Chapter 2 Flashcards
_____ are tools that help choose between several courses of action or alternatives.
Decision Trees
Group process using written responses
Delphi Technique
principle of insufficient reason; all states of nature are equally likely (highest average)
Decision maker
The ideal situation for making decisions is one of _____, that is, a situation in which a manager can make accurate decisions because the outcome of every alternative is known.
certainty
A qualitative tool and technique can be used for making better decisions in identifying the disadvantages and advantages of a given alternative solution.
SWOT
____ also called as nonroutine decisions are unique and nonrecurring, often involving incomplete knowledge, high uncertainty, and the use of subjective judgment or even intuition, where no alternative can be proved to be the best possible solution to the particular problem.
Nonprogrammed decisions
Also known as routine decisions involve standard decision procedures, and entail a minimum of uncertainty.
Well-Structured Problems and Programmed Decisions.
___ the process of identifying and choosing alternative courses of action in a manner appropriate to the demands of the situation.
Decision making
The decision maker is able to estimate the likelihood of certain alternatives or outcomes.
Risk
___ according to Nickels and others, “is the heart of all the management functions”.
Decision making
maximax choice (maximizing the maximum possible payoff)
Optimistic manager
Decisions which involve regular survey of the market are _____ and decisions made under situations of crisis or emergency are crisis — intuitive decisions.
Research decisions
Decisions are taken in unstructured situations which reflect novel, ill-defined and complex problems.
Poorly Structured Problems and Nonprogrammed Decisions.
opportunity loss (regret)
Minimax approach
A _____ can be used by a manager to graphically represent which actions could be taken and how these actions relate to future events.
decision tree