Chapter 10 Flashcards
What is public opinion?
What the public thinks about a particular issue or set of issues at any point in time.
What are public opinion polls?
Interviews or surveys with samples of citizens that are used to estimate the feelings and beliefs of the entire population.
Who was George Gallup?
One of the earliest developers of scientific methods for public opinion polling and proponent for a strong role for the voice of the public and government.
What did the Declaration Of Independence imply?
Public opinion must be considered and acknowledged by the Government because it functions on “the consent of the governed.”
Where does “One united people” come from?
Federalist Paper #2 by John Jay.
Where does “Of the people, by the people, and for the people” come from?
Abraham Lincoln in 1863.
What was one of George Gallup’s important thoughts?
Polls have played a key role in defining issues of concern to the public, shaping administrative decisions, and helping “speed up the process of democracy.”
What is a straw poll?
An unscientific survey used to gauge public opinion on a variety of issues and policies.
What is a sample?
A subset of the whole population selected to be questioned for the purposes of gauging opinion.
What was the Literary Digest?
A popular magazine that first began national presidential polling in 1916. They had a pol that they had predicted someone to win but they were wrong.
What is the American National Election Studies (ANES)?
Founded in 1952 by researchers at the University of Michigan and Sanford University, ANES collects data on the political attitudes and behavior among voters, such as party affiliation, voting practices, and opinions on partiers and candidates.
What are push polls?
Polls taken for the purpose of providing information on an opponent that would lead respondents to vote against that candidate.
What is a population?
The entire group of people whose attitudes a researcher wishes to measure.
What is random sampling?
A method of poll selection that gives each person in a group the same chance of being selected.
What is stratified sampling?
A variation of random sampling; the population is divided into subgroups and weighted based on demographic characteristics of the national population.
What are tracking polls?
Continuous surveys that enables a campaign or news organization to chart a candidate’s daily or weekly rise or fall in support.
What are exit polls?
Polls that are conducted as voters leave selected polling places on election day.
What are some reasons pulls may be inaccurate?
Survey error, limited respondent options, lack of information, difficulty measuring the intensity, and lack of interest.
What is a margin of error?
A measure of the accuracy of a public opinion poll within statistical parameters.
What is a sampling error?
Errors resulting from the size or the quality of a survey sample.