democratic peace theory

Question 1

deaths resulting from violent / non-violent responses

Answer 1

1968 Russian invasion of Czechoslovakia was met by non-violence so few deaths
Soviet invasion of Hungary in 1956 17k died

Question 2

lack of American hegemony

Answer 2

15% of Americans (18-29 years) in 2014 believed America is best country compared to 27% in 2011
Putin offered safe hold for US whistleblower Snowden
2020- China surpassed USA as world’s leading nation for FDI + surpassed them in trade with the European union

Question 3

new nato states 2022

Answer 3

5 new Nato states - Boznia and Hertz, Finland, Georgia, Sweden, Ukraine

Question 4

chance of disputes between 2 democracies

Answer 4

1/276

Question 5

chance of dispute involving at least one non-democratic state

Answer 5

1/36- 8x greater than the risk between 2 democracies

Question 6

Fashoda incident

Answer 6

1898

Question 7

Vietnam war - public opinion

Answer 7

April 1965- 15-25k protested
1969 first time several recruitment centres didn’t meet quota because people rejected their drafting. college campuses shut down, and in 1968, Johnson did not seek renomination for electoral race

Question 8

How many Germans died in Ruhr crisis

Answer 8

130- mostly peaceful strike which caused Ruhr economy to collapse

Question 9

exceptions to democratic peace theory

Answer 9

Peru and Ecuador engaged in armed conflict when both were liberal regimes - war came within 1-3 years after the establishment of a liberal regime
Finland allied with axis powers in ww2
Guetamala, Nicuragua and Indonesia were all democratic regimes but after they accepted communist arms, the replacement regimes were less democratic
Cuna Indians had elected indian chiefs who could be impeached at any time. SPain Columbia and Panama all tried to subjugate them

Question 10

females less keen on the use of force

Answer 10

1982-2013: 24 case studies in the USA and in all women were less keen on the use of force
average military support among men =50%, among women = 38%
democracies without female suffrage are 192% more likely to go to war than democracies with female suffrage and autocracies were only 162% more likely to than democracies

Question 11

how many post 9/11 deaths

Answer 11

929k directly

Question 12

how many refugees

Answer 12

38 million prior to commencement of Ukrainian conflict

Question 13

how many times has AUMF been used

Answer 13

37 times in 14 countries

Question 14

likelihood of democratising states going to war

Answer 14

2/3 more likely than states which didnt undergo a regime change
in 10 years prior to democratisation, chance of going to war is 1/6, in the 10 years after, the likelihood is 1/4