Chapter 31- cash flow and working capital Flashcards
When does cash come into the business?
- sales
- borrowing (inflows)
When does cash leave the business?
- materials
- labour
- marketing
- interest payments on loans (outflows)
What will happen without cash?
- wages can’t be paid
- loans can’t be repaid
- raw materials can’t be bought (no business without these inputs)
How does cash flow differ from profit?
- cash flow considers the inflows and outflows of cash for a business whereas profit is a measure based on the difference between revenue and costs
- if a business has a negative cash flow it doesn’t mean it has a negative profit
What happens before the inflows are received for many businesses?
- outflows occur before the inflows are received
- businesses can run out of cash and subsequently go into liquidation
What are cash flow forecasts?
- they are estimates of the likely inflows and outflows of cash into and out of the business over a given period of time
- forecasts shows the amount of cash that will flow in and out and the likely timing of such inflows and outflows
What are cash flow statements?
- they are the actual figures produced once transactions have occurred
Reasons for cash flow forecasts
- preparing a cash flow forecast is a valuable planning procedure. It allows the business to put into place strategies to deal with any forecasted negative cash flow such as organising a loan or an extension to its overdraft facilities
- the forecast is useful for helping the business to set its prices
- if the forecasted sales revenue is low the marketing team may consider promotional pricing in order to boost sales revenue
- cash flow forecasts are looked at by potential investors. Venture capitalists and potential shareholders will be interested in the figures in order to assess its likelihood of success
- suppliers may want to see figures to assess if the business will be able to pay for the supplies on time
- managers of the business will use the cash flow information to monitor the business and react accordingly
Where are the figures for the cash flow forecasts and statements usually shown and why?
- each month of the year
- because it will allow the business to see its cash flows throughout all the trading period
- may be seasonal variations in sales
- more accurate and reliable to show forecasts for all months
What is important to remember if the loan is a positive flow (inflow)?
- that there will be a need to be outflows to pay back the loan with interest payments
Total inflows
- the addition of all inflows into the business (positive)
Utilities
- includes costs for gas, electricity, telephones and water
Total outflows
- aggregate of all the outflows (negative)
Net cash inflow
- cash inflows - cash outflows
Closing balance
- the final figure
- will be carried forward as the opening balance for the next month
What could contribute to the negative cash flow?
- stock purchases are excessive
- too much money is tied up in stock
Interpreting data (table 31.1 from book)
- Only first 6 months of the year have been given so if the product is seasonal it wont show a true overall picture of the cash flow of the business
- doesn’t give any indication of how long the business has been trading
- source of sales revenue is just a total and gives no indication whether its from one or several products
- type of business is not given so may be difficult to judge the significance of the cash flow forecast
- no indication of what is happening to prices (inflation) within the period of the forecast
What can the falling level of sales revenue be due to?
- its different depending on the type of business and the state of the economy
Could be due to:
- seasonal change e.g. ski holidays
- business faced with recession- due to lack of demand, business involved with a luxury product
- decline stage
Changes to the interest rate
- consequences of such low interest rates for businesses could mean a much lower level of costs in terms of repayments on overdrafts and loans
- but its likely that the interest on loans will have been fixed when the loan was taken out
Changes in economic policy
- can have a significant effect on cash flow forecasts
- increases in taxation and national insurance contributions all affect the disposable income of consumers and their ability to purchase products
- sales revenue forecasts can swiftly appear too optimistic or pessimistic
Changes in the economic climate
- can affect a business very quickly
Forecasts are estimates
- has no certainty as to how potential consumers will respond in purchasing its products
- time of the year in which the business is launched will influence the forecast
E.g. forecast for sales may be higher for the Christmas period
Forecasting seasonal demand
- gauging demand for seasonal products is difficult
E.g. ice cream, soft drinks, alcohol, barbeques are all examples of goods that may be dependant upon the weather in the UK
World events
- can have a dramatic effect on cash flow forecast
E.g. earthquakes, floods, tsunamis, plane crashes - all of these events can and have greatly affected sales revenues