Chapter 3- Cost estimation Flashcards
Why do cost estimation?
- To manage costs
- To make strategic and operational decisions
- To plan and set standards
Cost patterns
- step cost
- mixed costs
- non-linear cost behavior
Step costs
Increases as the cost-driver volume increases
Mixed costs
A fixed and variable component
Non-linear cost behavior
Costs can also be curved
Cost estimation methods
- account analysis
- linear regression analysis
- high-low method
- multiple regression analysis
- engineering estimates
Account analysis method
Cost estimates are based on a review of each activity account making up the total cost being analyzed.
Objective: Relate costs and activity in the form of the general cost equation:
TC= F + VX
Linear regression analysis
A statistical method used to create an equation relating dependent (or Y) variables to independent (or X) variables.Data from the past are used to estimate relationships between costs and activities.
- Independent variables are the cost drivers that drive the variation in dependent variables.
- Before doing the analysis, take time to determine if a logical relationship between the variables exists.
High-low method
The high-low method uses two data points to estimate the general cost equation
TC = F + VX
- the two points should be representative of the cost and activity relationship over the range of af activity for which the estimation is made
Multiple regression analysis
A regression that has more than one independent (X) variable,
Can be very useful insinuations where the dependent variable is impacted by several different independent variables.
–> for example, demand for a product may be affected by factors such as inflation, interest rates and competitors´prices
Multiple regression analysis- caution
Often encountered problems when collecting data:
- insufficient data
- inconsistent data
- missing data
- outliers
- allocated and discretionary costs
- inflation
- mismatched time periods
Engineering estimates
Engineering estimates of cost are made, based on:
* Measurement of work involved in the activities that go into a product.
* Assigning a cost to each of the activities- past costs are not taken into account
Engineering method- advantages
- Detailed analysis results in better knowledge of the entire process
- The method is used to estimate costs of new activities. Data from prior activities are not required.
Engineering method- disadvantages
The high cost of detailed analysis
Choice of estimation method
No single method is best for all situations:
- regression and account analysis rely on past data
- engineering method relies on present data
- engineering and account analysis may lead to the establishment of logical, causal relationships between variables
- a scattergraph plot will lead to a better understanding of the relationship and may reveal outlier data points
- regression provides a cost equation for the data points with statistical measures of fit