Chapter 13 - Foreign Exchange Risk Flashcards
What is an exchange rate?
The price of a currency relative to another currency
what are factors affecting demand for the £?
- Uk exports
- non UK tourists holidaying in the UK
- Foreign direct investment
- Speculation
- Government intervention
What are the factors affecting supply of the £?
- UK imports
- UK tourists holidaying overseas
- UK investors buying overseas assets
- speculation
- government intervention
What are the different types of exchange rate systems?
- fixed exchange rates
- freely floating exchange rates
- managed floating exchange rates
What are fixed exchange rates?
where a government uses monetary policy and other methods to hold the rate steady
What are freely floating exchange rates?
no intervention by governments
What are managed floating exchange rates?
intervention to keep the value within a range
What is a floating exchange rate?
the authorities allow the forces of supply and demand to continuously change the exchange rates without intervention
If a currency depreciates what happens to the price (exchange rate)?
it falls, ‘getting weaker’ or ‘becoming less valuable’ e.g., £1 = $1.50 to £1 = $1.60
If a currency appreciates its exchange has what?
risen, ‘getting stronger’ or becoming more valuable e.g., £1 = $1.50 to £1 =$1.60
What is the base currency?
this is the ‘home’ currency. Currency that has a value of 1 in the quoted exchange rate
What is the counter currency?
this is the ‘other’, or ‘foreign’ currency to the home one, the one whose value varies.
What happens if one currency was to depreciate?
the other appreciates
What is a transaction risk?
the short term movement in rates before an individual transaction is settled
What is economic risk?
the long term transaction risk of exchange rate movement that affects international competitiveness
For an export company economic risk could occur because of what?
- the home currency strengthens against the currency in which it trades
- a competitor’s home currency weakens against the currency in which it trades
What is translation risk?
where the reported performance of an overseas subsidiary in home-based currency terms is distorted in financial statements because of a change in exchange rates
What is an exchange rate spread?
When banks dealing in foreign currency quote 2 prices for an exchange rate
What is the ‘lower price’ in relation to the exchange rate spread?
price at which the bank will sell the counter currency in exchange for the base currency. ‘The bank sells low’
What is the ‘higher price’ in relation to the exchange rate spread?
the price at which the bank will buy the counter currency in exchange for the base currency. ‘The bank buys high’
What is the spot market?
where you can buy and sell a currency now (immediate delivery)
What is the spot rate of exchange?
the exchange rate as of today
What is the forward market?
where you can buy and sell a currency at a fixed future date for a predetermined rate, by entering into a forward exchange contract
What is the purchasing power parity theory (PPPT)?
Claims that the rate of exchange between 2 currencies depends on the relative inflation rates within the respective countries.
What happens with the country with higher inflation rate?
will be subject to a depreciation of its currency
What is the formula to estimate expected future spot rates (provided in exam)?
S1 = So x (1 + hc) / (1 + hb)
What does S1 represent in the future spot rate formula?
represents the future spot exchange rate