Chapter 11- Project Risk Management Flashcards

1
Q

Plan Risk Management

A

Process of defining how to conduct risk management activities for the project. The key benefit- ensures that the degree, type and visibility of risk management are commensurate with both the risks and the importance of the project organisation.

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2
Q

Plan Risk Management ITTO

A
Inputs:
Project Management Plan
Project Charter
Stakeholder register
Enterprise Environmental Factors
Organisational Process Assets

T&T
Analytical techniques
Expert judgement
Meetings

Outputs
Risk Management Plan

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3
Q

Project Risk

A

An uncertain event or a condition, that if occurs can have positive or a negative impact on one or more objectives such as scope, quality, schedule and cost.

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4
Q

Risk appetite

A

Degree of uncertainty an entity is willing to take on in anticipation of a reward.

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5
Q

Risk tolerance

A

degree, amount, or volute of risk that an organisation or individual will withstand

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6
Q

Risk threshold

A

measures along the level of uncertainty or the level of impact at which a stakeholder may have a specific interest. Below the threshold the organisation will accept the risk, above will not.

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7
Q

Positive risk/ negative risk

A

opportunity/threat.

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8
Q

Risk Management Plan includes

A
Methodology (defines approaches, tools, data sources that will be used to perform risk management on the project).
Roles and Responsibilities
Budgeting
Timing
Risk Categories
Definitions of risk probabilities and impact
Probability and impact matrix
Revised stakeholder's tolerance
Reporting formats
Tracking
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9
Q

Ways to classify Risk Categories

A

External- Regulatory, environmental, governmental, market-related shifts.
Internal-Time, cost, or scope changes; inexperience, poor planning; people; staffing; material; equipment.
Technical-change in technology
Unforeseeable

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10
Q

Identify risks

A

Process of determining which risks may affect the project and documenting their characteristics. The key benefit of this process is the documentation of existing risks and the knowledge and ability it provides to the project team to anticipate events.

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11
Q

Identify Risks ITTO

A
Inputs
Risk Management Plan
Cost Management Plan
Schedule Management Plan
Quality Management Plan
Human Resource Management Plan
Scope baseline
Activity cost estimates
Activity duration estimates
Stakeholder register
Project documents
Enterprise environmental factors
Organisational process assets
TT
Documentation reviews
Information gathering techniques
Checklist analysis
Assumptions analysis
Diagramming techniques
SWOT analysis
Expert judgement
Output
Risk register ( initial incl list of identified risks, list of potential responses)
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12
Q

Information gathering techniques

A

Brainstorming, Delphi Techniques, Interviewing, Root cause analysis.

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13
Q

Diagramming techniques

A

Cause and effect diagrams
System or process flow charts
Influence diagrams

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14
Q

Information gathering techniques

A

These are also known as Ishikawa or fishbone diagrams and are useful for identifying causes of risks

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15
Q

System or process flow charts

A

These show how various elements of a system interrelate and the mechanism of causation

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16
Q

Influence diagrams

A

These are graphical representations of situations showing casual influences, time ordering of events, and other relationships among variables and outcomes

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17
Q

Perform a qualitative risk analysis

A

The process of prioritizing risks for further analysis or action by assessing and combining their probability of occurrence and impact. The key benefit of this process is that it enables project managers to reduce the level of uncertainty and to focus on a high priority of risks.

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18
Q

Perform a qualitative risk analysis ITTO

A
Inputs
Risk management plan
Scope baseline
Risk register
Enterprise environmental factors
Organisational process assets
TT
Risk probability and impact assessment
Probability and that impact matrix
risk data quality assessment
Risk categorization
Risk urgency assessment
Experts judgment

Outputs
Project documents updates

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19
Q

Risk probability assessment

A

It investigates the likelihood that each specific risk will occur.

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20
Q

Risk impact assessment

A

Investigates the potential effect on the project objective such as schedule, cost, quality, or performance, including both negative effects for threats, and positive effects for opportunities.

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21
Q

Probability and that impact matrix

A

add details

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22
Q

risk data quality assessment

A

technique to evaluate the degree to which the data about risks is useful for risk management. It involves examining the degree to which risk is understood and the accuracy, quality, reliability and integrity of the data about the risk.

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23
Q

Perform Quantitative risk analysis

A

Process of numerically analysing the effect of identified risks on overall project objectives. The key benefit of this process is that it produces quantitative risk information to support the decision making in order to reduce project uncertainty.

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24
Q

Perform Quantitative risk analysis ITTO

A
Inputs
Risk management plan
Cost management plan
Schedule management plan
risk register
Enterprise environmental factors
Organisational process assets

TT
Data gathering and representation techniques ( interviewing, probability distributions)
Quantitative risk analysis and modelling techniques ( sensitivity analysis, expected monetary value analysis, modelling and simulation)
Experts judgment

OUTPUTS
Project documents updates

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25
Q

Sensitivity analysis

A

A quantitative risk analysis tool, that examines risk for each risk to determine which one has the largest impact on the project’s success. A Tornado diagram is a special type of bar chart used in sensitivity analysis for comparing the relative importance of the variables.

26
Q

Expected monetary value analysis

A

Statistical concept that calculates the average outcome when the future includes scenarios that may or may not happen. EMV= IxP. A common use of this type of analysis is decision tree of analysis.

27
Q

Modelling and simulation

A

A project simulation uses a model that translates the specified detailed uncertainties of the project into the potential impact all project objectives. i.e Monte Carlo.

28
Q

Decision tree

A

Method that determines which of two or more to decisions is the best one. The model examines the costs and benefits of each decision’s outcome and weights and the probability of the success for each of the decision.

29
Q

Plan risk responses

A

Process of developing options and actions to enhance opportunities and to reduce threats to project’s objectives. The key benefit: addresses the risks by their priority, inserting resources and activities into the budget, schedule and project management plan as needed.

30
Q

Plan risk responses ITTO

A

Inputs
Risk management plan
Risk register

TT
Strategies for negative risks or threats
Strategies for positive risks or opportunities
Contingent response strategies
Experts judgment

Outputs
Project management plan updates
Project documents updates

31
Q

Strategies from negative risks of threats

A

Avoid
Transfer
Mitigate
Accept

32
Q

Strategies for positive risks or opportunities

A

Exploit
Enhance
Share
Accept

33
Q

Control risks

A

Process of implementing risk response plans, tracking identified risks, monitoring residual risks, and evaluating risk process effectiveness throughout the project. The key benefit of this process is that it improves efficiency or the risk approach throughout the project lifecycle to continuously optimize risk responses.

34
Q

Control risks ITTO

A
Inputs
Project management plan
Risk register
Work performance data
Work performance reports
TT
Risk reassessment
Risk audits
Variance and trend analysis
Technical performance measurement
Reserve analysis
Meetings
Outputs:
Work performance information
Change requests
Project management plan updates
Project documents updates
Organisational process assets updates
35
Q

Risks audits

A

Examine and document the effectiveness of risk responses in dealing with a identified risks and their root causes, as well as the effectiveness of the risk management process.

36
Q

Technical performance measurement

A

Compares technical accomplishments during project execution to the schedule of technical achievement

37
Q

Acceptance

A

A risk response appropriate for both positive and negative risks, but often used for smaller risks within a project.

38
Q

Avoidance

A

The risk response to avoid the risk

39
Q

Brainstorming

A

The most common approach to risk identification, were usually completed by project team with subject matter experts to identify the risks within the project.

40
Q

Business risks

A

These risks may have negative or positive outcomes. Examples include using a less experienced worker to complete a task, allowing phases or activity to overlap, are forgoing the expense of formal training for on the job education

41
Q

Cardinal scales

A

A ranking approach to identify the probability and impact by using a numerical value, from 0.01 (very low) to 1.0 ( very high)

42
Q

Checklist

A

A quick and cost effective risk identification approach

43
Q

Data precision

A

The consideration of the risk ranking scores that takes into account any bias, the accuracy of the data submitted.

44
Q

Delphi technique

A

An anonymous methods of querying experts about foreseeable risks within a project, phase or a component of a project. Results of the survey are analyzed by a third party, organized, and then circulated to the experts.

45
Q

Enhancing

A

A risk response that attempts to enhance the conditions to ensure that a positive risk event will likely happen

46
Q

Exploit

A

The risk of response that takes advantage of the positive risks within a project

47
Q

External risks

A

This risks of outside of the project but directly affect it; for example legal issues, labour issues, a shift in projects priorities, or weather.

48
Q

flowcharts

A

system or process flow charts show relationship between components and how the overall process works. These are useful for identifying risks between system components.

49
Q

Influence diagrams

A

And influence diagram charts out the decision problem. It identifies all of the elements, variables, decisions and objectives and also how each factor may influence another.

50
Q

Ishikawa diagram

A

Cause and effect diagram is also called fishbone diagram and is used to find the root cause of factors that are causing risks within the project

51
Q

Low priority risk watch list

A

Low priority risks are identified and assigned to a watch list for periodic monitoring

52
Q

Mitigation

A

A risk response effort to reduce the probability and/or impact of an identified risk in the project

53
Q

Monte Carlo technique

A

A simulation technique is complete that using a Computer Software program that can simulate a project, using the values for all possible variables, to predict the most likely model.

54
Q

Ordinal scales

A

Ranking approach that identifies and ranks the risks, very high two very unlikely or to some of the value

55
Q

Residual risks

A

Risks that are expected to remain after a risk response

56
Q

Secondary risks

A

New risks that are created as a result of a risk response

57
Q

Contingent response strategies

A

Responses provided which may be used in the event that a specific trigger occurs.

58
Q

Fallback plan

A

These plans are specific actions that will be taken in contingency plans are not effective.

59
Q

Contingency plans

A

Plans describing the specific actions that will be taken if a threat or an opportunity occurs.

60
Q

Risk triggers

A

Events that trigger the contingency response.

61
Q

Workarounds

A

Unplanned responses developed to deal with the occurrence of unanticipated events or problems on the project.