Binkert 3.0 Flashcards
If you were an investor - which 2 learnings would you take away and use for your future investments?
- RE ist anticyclical -> if rest doesn’t go well, people are going to invest in real estate
- predictions of RE markets are very difficult
What Toolkit can we use for cost & return, Profit & Loss?
- Beer coaster method
- static cost method
- dynamic cost method
- > for the cost side
- market knowledge
- guts and experience
- gambler spirit
What is FAR?
What is the average FAR in CH?
What is the average landprice in CH?
What is the average landprice in agricultural land in CH?
Floor area ratio
Average FAR in CH is 0.3
Average landprice in CH is 1’000 per m2
Average land price in agrigultural land is CHF 8
Beer Coster method
CHF 2’000 Residualwert - 10% von Ertragswert als Risiko = 1’000
CHF 10’000 Ertragswert Brutto (300 x 2 = 600 -> kapitalisiert mit 6&)
CHF 8’000 Kosten (CHF 4’000 im Schnitt x 2)
Value vs. price
-> which relative?
-> which is absolute?
Value depends on the relationship between the valuation object and the valuation subject -> relative
Price is the subjective value a market is prepared to pax at a given time -> absolute
What is the average cost of real estate in the swiss “lowlands” (Flachland)?
How high are the sales of real estate per m2?
4’000 - 5’000 CHF/m2 GF
6’000 - 15’000 CHF / m2 NF
What are the creditable areas?
If there were 9 mio. people in CH, and we have a density of 0.3, is it ok?
On average a person uses 100m2 (for everything)
Therefore 100m2 x 9 mio. = 900 mio.
density is 0.3
2.7 million km2 is used
41 million km2 we have in ch
-> yes it is ok
What is the difference between hard and soft costs?
- hard costs for the constr. itselfs, such as materials
- soft costs: architect, etc.
usually 80% hard, 20% soft
Composition of interest rate
How much is it for a:
- mixed-use project (60% rented)
- single tenant project
- city hotel
Endogenous factors:
- object-specific
Exogeneous facotrs:
- location-related
- economic
- cyclical
mixed-use: 5%
single tenant: 4%
hotel: 7%
Elements of the capitalisation rate (static)
Elements of the discount rate (dynamic)
DCF: evaluation discount rate, what are the advantages and disadvantages
Advantages:
- Exact market values through exact mapping of cashflows and object-specific condition
- great transparency if appropriately represented
- suitable procedure also for recurring evaluations
Disadvantage:
- withouth experience and data, no reliable evaluation results is possible
- Different DCF models / little benchmark availability
- daring prediction can lead to uncertain evaluation results
-> discount rate has a great effect on the DCF-value
-> be careful in the determination