Basic+Advanced LBO Model Flashcards
Walk me through a basic LBO model.
Step 1:
making assumptions about the Purchase Price, Debt/Equity ratio, Interest Rate on Debt and other variables; you might also assume something about the company’s operations, such as Revenue Growth or Margins, depending on how much information you have.
Step 2:
create a Sources & Uses section, which shows how you finance the transaction and what you use the capital for; this also tells you how much Investor Equity is required.
Step 3:
Adjust the company’s Balance Sheet for the new Debt and Equity figures, and also add in Goodwill & Other Intangibles on the Assets side to make everything balance.
Step 4:
You project out the company’s Income Statement, Balance Sheet and Cash Flow Statement, and determine how much debt is paid off each year, based on the available Cash Flow and the required Interest Payments.
Step 5
Make assumptions about the exit after several years, usually assuming an EBITDA Exit Multiple, and calculate the return based on how much equity is returned to the firm.
Why would you use leverage when buying a company?
To increase your returns.
Remember, any debt you use in an LBO is not “your money” – so if you’re paying $5 billion for a company, it’s easier to earn a high return on $2 billion of your own money and $3 billion borrowed from elsewhere vs. $3 billion of your own money and $2 billion of borrowed money.
A secondary benefit is that the firm also has more capital available to purchase other companies because they’ve used leverage.
What variables impact an LBO model the most?
Purchase and exit multiples have the biggest impact on the returns of a model. After that, the amount of leverage (debt) used also has a significant impact, followed by operational characteristics such as revenue growth and EBITDA margins.
How do you pick purchase multiples and exit multiples in an LBO model?
The same way you do it anywhere else: you look at what comparable companies are trading at, and what multiples similar LBO transactions have had. As always, you also show a range of purchase and exit multiples using sensitivity tables.
Sometimes you set purchase and exit multiples based on a specific IRR target that you’re trying to achieve – but this is just for valuation purposes if you’re using an LBO model to value the company.
What is an “ideal” candidate for an LBO?
“Ideal” candidates have stable and predictable cash flows, low-risk businesses, not much need for ongoing investments such as Capital Expenditures, as well as an opportunity for expense reductions to boost their margins. A strong management team also helps, as does a base of assets to use as collateral for debt.
The most important part is stable cash flow
Give an example of a “real-life” LBO.
The most common example is taking out a mortgage when you buy a house. Here’s how the analogy works:
- Down Payment: Investor Equity in an LBO
- Mortgage: Debt in an LBO
- Mortgage Interest Payments: Debt Interest in an LBO
- Mortgage Repayments: Debt Principal Repayments in an LBO
- Selling the House: Selling the Company / Taking It Public in an LBO
Can you explain how the Balance Sheet is adjusted in an LBO Model
Liabilities & Equities adjusted
New Debt added on
Shareholder’s Equity is ‘wiped out’ and replaced by equity provided by PE firm
Assets: Cash adjusted for any financing cash, Goodwill & Other Intangibles are used as a ‘plug’
Could be other effects; capitalised financing fees on asset side
Why are Goodwill & Other Intangibles created in an LBO?
Represent premium to ‘fair market value’, acting as a plug so A=L&E
We saw that a strategic acquirer prefer to pay for another company in cash - so why would a PE firm use debt in an LBO
Different scenario as:
- PE has exit period, so less concerned with ‘expense’ of cash vs debt and more concerned about boosting returns
- In LBO, ‘debt’ is owned by the company, assuming much more risk. In strategic acquisition, buyer owns the debt so more risk.
What is the expense of cash vs debt that strategic acquires are concerned with?
Do you need to project all 3 statements in an LBO model? Are there any shortcuts?
Not necessarily
- Don’t need full balance sheet as you can make assumptions on Net Change in Working Capital rather than looking at each item individually
- Need Income Statement to track how the debt balance changes
Cash Flow statement to show how much cash is available to repay debt
How would you determine how much debt can be raised in an LBO and how many tranches there would be?
Usually you would look at Comparable LBOs and see the terms of the debt and how many tranches each of them used.
You would look at companies in a similar size range and industry and use those criteria to determine the debt your company can raise.
What are tranches in an LBO
Let’s say we’re analysing how much debt a company can take on, and what the terms of the debt should be. What are reasonable leverage and coverage ratios?
Dep. On company, industry, leverage and coverage ratios for comparable LBOs. Look at debt comps for types, tranches and terms of debt recently.
General rule of never lever a company at 50x EBITDA, and even during the bubble leverage rarely exceeded 5-10x EBITDA.
What is the difference between bank debt and high-yield debt?
Simplification, but most important differences:
- Higher Interest Rates
- Rates are usually fixed vs floating in bank debt
- High-yield debt has incurrence covenants while bank debt has maintenance covenants.
incurrence covenants prevent you from doing something (such as selling an asset, buying a factory, etc.)
maintenance covenants require you to maintain a minimum financial performance (for example, the Debt/EBITDA ratio must be below 5x at all times).
- Bank debt is usually amortised - principal paid over times - whereas high yield debt, entire principal is due at the end (bullet maturity)
Usually in a sizeable LBO, PE firm uses both types of debt
Why might you use bank debt rather than high-yield debt in an LBO?
Interest payments concern
Planning on major CapEx and don’t want restrictions of incurrency cov.
Why might you use high-yield debt rather than bank debt in an LBO?
- Returns are not so sensitive to IR payments
- Don’t have plans for major expansion or sell off company assets
Intend to refinance
- Don’t have plans for major expansion or sell off company assets
Why would a private equity firm buy a company in a “risky” industry, such as technology?
- Mature and cash-flow stable companies exist in every industry
- Some PE firms specialise in:
1. Industry consolidation
2. Turnarounds
3. Divestitures
How could a private equity firm boost its return in an LBO?
- Lower Model Purchase Price
- Raise Exit Multiple/ Exit Price
- Increase the leverage (debt) used
- Increase company’s growth rate (organic or inorganically)
Increase margins by reducing expenses - cuttting workforce