.
  • Eurocurrency refers to a currency held on deposit outside the country of its origin eg Eurodollars are $US held in a bank account outside the USA.
21
Q

Eurobonds and Eurocurrency loans

A
  • Eurobonds are bonds issued (for 3 to 20 years) simultaneously in more than one country. They usually involve a syndicate of international banks and are denominated in a currency other than the national currency of the issuer. Interest is paid gross.
  • Eurocurrency loans are bank loans made to a company, denominated in a currency of a country other than that in which they are based. The term of these loans can vary from overnight to the medium term.
22
Q

Euronotes and Euroequity market

A
  • Euronotes are issued by companies on the Eurobond market. Companies issue short-term unsecured notes promising to pay the holder of the Euronote a fixed sum of money on a specified date or range of dates in the future.
  • Euroequity market refers to the international equity market where shares in US or Japanese companies are placed on as overseas stock exchange (eg London or Paris). These have had only limited success, probably due to the absence of an effective secondary market reducing their liquidity.
23
Q

Development of emerging markets.

A

Private capital flows are important for emerging economies, and the transfer of flows has increased significantly as a result of the development in international capital markets. The capital flows to emerging markets take three forms.
• Foreign direct investment by multinational companies.
• Borrowing from international banks. There are several advantages in borrowing from international banks. It is possible to obtain better terms and in currencies which may be more appropriate in terms of overall risk exposure of the company.
• Portfolio investment in emerging markets capital markets. Emerging markets equity has become a distinct are for investment, with many specialist investment managers dedicated to emerging markets.

24
Q

The global debt problem.

A

This problem arose following the oil price increases in the 1970s, when the OPEC countries invested their large surpluses with banks in the western world. The banks then lent substantial sums to the less developed countries (LDCs) believing the default risk to be low. The oil price rises fuelled inflation and interest rates increased, forcing most of the world’s economies into recession. High interest rates and reduced exports placed LDCs in a situation where they could no longer pay interest or repay loans. These problems made economic conditions in many LDCs extremely difficult, affecting the position of multinationals and making international banks less willing to lend.

25
Q

Methods of dealing with global debt

A

Methods of dealing with such excessive debt burdens have been:
• A programme of debt write-offs by banks and other lenders.
• Rescheduling existing debt repayments.
• Re-selling debt at a discount to recoup capital.
• Provision of additional loans where the debt problem is regarded as temporary.
• Drastic changes in the economic policies of the LDC imposed and monitored by the IMF.

26
Q

Multinationals need to consider three main issues.

A

These are:
• Minimisation of global taxes. Parent company financing its overseas subsidiaries in the form of debt brings the benefits of:
o reducing the corporation tax bill overseas
o avoiding withholding taxes on dividend payments
• Financial market distortions. Local governments may directly or indirectly offer subsidised finance:
o Direct - low cost loans may be offered to encourage multinational investment or other incentives may include exchange control guarantees, grants, tax holidays etc
o Indirect - local governments may reduce the interest rates to stimulate the local economy
• Managing risk. Overseas debt finance is a useful means of managing risk:
o Political. Reduces exposure to overseas tax increases. If assets are seized, allows the firm to default on the loan (if raised from the host government) or to use international development agencies (with influence over the local government)
o Economic. The risk of a local devaluation offset by the benefit of lower repayments on a loan.

27
Q

Obtaining a listing on one or more exchanges.

A

Where overseas equity is preferred, a listing on an overseas exchange may be considered; this can have a number of advantages. It will be important to conform to local regulations.
Taking when the London Stock Exchange is used as an overseas exchange, the relevant regulations are:
• At least three years of audited published accounts
• At least 25% of the company’s shares must be in public hands when trading begins
• Minimum market capitalisation of £700,000
• A prospectus must be published containing a forecast of expected performance. In addition the company will have to be introduced by a sponsoring firm and to comply with the local corporate governance requirements.

28
Q

The credit crunch.

A

A credit crunch is a crisis caused by banks being too nervous to lend money, even to each other. Between 2007-08 turmoil hit the global financial markets causing the failure of a number of high-profile financial institutions (Lehman brothers, northern rock). The crisis was caused by a number of factors:
• Years of lax lending by banks inflated a huge debt bubble: people borrowed cheap money and invested it in property. In Us Ninja mortgages (no income, no job) sold to people with weak credit ratings.
• Massive trade surpluses in some countries (eg China) led to a flood of investment into countries with deficits (US) which contributed to the asset price bubble that contributed to the credit crunch.
• The US banking sector packaged sub-prime home loans into mortgage-backed securities known as collateralised debt obligations (CDOs). These were sold on to investment banks as securities (credit risk on these reflected bank rating and not real risk of default). When borrowers started to default on their loans, the value of investments plummeted, leading to huge losses by banks on a global scale.
• In UK, many banks invested in these assets and had to write off billions of pounds in losses. Some investment banks were left holding the credit risk as the bonds defaulted. As banks, confidence was at an all-time low, they stopped lending to each other, causing a massive liquidity problem – a credit crunch. With bank lending so low, businesses were unable to obtain funding for investments, resulting in large reductions in output.

29
Q

Securitisation:

A

Securitisation: the process of converting illiquid assets into marketable securities. Securitisation involves bank transfer lending such as mortgages to ‘special purpose vehicles’ (SPVs) which are then sold as collateralised debt obligations (CDOs). By securitising the loans, the bank removes the risk attached to its future cash receipts and converts the loan back into cash which it can lend again.

30
Q

Tranching.

A

Tranching. CDOs are a way of repackaging the risk of a large number of risky assets such as sub-prime mortgages. Unlike a bond issue, where the risk is spread thinly between all the bond holders, CDOs concentrate the risk into investment layers or ‘tranches’, so that some investors take proportionately more of the risk for a bigger return – and others take little or no risk for a much lower return.
Each tranche of CDOs is securitised and priced on issue to guve the appropriate yield to the investors. The investment grad tranche (senior tranche) will be most highly priced, giving a low yield but with low risk attached. Typical investors are insurance companies, pension funds and other risk -averse investors. A the other end, the equity tranche (junior tranches) carries the bulk of the risk – it will be priced at a low level but has a high potential yield, but very risky. They tend to be bought by hedge funds and investors looking for higher risk-return profiles.

31
Q

The European Sovereign Debt crisis.

A

After the euro came into circulation in 2002, there was a rapid fall in interest rates (due to low interest rates in Germany, the dominant economy) which led to a rapid increase in consumer spending. German economic policy continued to focus on export-led growth. The accumulation of surplus funds in Germany helped to finance excessive borrowing in Southern European economies. This combined with low interest rates , led to a sharp increase in the price of assets such as houses and shares and thus reinforced a boom into a bubble. EU countries could borrow at a cheap rate - because it was assumed, they were following the economic rules of the single currency. This effectively meant that the good credit rating of Germany was improving the credit rating of countries such as Greece, Portugal and Italy.
Some countries used this cheap finance and built up large balance of payments deficits, hoping to stimulate growth. Following the credit crunch of 2007-08, asset prices in Southern Europe tumbled, that led to recession. This European Sovereign Debt crisis has been getting worse - see Greece as an obvious example. The effect is an increase in the cost of borrowing for governments worldwide
In May 2010 the EU created the European Financial Stability Facility (EFSF) which provides bailout loans to these countries.

32
Q

Austerity.

A

Austerity. Many countries are now spending less to decrease their debt - this is what austerity is. Austerity was needed even more when many countries paid to save their banks from bankruptcy meaning they had to borrow even more. The obvious problem here is people are paid less, less investment is made, and ALL countries suffer - particularly in the EU where these countries trade heavily with each other (this is referred to as ‘financial contagion’). One final problem is that the Euro then loses value. This means that buying goods from abroad becomes even more expensive.

33
Q

Dark pool trading systems.

A

Dark pools allow large shareholdings to be disposed of without prices and order quantities being revealed until after trades are completed. Traditionally, when an investor wished to buy or sell securities on a stock market, they would be publicly identifiable once the order to buy or sell was made. One impact of dark pools has been to reduce transaction fees and to improve the prices that large institutional shareholders can obtain when they buy/sell shares (as large amounts can influence a price). However, because dark pools normally use information technology to keep the orders secret until after they’ve been executed, there is a reduction in the availability of information and a threat to the efficiency of the stock markets. They also reduce the fairness of a regulated exchange - thus many regulators are now asking for dark pools to report their volumes of transactions weekly.

34
Q

Money laundering:

A

Money laundering: constitutes any financial transactions whose purpose is to conceal the identity of the parties to the transaction.
One effect of free movement of capital has been the growth in money laundering. It is used by organised crime and terrorist organizations, but it is also used in order to avoid the payment of taxes or to distort accounting information.

35
Q

Free movement of Capital.

A

Financial institutions joining together e.g. banks, insurance companies etc all becoming a “one-stop” shop. This results in…
• Economies of scale for the companies
• Cost savings for customers
• Less volatility of earnings for companies as they become more diversified

36
Q

Globalisation of Financial Reporting Standards particularly IFRS.

A
  • Common FR means more efficient markets.

* Easier access to capital - greater cross-border investment

37
Q

Developments in trade

A

Less Restrictions on trade. These improve efficiencies and investment opportunities worldwide
• Less import quotas
• Less exchange controls
• More free trade areas

More international finance available from..
• International Lending agencies
• Discounting of trade invoices (for short term finance)
• Development banks and Eurodollar accounts

Political influence. These will work against multi-nationals mostly
• Pressure groups working internationally
• Political instability in some countries

38
Q

Money laundering regulations

A

Regulations differ across various countries, but it is common for companies to be required to assess the risk of money laundering in their business and take necessary action to alleviate this risk.
• Assessing risk – the risk-based approach (identifying risk, assessment of risk, controls, monitor controls etc)
• Assessing customer base – certain types of customers are more at risk of money laundering and will require more stringent action (new customers, high cash, introduced by third party)
• Customer due diligence steps to check new customers are who they say they are (asking for official identification).
• Applying customer diligence – should be applied whenever business feels it is necessary and also, when establishing new business relationship, carrying out occasional transactions, doubts about identification information or changes in customers circumstances.
• Ongoing monitoring of business – effective system of internal controls. Staff should be suitably trained, and a specific member of staff should be nominated as the person to whom any suspicious activities should be reported. Full documentation of anti-money laundering policies and procedures should be kept.
• Maintaining full and up to date records to demonstrate compliance with money laundering regulations (5 years).