B3. Impact of financing on investment decisions and adjusted present values Flashcards

1
Q

Short term debt.

A

Consists mainly of overdrafts and short-term loans.
• Overdrafts – can be arranged relatively quickly and offer degree of flexibility with regards to amount borrowed. Interest is only paid when account overdrawn. Penalties if overdrawn beyond authorized limit.
• Overdrafts – most appropriate for day-to-day trading and cash flow financing requirements.
• Short-term loans – more formal than overdrafts, with fixed amounts for a specified period of time. The company knows how much and when to pay back and does not need to worry about withdrawal or reduction of overdraft facility. Interest is paid for the duration of the loan.

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2
Q

Long term finance.

A

More appropriate for major investments. Tends to be more expensive and less flexible than short-term finance.
Long-term debt comes in various forms including bank loans, and bonds whose price will wary according to the product and prevailing market conditions. Long-term debt tends to be most appropriate for long-term investments. One of the main advantages of long-term debt is that interest is tax deductible, making it cheaper than equity finance.
• Bonds A tradeable security with a nominal value $100 or $1000, normally maturing in 7-30 years and paying fixed interest; protected by covenants (e.g. restrictions on dividend policy). Normally redeemable at their nominal value. Bond holders are lenders of debt finance and will be paid a fixed return known as the coupon. Bonds are usually secured on non-current assets thus reducing risk to the lender. Interest paid on the bonds is tax-deductible, thus reducing the cost of debt to the issuing company
• Slower and more expensive to organise than a loan and less flexibility than a bank loan in the event of default (banks generally more flexible as want to maintain relationship). Often cheaper interest costs compared to a loan (because it is liquid investment as can be sold by investor).

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3
Q

Equity finance.

A

Raising new equity finance through sale of ordinary shares to investors, either as a new issue or as rights issue. The issue of equity is at the bottom of the pecking order because of the cost of issue and being more expensive in terms of required returns. The high risk means that equity shareholders expect the highest returns of long-term providers of finance. As with long-term debt, equity finance will be used for long-term investments.

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4
Q

Stock market listing adv and disadv

A

A listing on stock market makes it easier to obtain equity. Advantages:
• Higher public profile and improved marketability of shares
• Higher investor confidence (audited accounts, regular briefings, NEDs)
• Access to wider pool of equity finance
• Allows owners to realise some of their investment
• Allows use of share issues for incentive schemes and takeovers
Disadvantages
• Significantly greater public regulation, accountability and scrutiny.
• A wider circle of investors with more exacting requirements will hold shares.
• Additional costs involved in making share issues, including brokerage commissions and underwriting fees.

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5
Q

The possible methods of obtaining a stock exchange listing are:

A
  • Initial public offer

* A placing.

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6
Q

Initial public offer

A

Initial public offer–is an invitation to apply for shares in a company based upon information contained in a prospectus. It is a means of selling the shares of a company to the public at large for the first time. Subsequent issues are likely to be placings or rights issues.
o They are offered to public, either at a fixed price or via a tender process where investors ‘bid’ for shares.
o They are often issued by smaller, younger companies looking to expand, or large private companies wanting to become public.
o For the individual investor it is tough to predict share prices on the initial day of trading as there’s little past data about the company often, so it’s a risky purchase.
o These are underwritten & advertised. This means they are expensive - so good for large issues

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7
Q

A placing.

A

This way of raising equity finance involves allocating large amounts of ordinary shares with small number of institutional investors. The bank advising the company selects institutional investors to whom the shares are ‘placed’ or sold. If the general public wish to acquire shares, they must buy them from the institutions.
o A placing may be used for smaller issues of shares (up to $15 million in value).
o This is cheapest and quickest way.

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8
Q

Rights Issues.

A

The rights issue is an offer to existing shareholders to subscribe for new shares, at a discount to the current market value, in proportion to their existing holdings. This right of pre-emption: enables them to retain their existing share of voting rights and can be waived with the agreement of shareholders.
• Effect on EPS. Obviously, this will fall as there are now more shares in issue than before, and the company has not received full MV for them. To calculate the exact effect simply multiply the current EPS by the TERP / Market value before the rights issue.
• Effect on shareholders wealth. There is no effect on shareholders wealth after a rights issue. This is because, although the share price has fallen, they have proportionately more shares. Equity issues such as a rights issue do not require security and involve no loss of control for the shareholders who take up the right

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9
Q

Debt v Equity – things to consider.

A
  • Gearing and financial risk. Equity finance will decrease gearing and financial risk, while debt finance will increase them
  • Target capital structure. The aim is to minimise weighted average cost of capital (WACC). In practical terms this can be achieved by having some debt in capital structure, since debt is relatively cheaper than equity, while avoiding the extremes of too little gearing (WACC can be decreased further) or too much gearing (the company suffers from the costs of financial distress)
  • Availability of security. Debt will usually need to be secured on assets by either: a fixed charge (on specific assets) or a floating charge (on a specified class of assets).
  • Economic expectations. If buoyant economic conditions and increasing profitability expected in the future, fixed interest debt commitments are more attractive than when difficult trading conditions lie ahead.
  • Control issues. A rights issue will not dilute existing patterns of ownership and control, unlike an issue of shares to new investors.
  • Less or more risk? The providers of debt finance face less risk than the providers of equity finance because there is more certainty over the level of their return. As a result debt providers will require a lower level of return on their investment than equity providers.
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10
Q

Venture capital.

A

Venture capital is risk capital which is generally provided in return for an equity stake in the business. It is most suited to private companies with high growth potential. Venture capitalists seek a high return (at least 20%), although their principal return is achieved through an exit strategy (sale of shares on IPO). As well as providing funding for start-up businesses, venture capital is an important source of finance for management buy-outs.

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11
Q

Business angels.

A

These are wealthy individuals who invest in start-up and growth businesses in return for an equity stake. The investment can involve both time and money depending on the investor. These individuals are prepared to take high risks in the hope of high returns. As a result, business angel finance can be expensive for the business. Investments in the region of 25k, so useful to fill the gap between venture capital and debt finance, particularly for start-up businesses. One of the main advantages is that they often follow up their initial investment with later rounds of financing as the business grows. New businesses benefit from their expertise in the difficult early stages of trying to establish themselves.

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12
Q

Leasing.

A

This is a useful source of finance for the following reasons:
• Protection against obsolescence. Since it can be cancelled at short notice without financial penalty. The lessor will replace the leased asset with a more up-to-date model in exchange for continuing leasing business. This flexibility is seen as valuable in the current era of rapid technological change, and can also extend to contract terms and servicing cover
• Less commitment than a loan. There is no need to arrange a loan in order to acquire an asset and so the commitment to interest payments can be avoided, existing assets need not be tied up as security and negative effects on return on capital employed can be avoided. Operating leasing can therefore be attractive to small companies or to companies who may find it difficult to raise debt.
• Cheaper than a loan. By taking advantage of bulk buying, tax benefits etc the lessor can pass on some of these to the lessee in the form of lower lease rentals, making operating leasing a more attractive proposition that borrowing.
• Off balance sheet finance. Operating leases also have the attraction of being off-balance sheet financing, in that the finance used to acquire use of the leased asset does not appear in the balance sheet.

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13
Q

Private equity.

A

Consists of equity securities in companies that are not publicly traded on a stock exchange. In Europe, private equity represents the entire spectrum of the investment sector that includes venture capital and management buyouts and buy-ins. Private equity funds tend to invest in more mature companies with the aim of eliminating inefficiencies and driving growth. Private equity funds might require a 20 – 30% shareholding or/and rights to appoint directors.

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14
Q

Asset securitisation.

A

Asset securitisation involves the aggregation of assets into a pool then issuing new securities backed by these assets and their cash flows. The securities are then sold to investors who share the risk and reward from these assets. Securitisation is similar to ‘spinning off’ part of a business, whereby the holding company ‘sells’ its right to future profits in that part of the business for immediate cash. The new investors receive a premium (usually in the form of interest) for investing in the success or failure of the segment.
The main reason for securitising a cash flow is that it allows companies with a credit rating of (for example) BB but with AAA-rated cash flows to possibly borrow at AAA rates. This will lead to greatly reduced interest payments as the difference between BB rates and AAA rates can be hundreds of basis points.
Most securitisation pools consist of tranches. Higher tranches carry less risk of default (and therefore lower returns) whereas junior tranches offer higher returns but greater risk.
Drawbacks. Securitisation is expensive due to management costs, legal fees and continuing administration fees.

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15
Q

Initial Coin Offerings.

A

ICOs are a type of crowdfunding or crowd investing tool conducted entirely on the blockchain. ICO is a new way for organizations to raise capital. Like IPO, an ICO raises finance from investors. However, there are two key differences:
• Instead of receiving shares, an investor receives a new type of coin or token (investment, asset or utility)
• Payment is made in a cryptocurrency such as bitcoin or ether.
The future value of the tokens depends on success of the venture. Entrepreneurs present a whitepaper of the business model and the technical specifications of a project before the ICO. They lay out a timeline for the project and set a target budget where they describe the future funds spending (marketing, R&D, etc.) as well as coin distribution (how many coins are they going to keep for themselves, token supply, etc.).

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16
Q

ICO regulatory status, adv and disadv

A

Regulatory status. Banned in some countries. In general regulators are less concerned with ICOs that do not offer investors the reasonable expectation of the profit (ICO that offer utility tokens as outside definition of security). ICOs that in some way offer future income streams are likely to be judged to be securities (equity tokens) and are likely to have to fulfil the related regulatory criteria for an issue of securities.
Advantages of an ICO. Increase in IC) activity, due to:
• Its speed and ease of use as source of finance for new ideas compared to traditional methods.
• Investor interest, often based on speculative expectation of rapid, high returns.
Disadvantages of ICO.
• To investor.
o Fraud risk. ICOs launched by start-ups with vague organizational details.
o Valuation risk. Valuation of tokens is highly speculative.
• To the issuer
o Risk of money laundering. The anonymity of transactions makes ICO’s a target for organized crime funds.
o Risk of regulation
o Value of cryptocurrency (bitcoin value falling by 50%

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17
Q

The Islamic economic model

A

The Islamic economic model has developed over time based on the rulings of Sharia on commercial and financial transactions. The Islamic finance framework seen today is based on the principles developed within this model. The main principles of Islamic finance are that:
• Wealth must be generated from legitimate trade and asset-based investment. (The use of money for the purposes of making money is expressly forbidden.)
• Investment should also have a social and an ethical benefit to wider society beyond pure return.
• Risk and reward should be shared between the investor and the user of the funds.
• All harmful activities (haram) should be avoided.
• Making money with money is deemed immoral and hence interest (riba) is forbidden.

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18
Q

Commercial reasons for the use of Islamic finance.

A
  • Availability of finance. The impact of the credit crash on Islamic nations has been less than in many other parts of the world. The Gulf countries own approx. 45% of the world’s oil and gas reserves.
  • Islamic finance may also appeal due to it more prudent investment and risk philosophy. Conventional banks aim to profit by taking money deposits in return for the payment of interest (or riba) and then lending money out in return for the payment of a higher level of interest. Islamic finance does not permit the charging of interest and invests under arrangements which share profits and losses of the enterprises.
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19
Q

Two key screening tests for islamic finance

A

To tap into the Islamic equity markets, a company must be sharia compliant. To achieve this, there are two key screening tests:
• Does the company engage in business practices that are contrary to Islamic law (e.g. alcohol, gambling, tobacco, money lending etc)
• Does the company pass key financial tests, eg a low debt-equity ratio (less than 33%).

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20
Q

Products based on equity participation.

A

To establish social justice Islam requires that investors and entrepreneurs share risk and reward; there are two main products offered by Islamic banks that facilitate it.
• Mudaraba (getting finance).
• Musharaka (partnership).
• Sukuk (debt finance).

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21
Q

Products based on equity participation.

Mudaraba

A

Mudaraba (getting finance). Mudaraba transaction is a partnership transaction in which only one of the partners contributes capital, and the other contributes skill and expertise. Profits are shared according to pre-agreed contract – there are no dividends paid. Losses are solely attributable to the provider of capital, eg bank. The entrepreneur take sole responsibility for running the business, because they have the expertise in doing so – if losses are made the entrepreneur loses their time an effort. Mudaraba contracts can either be restricted (to a particular project) or unrestricted (funds can be used for any project).

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22
Q

Products based on equity participation.

Musharaka

A

Musharaka (partnership). Musharaka transactions are typically suitable for investments in business ventures or specific business projects and need to consist of at least two parties. Profits are shared according to pre-agreed contract – there are no dividends paid. Both the organization/investment manager and finance provider participate in managing and running the join venture. Profits are normally shared in proportion that takes into account the capital contribution and the expertise being contributed by the bank and entrepreneur/joint venture partners. Losses are shared in proportion to the % capital being contributed by each party. Under diminishing musharaka agreement the mudarib pays increasingly greater amounts to increase their ownership over time, so that eventually the mudarib owns the whole venture or asset.

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23
Q

Products based on equity participation.

Sukuk

A

Sukuk (debt finance). Although these are often referred to as Islamic bonds, the sukuk holders share risks and rewards, so this arrangement is more like equity. The sukuk holder shares in the risk and rewards of ownership of a specific asset, project or join venture. Sukuk requires the creation of a special purpose vehicle (SPV) which acquires the assets. This adds to the costs of the bond-issuing process, but they are often registered in tax-efficient jurisdictions. The prospectus for a sukuk must clearly disclose its purpose, its risk and the Islamic contract on which it is based (mudaraba, musharaka, ijara). Basically, the company sells the certificate to the investor, who then rents it back to the company for a predetermined rental fee. The company promises to buy back the bonds at a future date at par value.

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24
Q

Products based on investment financing.

A
Products based on investment financing. Debt finance is also possible but, even here, no interest can be charged; the products ensure both parties involved share risk (late fees=charity), and no money is actually loaned (purchase on behalf of client).
• Murabaha (trade credit). 
• Ijara (lease finance). 
• Salam (derivative). 
• Istisna.
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25
Q

Products based on investment financing.

Murabaha

A

Murabaha (trade credit). Murabaha transaction is a deferred payment sale or an instalment credit sale and is mostly used for the purchase of goods for immediate delivery in deferred payment terms. The financial institution purchases the asset and sells it to the business or individual. There is a pre-agreed mark-up to be paid, in recognition of the convenience of paying later, for an asset that is transferred immediately. No interest is charged.

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26
Q

Products based on investment financing.

Ijara

A

Ijara (lease finance). Ijara is the equivalent of lease finance; where on party allows another party to use their asset against the payment of a rental fee. The financial institution purchases the asset for the business to use, with lease payments, period and payment terms being agreed at the start of the contract. The financial institution is still the owner of the asset and incurs the risk of ownership. This means that the financial institution will be responsible for major maintenance and insurance, which is different from a conventional finance lease.

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27
Q

Products based on investment financing.

Salam

A

Salam (derivative). A commodity is sold for future delivery; cash is received from the financial institution in advance (at a discount) and delivery arrangements are determined immediately.

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28
Q

Products based on investment financing.

Istisna.

A

Istisna. For funding large, long-term construction projects. The financial institution funds a project; the client pays and initial deposit, followed by instalments during the course of construction. At completion, ownership of the property passes to the clie

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29
Q

Advantages of Islamic finance.

A

Islamic finance operates on the underlying principle that there should be a link between the economic activity that creates value and the financing of that economic activity.
• Following principle of Islamic finance allows access to a source of worldwide funds. Access to Islamic finance is not restricted to Muslim communities, which may make it appealing to companies that are focused on investing ethically.
• Speculation is not allowed, reducing the risk of losses
• Excessive profits not allowed, only reasonable mark-ups
• Banks cannot use excessive leverage and are therefore less likely to collapse
• The rules encourage all parties to take a longer-term view and focus on creating a successful outcome for the venture, which should contribute to a more stable financial environment
• The emphasis on mutual interest and co-operation, with a partnership based on profit creation through ethical and fair activity benefiting the community as a whole.

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30
Q

Disadvantages of Islamic Finance.

A

Islamic finance does not remove all commercial risk.
• There is no international consensus on Sharia interpretations, e.g. some Murabaha are based on prevailing interest rates rather than economic or profit conditions.
• Documentation is often tailor-made for the transaction, so high transaction/issue costs
• Trading in Sukuk products has been limited, especially since the financial crisis
• With no interest - it is hard to claim some Islamic instruments as debt - therefore losing the tax benefit and increasing the WACC
• Some Islamic products may not be compatible with international financial regulation.
• Restrictions are placed on a company’s business operations and financial structure
• Approval of new products can take time.
• Islamic banks cannot minimise their risks as hedging is prohibited

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31
Q

Financing decision.

A

The primary objective of profit-making company is normally assumed to be to maximise shareholder wealth. Investments will increase shareholder wealth if they cover the cost of capital and leave a surplus for the shareholders. The cost of capital represents the return required by the investors (such as equity holders, preference holders or banks). The lower the overall cost of capital the greater the wealth that is created. The cost of capital is made up of the cost of debt + cost of equity. In order to be able to minimise the overall cost of finance, it is important initially to be able to estimate the costs of each finance type. The cost of the different forms of capital will reflect their risk. Debt is lower risk than equity because debt ranks before equity in the event of a company becoming insolvent, and because interest has to be paid. Therefore, debt will be cheaper than equity and the more security attached to the debt the cheaper it should be.

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32
Q

Creditor hierarchy.

A
When a company cannot pay its debts and goes into liquidation, it must pay its creditors in the following order:
• Creditors with a fixed charge
• Creditors with a floating charge
• Unsecured creditors
• Preference shareholders
• Ordinary shareholders
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33
Q

Marginal vs average cost of capital

A

Marginal Cost of Capital. If a company gets a specific loan or equity to finance a specific project then this loan/equity cost is the MARGINAL cost of capital.
Average Cost of Capital. If a company is continuously raising funds for many projects then the combined cost of all of these is the AVERAGE cost of capital.

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34
Q

Cost of equity.

A

The dividend valuation model
capital asset pricing model.

DVM or CAPM. CAPM is generally preferred out of the 2 methods as more precise and explains what it calculates.

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35
Q

The dividend valuation model and assumptions

A

DVM states that the current share price is determined by the future dividends, discounted at the investor’s required rate of return.
DVM uses the following assumptions:
• Future income stream is the dividends paid out by the company (or market value of shares is directly related to expected future dividends on the shares).
• Dividends will be paid in perpetuity
• Dividends will be constant or growing at a fixed rate

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36
Q

DVM (assuming constant dividends)

A

P_0=D/r_e
Where
D = constant dividend from year 1 to infinity
P0 = share price now (year 0)
re = shareholder’s required return, expressed as decimal (cost of equity)

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37
Q

DVM (assuming dividend growth at a fixed rate).

A

P_0=(d_0×(1+g))/(r_e-g)
Where
Pₒ= the ex-div market value of the share
dₒ=latest dividend
re = the investor’s required rate of return (i.e. Kₑ)
g = expected annual growth rate of dividends.

This can be rearranged for cost of equity as follows:
k_e=(d_0×(1+g))/P_o +g
Where
Pₒ= the market value determined by the investor
dₒ=current dividend
g = expected annual growth rate of dividends.

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38
Q

Estimating the growth rate.

A

There are 2 methods for estimating the growth rate:
Future growth rate can be predicted from an analysis of the growth in dividends over the past few years using the formula
1+g=√(n&(newest dividend)/(oldest dividend))
Using Gordon’s growth approximation, as:
g=brₑ
Where
b = the proportion of profits that are retained
re = the rate of return to shareholders on new investments
g = annual growth rate of dividends.
This method can be used for valuing minority shareholdings in a company, since the calculation is based on dividends paid, something which minority shareholders are unable to influence.

39
Q

Strengths and weaknesses of the DVM.

A

The model is theoretically sound and good for valuing a non-controlling interest but:
• There may be problems estimating a future growth rate
• It assumes that growth will be constant in the future, this is not true of most companies
• The model is highly sensitive to changes in its assumptions
• For controlling interests, it offers few advantages over the earnings methods

40
Q

Cost of equity – capital asset pricing model.

A

Rational investors will create a diversified investment portfolio to reduce their exposure to risk. By continuing to diversify, shareholders can further reduce risk.

Capital asset pricing model calculates the expected return (or cost) of equity (Rₑ or Kₑ) on the assumption that investors have a broad range of investments, and are only worried about market risk, as measured by the beta factor

The CAPM formula (given in formulas)
E(ri)=R_f+β(E(R_m )-R_f)

Where:
E(ri) = expected (target) return on security by investor (the cost of equity capital)
Rm = the expected return on the market.
β = the beta of the investment
Rf = risk-free rate of interest
 Rm –Rf = market risk premium
41
Q

CAPM unsystematic and systematic risk

A

Unsystematic (specific) risk: the component of risk that is associated with investing in that particular company. It is gradually eliminated as the investor increases the diversity of their investment portfolio until it is negligible. Diversification is important because it enables investors to eliminate virtually all of the risks that are unique to particular industries or types of business.
Systematic (market) risk: the portion of risk that will remain even if a diversified portfolio has been created, because it is determined by general market factors. Market risk is caused by factors which affect all industries and businesses to some extent or other such as: interest rates, tax legislation, exchange rates and economic boom or recession.

42
Q

CAPM: beta factor

A

Beta factor: a measure of sensitivity of a share to movements in overall market. A beta factor measures market risk (represents systematic risk.
A bet factor of 1 is average because it means that the average change in the return on a share has been the same as the market (if market fell by 1%, this share also fell by 1% on average). The higher the beta factor, the more sensitive the security is to systematic risk (the more volatile its returns in response to factors that affect market returns generally).
• If an investment is riskier than average (i.e. the returns more volatile than the average market returns) then the β> 1 (shareholders will require a higher return).
• If an investment is less risky than average (i.e. the returns less volatile than the average market returns) then the β< 1.
• If an investment is risk free then β= 0.

43
Q

CAPM assumptions

A
  • Investors hold diversified portfolios. From the assumptions of CAPM it is deduced that all investors will hold a well-diversified portfolio of shares, known as the market portfolio. This assumption means that investors will only require a return for the systematic risk of their portfolios, since the unsystematic risk has been removed.
  • Perfect capital market. A perfect capital market requires: no taxes, no transaction costs, perfect information that is freely available to all investors, all investors to be risk averse and rational and a large number of buyers and sellers in the market.
  • Unrestricted borrowing or lending at the risk-free rate of interest. This assumption provides a minimum level of return required by investors. In reality, this is not possible because the risk associated with individual investors is much higher than that associated with the Government.
44
Q

Limitations of CAPM.

A

• Estimating market return. This is estimated by considering movements in the stock market as a whole over time. This will overstate the returns achieved because it will not pick up the firms that have failed and have dropped out of the stock market.
• Estimating the beta factor. Beta values are historical and will not give an accurate measure of risk if the firm has recently changed its gearing or its strategy.
• Other risk factors. It has been argued the CAPM ignores the impact of:
o Size of the company (the extra risk of failure for small companies)
o The ratio of book value of equity to market value of equity (shares with book values that are close to their market values are more likely to fail)

45
Q

The advantages of CAPM

A
  • It provides a market-based relationship between risk and return, and assessment of security risk and rates of return given that risk.
  • It shows why only systematic risk is important in this relationship.
  • It is one of the best methods of estimating a quoted company’s cost of equity capital.
  • It provides a basis for establishing risk-adjusted discount rates for capital investment projects.
46
Q

Disadvantages of CAPM

A
  • It presumes a well-diversified investor. Others, including managers and employees may well want to know about the unsystematic risk also
  • The return level is only seen as important not the way in which it is given. For example, dividends and capital gains have different tax treatments which may be more or less beneficial to individuals.
  • It focuses on one period only.
  • Some inputs are very difficult to get hold of. For example, beta needs a subjective analysis
  • Generally, CAPM overstates the required return for high beta shares and visa versa
47
Q

Beta factors of portfolios

A
  • A portfolio consisting of all the securities on the stock market, excluding risk-free securities, will have a risk equal to the risk of the market as a whole, and so will have a beta factor of 1
  • A portfolio consisting entirely of risk-free securities will have a beta factor of ¬0
  • The beta factor of an investor’s portfolio is the weighted average (using market values as the weighting) of the beta factors of the securities in the portfolio.
48
Q

CAPM and portfolio management.

A

Practical implications of CAPM theory for an investor are as follows.
• They should decide what beta factor they would like to have for their portfolio. They might prefer a portfolio beta factor of greater than 1, in order to expect above-average returns when market returns exceed the risk-free rate, but they would expect to lose heavily if market returns fall.
• They should seek to invest in shares with low beta factors in a bear market (going down), when average market returns are falling. They should then also sell shares with high beta factors.
• They should seek to invest in shares with high beta factors in a bull market, when average market returns are rising.

49
Q

International CAPM.

A

The possibility of international portfolio diversification increases the opportunities available to investors. Significant international diversification can be achieved by the following methods:
• Direct investment in companies in different countries
• Investments in multinational enterprises
• Holdings in unit trusts which are diversified internationally
The international picture may be complicated by market segmentation. Segmentation is usually caused by government-imposed restrictions on the movement of capital, leading to restricted capital availability within a country or other geographical segment. Therefore, returns on the same security may differ in different markets and some investments may only be available in certain markets.

50
Q

Cost of debt - Irredeemable debt calculations.

A

The formula for valuing a loan note is therefore:
MV=I/K_d
Where:
I = annual interest starting in one year’s time
MV = market price of the loan note now (year 0)
Kd = debt holders’ required return (pre-tax cost of debt), expressed as a decimal.

The post-tax cost of debt to the company is found by adjusting the formula to take account of the tax relief on the interest:
K_d (1-T)=(I(1-T))/MV
Where:
T = rate of corporation tax
The MV of the loan notes is set by the investor, who does not get tax relief, and is therefore based on the interest before tax. The company gets corporation tax relief so the cost of debt calculation for the company is based on interest after tax.

51
Q

Cost of debt - Redeemable debt.

A

Redeemable debt. The company pays the interest and the original amount (capital) back. So the market value is the interest and capital discounted at the investor’s required rate of return. The cost of debt to the company is the debtholder’s required rate of return.

52
Q

Cost of debt - Redeemable debt calculation

A

If debt is redeemable, the cost of raising the bond can be assessed by looking at the IRR of the cash flows relating to the bond. IRR is used in project appraisal to calculate the % return given by the project.

Helpful to layout cashflows as a project:
Time $
0 (Market value) – issue cost subtracted if any
1-n Interest x (1-tax) (based on 100)
n Redemption value (100 unless redemption at premium)

Calculate the NPV of the cash flows
Calculate NPV of cash flows at another rate
Calculate internal rate of return using formula
IRR=a+NPVₐ/(NPVₐ-NPV_b ) x(b-a)

Where a=lower cost of capital
B=higher cost of capital
NPVₐ=NPV at the lower cost of capital
NPVb =NPV at the higher cost of capital

To calculate expected yield (or return) from a bond the same IRR calculations need to be performed but excluding the impact of corporation tax.

53
Q

Cost of debt -Convertible debt.

A

The investor has the choice to either be paid in cash or take shares from the company. Hence, the debt is convertible into shares. To calculate the cost of capital here, simply follow the same rules as for redeemable debt (an IRR calculation). Calculations is the same unless the value of shares is higher than redeemable value, in that case the redemption value used would be the value of shares.
Conversion premium is the difference between market value and share value at today’s date.

54
Q

Cost of debt using CAPM.

A

If we have a debt beta, calculation would be the same as for equity, but result adjusted for tax by multiplying (1-t).

55
Q

cost of debt -preference shares (similar to irredeemable).

A

The preference shareholder will receive a fixed income, based upon the nominal value of the shares held (not the market value). These dividends are paid out of post-tax profits and therefore do not receive tax relief. The cost of preference share capital is calculated as:
K_pref=Dividend/Market value_(ex div) = d/P_0

56
Q

cost of debt - Bank loans.

A

The cost of loan will be given, because a company will obtain tax relief on interest paid, the cost will be multiplied by (1-t) to get the post-tax cost of debt (simply interest charged).

57
Q

Weighted average cost of capital and calculation

A

To calculate a project NPV or to assess a proposed financing plan, may be necessary to calculate WACC.
Calculating the WACC. The calculation involves a series of steps.
• Step 1. Calculate weights for each source of capital.
• Step 2. Estimate cost of each source of capital (market values better than book).
• Step 3. Multiply proportion of total of each source of capital by cost of that source of capital.
• Step 4. Sum the results of Step 3 to give the WACC.

All of the above can be summarised in the following formula:
WACC=
[V_e/(V_e+V_d )]×k_e+[V_d/(V_e+V_d )]×k_d×(1-T)

where:
Ve and Vd are the market values of equity and debt respectively
Ke is the cost of equity
Kd (1 –T) is the post-tax cost of debt

58
Q

Market value of debt.

A

To value debt we need to calculate the present value of its future cash flows discounted at the required return (pre-tax).

59
Q

WACC assumptions for project evaluation.

A

The WACC can only be used for project evaluation if:
• In the long-term the company will maintain its existing capital structure (i.e. financial risk is unchanged)
• The project has the same risk as the company (i.e. business risk is unchanged)
If these factors are not in place (i.e. risk changes) then the company’s existing cost of equity will change.

60
Q

project-specific cost of capital

A

Where the financial risk or business risk of an extra project is different from normal, there is an argument for a cost of capital to be calculated for that particular project; this is called a project-specific cost of capital.
Ungearing & Regearing.

61
Q

When to use WACC to appraise investments

A

• Debt/equity amounts remain unchanged
• Operating risk of firm stays same
• Finance is not project specific (so the average is applicable)
• Project is relatively small so any changes to the company are insignificant.
If any if the above do not apply - then we cannot use WACC. We then have to use CAPM (adapted).

62
Q

Ungearing & Regearing.

A

The beta of a company is called an equity beta (which is a measure of the market risk of a security) – this reflects both business risk (the risk of the business operations) and financial risk (the risk of using debt finance in capital structure). To understand the level of business risk (only) faced by the business, an equity beta can be adjusted to show its value if the company was ungeared. An ungeared beta therefore measures only business risk, not financial risk – asset beta. An asset beta will be smaller than equity beta as it only measures business risk.

63
Q

Ungearing & Regearing method.

A

Method.
Step 1. Ungear the cost of equity or ungear the equity beta relating to the comparable company. Equity beta will represent both the business risk and financial risk (gearing) of that company. By ungearing we take out their financial risk, leaving only business risk (asset beta). The formula to be used (adjusted assuming that the debt beta is zero)
β_a=β_e (V_e/(V_e+V_d (1-T)))
Step 2. Regear the cost of equity or asset beta with the capital structure to be used in the new investment (using the same formula).
Step 3. Having estimated a project-specific geared beta, use the CAPM to estimate a project-specific cost of equity and then a project-specific WACC.
Drawbacks of this approach: finding a suitable comparable quoted company. It is difficult to identify a comparable company with identical operating characteristics to use as a benchmark (i.e. different cost structures, types of products and markets etc)

64
Q

Advanced WAAC techniques.

A
  • WACC calculated using Asset Beta – use then business risk changes
  • WACC calculated using ungeared Ke - Use when the company is financed entirely by equity
65
Q

Duration (Macaulay).

A

Duration measures the weighted average number of years over which a bond delivers its returns. Duration allows bonds of different maturities and coupon rates to be directly compared. Duration will be higher if the bond has:
A long time to maturity
A low coupon rate
(1xPV_1+2xPV_2+3xPV_3)/(PV_1+PV_2+PV_3)

66
Q

Modified duration.

A

Modified duration is a useful measure of the risk of a bond to an investor. It is calculated as:
Modified duration=(Macaulay duration)/(1+yield)
This is a useful measure of the price sensitivity (risk) of a bond to changes in interest rates (i.e. if modified duration is X and required yield rise by 1%, the bond price will fall by X%).
T
he following formula can be used:
Change in bond price=
-duration/((1+gross redemption yield) ) x change in yield x market price of the bond.

67
Q

Convexity and modified duration.

A

A limitation of modified duration is that it assumes a linear relationship between the yield and the price. The impact of convexity (ie non-linear relationship) will be that the modified duration will tend to overstate the fall in bond’s price and understate the rise. Therefore, modified duration should be treated with caution when predicting interest rate/price relationship. The problem of convexity only becomes an issue with more substantial fluctuations in yield.

68
Q

Credit risk.

A

The credit risk arises from the inability of a party to fulfil its obligation under the terms of the contract. The credit risk of an individual loan or bond is determined by the following two factors:
• The probability of default (PD) – the borrower will default on its obligation
• The recovery rate – this is the fraction of the face value of an obligation that can be recovered, once the borrower has defaulted. The loss given default (LGD) is the difference between the amount of money owed by the borrower less the amount of money recovered.

69
Q

Credit rating agencies.

A

All approaches of the credit risk measurement concentrate on the estimation of the default probability and recovery rate. The most common approach is to assess the probability of default using financial and other information on the borrowers and assign a rating that reflects the expected loss from investing in the particular bond. The expected loss (EL) from credit risk shows the amount of money the lender should expect to lose from the investment in a bond or loan with credit risk (EL=LGDxPD). The assignment of credit risk ratings is done by credit rating companies and these ratings are widely accepted as indicators of the credit risk of the bond.

70
Q

Credit spread.

A

The credit spread is a measure of the credit risk associated with a company. The credit spread is in basis point, which means for example 5 = 0.05%.

71
Q

The criteria used by credit agencies for establishing a company’s credit rating are the following:

A
  • Industry risk: measure of the resilience of the company’s industry to changes in the economy. Factors:
  • -Demand factors within industry
  • -How cyclical the industry is and how large the peaks and troughs are.
  • Earnings protection: measures how well the company will be able to maintain or protect its earnings in changing circumstances. Factors:
  • -sources of earnings growth
  • -return on capital
  • Financial flexibility: measures the ability of the company to raise the finance it needs to pursue its investment goals. Factors:
  • -existing debt covenants
  • -relationships with banks
  • -evaluation of financing needs
  • Evaluation of the company’s management: considers how well the managers are managing and planning for the future of the company. Factors:
  • -company’s planning, controls, financing policies and strategies
  • -merger and acquisition performance
  • -overall quality of management
72
Q

Yield curve.

A

Shows how the yield on government bonds vary according to the term of the borrowing. The curve shows the yield expected by the investor assuming that the bond pays all of the return as a single payment on maturity. Normally it is upward sloping.

There are a number of explanations of the yield curve; at any one time both may be influencing the shape of the yield curve.
• Expectations theory – the curve reflects expectations that interest rates will rise in the future, so the government has to offer higher returns on a long-term debt.
• Liquidity preference theory -the curve reflects the compensation that investors require higher annual returns for sacrificing liquidity on long-dated bonds.

73
Q

cost of debt capital using term structure and the credit spread

A

The cost of bond can be estimated by considering:
• The risk-free rate derived from the yield curve for a bond of that specified duration.
• The credit risk premium – derived from the bond’s credit rating

To derive cost of debt we can use the following formula.
Cost of debt post tax=
Required yield on debt (Yield curve+credit spread)x(1-tax rate)

74
Q

cost of debt capital using term structure and the credit spread - yield curve

A

The yield curve can be calculated by comparing government bonds with different prices and maturities. The yield in the specific year can be estimated using equation. This approach identifies the expected return (or expected yield) that is required to discount future cash flow from the bond back to the given market price, or present value.
Present value=
Interest year1 x(1+r)^(-1)+Interest year 2 x(1+r)^(-2)………+Final year payment (capital+interest)in year n x(1+r)^(-n)

75
Q

cost of debt capital using term structure and the credit spread - credit rating

A

Credit rating. A bond’s credit rating will also affect the return that is required by investors. The extra return (or yield spread) required by investors on a bond will depend on its credit rating and its maturity.

76
Q

Impact of change in credit rating.

A

One reason that a company’s credit rating can worsen is due to the issue of new debt; this can have a number of potential impacts on WACC:
• Cost and amount of new debt – include in WACC
• Required yield on existing debt may increase
• An increase in required yield will reduce the market value of any existing debt
• Cost of equity may rise - as financial risk increases.
• Other impacts:
o Additional debt may have restrictive covenants, which may restrict it from buying and selling assets and therefore from being able to maximise returns to shareholders
o Covenants may require company to build up fund for repayment, which can make it harder to pay dividends to shareholders
o If WACC rises, this will reduce the value of the company to its investors.

77
Q

Theories for a perfect capital structure.

A

The Traditional Theory.
Modigliani & Miller (M&M) –1958 theory with no taxation.
Modigliani & Miller (M&M) –1963 theory with tax.
Static trade-off theory
Pecking order propositions

78
Q

Theories for a perfect capital structure.

The Traditional Theory.

A

The traditional view is as follows:
• As the level of gearing (debt) increases, the cost of debt remains unchanged up to a certain level of gearing. Beyond this level, the cost of debt will increase as interest cover falls, the amount of assets available for security falls and the risk of bankruptcy increases.
• The cost of equity rises as the level of gearing increases and financial risk increases (more risk=more return).
• The WACC does not remain constant, but rather falls initially as the proportion of debt capital increases (as debt is cheaper), and then begins to increase as the rising cost of equity (and possibly of debt) becomes more significant.
• The optimum level of gearing is where the company’s WACC is minimised.
This view can be represented by a U shaped graph, where the vertical axis is the WACC and the horizontal the amount of debt finance

Conclusion. There is an optimal level of gearing – point X. At point X the overall return required by investors (debt and equity) is minimised. It follows that at this point the combined market value of the firm’s debt and equity securities will also be maximised.
Company should gear up until it reaches optimal point and then raise a mix of finance to maintain this level of gearing.

Problem. There is no method, apart from trial and error, available to locate the optimal point.

79
Q

Theories for a perfect capital structure.

Modigliani & Miller (M&M) –1958 theory with no taxation.

A

Modigliani & Miller (M&M) –1958 theory with no taxation. M&M proposed that the total MV of a company, in the absence of tax, will be determined only by two factors: the total earnings of the company and the level of operating (business) risk attached to those earnings. The total MCV would be computed by discounting the total earnings at a rate that is appropriate to the level of operating risk. This rate would represent the WACC of the company. Thus M&M concluded that the capital structure of a company have no effect on its overall value or WACC. If M&M’s theory holds it implies:
• The cost of debt remains unchanged as the level of gearing increases
• The cost of equity rises in such a way as to keep the WACC constant.
Conclusion. The WACC and therefore the value of the firm is unaffected by changes in gearing levels and gearing is irrelevant. Choice of finance is irrelevant to shareholder wealth: company can use any mix of funds

80
Q

Theories for a perfect capital structure.

Modigliani & Miller (M&M) –1963 theory with tax.

A

Modigliani & Miller (M&M) –1963 theory with tax. M&M modified their theory to admit that tax relief on interest payments does makes debt capital cheaper to a company, and therefore reduces the WACC, where a company has debt in tis capital structure. They claimed that the WACC will continue to fall, up to gearing of 100%.
Conclusion. Gearing up reduces the WACC and increases the MV of the company. The optimal capital structure is 99.9% gearing.

81
Q

Assumptions underpinning M&M’s theory:

A
  • A perfect capital market exists, in which investors have the same information, upon which they react rationally, to arrive at the same expectations about future earnings and risks.
  • There are no tax or transaction costs.
  • Debt is risk free and freely available at the same cost to investors and companies alike.
82
Q

WACC and value (M&M)

A

A fall in WACC benefits shareholders. This is because the present value of the cash flows generated by the company to its investors (shareholders and debtholders) will be higher if it is discounted at a lower rate. In an efficient market this would imply that the market value of equity plus debt will rise as the WACC falls.

The principles of the M&M theory with tax gave rise to the following formula for cost of equity:
k_e=k_e^i+(1-T)(k_e^i-k_d)V_d/V_e
Where
Ke is the cost of equity in a geared company
Kie is the cost of equity in an ungeared company
Vd, Ve are the MVs of debt and equity
Kd is the cost of debt pre-tax

83
Q

Why do companies not attempt a 99.9% debt structure (M&M drawbacks)?

A

Bankruptcy risk. MMs theory assumes perfect capital markets so a company would always be able to raise finance to fund worthwhile projects. The higher the level of gearing the greater the risk of bankruptcy with the associated costs of financial distress.
• Direct financial distress costs. The legal and administrative costs associated with the bankruptcy or reorganization of the company.
• Indirect financial distress costs:
o A higher cost of debt due to a firm’s high risk of default
o Lost sales due to customers having concerns that the firm with high gearing may be at risk of failure
o Higher prices or shorter payment terms from suppliers who will be concerned about non-payment.
Agency costs. At higher levels of gearing, in order to safeguard their investments, lenders/debentures holders often impose restrictive conditions in the loan agreements that constrain management’s freedom of action.
Tax exhaustion. After a certain level of gearing, companies will discover that they have no tax liability left against which to offset interest charges. Kd (1 –t) simply becomes Kd
Borrowing/debt capacity. High levels of gearing are unusual because companies run out of suitable assets to offer as security against loans. Companies with assets which have an active second-hand market, and with low levels of depreciation such as property companies, have a high borrowing capacity.
Difference risk tolerance levels between shareholders and director. Business failure can have a far greater impact on directors than on a well-diversified investor. It may be argued that directors have a natural tendency to be cautious about borrowing.

84
Q

Static trade-off theory

A

Myers argues that imperfections (static) mean that the level of gearing that is appropriate for a business depends on its specific business context. This suggests that a company should gear up to take advantage of any tax benefits available, but only to the extent that the marginal benefits of debt exceed the marginal costs of financial distress. After this point, the market value of the firm will start to fall and its WACC will start to rise.
• Mature, asset intensive, industries tend to have high gearing because they are at low risk of default and so financial distress costs are likely to be outweighed by the value of tax saved from interest payments.
• Companies with fewer tangible assets or facing more volatile cash flows (young, high tech, high fixed costs) tend to have lower gearing because financial distress costs are likely to be higher than the present values of tax saved from interest payments.

85
Q

Pecking order propositions

A

In this approach, there is no search for an optimal capital structure through a theorised process. Instead it is argued that firms will raise new funds as follows:
• Internally generated funds
• Debt
• New issue of equity
Firms simply use all their internally generated funds first then move down the pecking order to debt and then finally to issuing new equity. Firms follow a line of least resistance that establishes the capital structure..

86
Q

Pecking order propositions

Internally generated funds

A

Internally generated funds–i.e. retained earnings
• Already have the funds – easier to use than go to the trouble of obtaining external finance and have to live up to the demands of external finance providers.
• Do not have to spend any time persuading outside investors of the merits of the project.
• No issue costs

87
Q

Pecking order propositions

Debt

A

Debt
• The degree of questioning and publicity associated with debt is usually significantly less than that associated with a share issue.
• Moderate issue costs – lower than equity
• Debt finance may also be preferred when a company has not yet reached its optimal capital structure and it is mainly financed by equity, which is expensive compared to debt. Issuing debt here will lead to a reduction in the WACC and hence an increase in the market value of the company.
• One reason why debt is cheaper than equity is that debt is higher in the creditor hierarchy than equity, since ordinary shareholders are paid out last in the event of liquidation. Debt is even cheaper if it is secured on assets of the company. The cost of debt is reduced even further by the tax efficiency of debt, since interest payments are an allowable deduction in arriving at taxable profit.
• Debt finance may be preferred where the maturity of the debt can be matched to the expected life of the investment project.

88
Q

Pecking order propositions

New issue of equity

A

New issue of equity
• Perception by stock markets that it is a possible sign of problems – i.e. managers believe that equity is overvalued and hence are trying to achieve high proceeds while they can.
• Extensive questioning and publicity associated with a share issue.
• Expensive issue costs
• Equity finance is permanent finance and so may be preferred for investment projects with long lives.

89
Q

Capital structure. Agency effects.

A

Agency theory suggests that if a company is mainly equity financed there is less pressure on cash flows, and managers will often embark on ‘vanity projects’ such as ill-judged acquisitions. Higher gearing creates a discipline that can effectively deal with this agency problem.
In order to safeguard their investments lenders/debentures holders often impose restrictive conditions in the loan agreements that constrains management’s freedom of action. These may include restrictions:
• on the level of dividends
• on the level of additional debt that can be raised
• on acceptable working capital and other ratios
• on management from disposing of any major asset without the debenture holders’ agreement.

90
Q

Adjusted present value method

A

M&M theory on gearing tells us that the impact of debt finance is purely to save tax. If so, then the value of this can be quantified and added as an adjustment to the present value of the project.
Adjusted present value method (project funded entirely by debt for exam).
• Step 1. Calculate project NPV using an ungeared cost of equity (Kei) calculated either by using the M&M formula or an asset beta. These cash flows are risky.
• Step 2. Adjust for the impact of financing (e.g. present value of tax saved, benefit of any loan subsidy).
o Add the PV of the tax saved at the required return on debt (Kd pre-tax). This reflects the low risk of the tax savings.
o Subsidised loan adds some extra value to the APV and should be factored in and calculated as the present value of the net interest savings due to subsidy, discounted at the normal pre-tax Kd.
• Step 3. Subtract the cost of issuing new finance
Formula for ungearing the cost of equity is the M&M formula.

An alternative method of calculating an ungeared Ke in Step 1 of APV is to adjust the company’s equity beta by stripping out the effect of gearing to create an ungeared or an asset beta. The beta is then input to the CAPM to calculate an ungeared cost of equity.

91
Q

APV: Subsidised loans.

A

Subsidised loans. We need to account for benefit of being able to pay a lower interest rate (so the difference between normal and reduced rate is discounted and then added to regular tax saving as a total benefit).

92
Q

APV: Subsidised loans.

A

Subsidised loans. We need to account for benefit of being able to pay a lower interest rate (so the difference between normal and reduced rate is discounted and then added to regular tax saving as a total benefit).

93
Q

APV in international context

A

APV in international context. Because international investments often include significant levels of debt, APV may be applied in an international context (the same steps).

94
Q

Drawbacks of APV.

A

APV is an M&M theory and suffers from the drawbacks of M&M.