1.6 - Populations, epidemics and natural selection Flashcards
What were the parameters used to characterise the covid pandemic? (P/R) (2)
- P: prevalence - proportion of infected individuals
- R: reproductive rate - no. of people infected by each person with covid
what are the 2 models for disease spread? (2)
- SIR = Susceptible - infected - recovered
- SIS = Susceptible - infected - susceptible
Describe the SIR model for disease spread
Susceptible - infected - recovered:
- Prolonged immunity exhausts supply of susceptible individuals, epidemic extinguishes itself
Describe the SIS model for disease spread
Susceptible - infected - susceptible:
- No immunity, susceptible individuals replenished by previously infected individuals, epidemic moves to equilibrium
Whats the process of researching a population dynamic? (3)
- Observation, measured pop. densities
- model
- experiment to test model
What was the observation made in the study of Lynx and Hare population dynamics?
Snowshoe Hare and lynx pop. densities fluctuate periodically and are linked
What are the 3 possible explanations for why Hare populations oscillate? (3)
- Bottom up - food supplies paramount
- Top down - predation and disease dominates
- Social behaviour model - social interactions (territoriality or infanticide)
What research did Charles Krebs perform?
Tested models of Hare population dynamics over a 10 year cycle
What 2 independant variables did Charles Krebs test relating to Hare populations? (2)
- Adding food
- Excluding predators
What was the effect of adding food in Charles Krebs Hare population research? (1)
Food supplementation had no effect
What were the effects of Excluding predators in Charles Krebs Hare population research? (2)
- Abolished cycle (no decrease in population)
- Increased reproduction rate
What increases chronic stress in Hare populations? (2)
- abundance of predators
- when population is low
What does chronic stress effect in Hare populations?
Reproduction rate (decreases reproduction)
What do the Lotka-Volterra equations assume? (5)
- Prey pop. has ample food
- Predator food supply depends on size of prey pop.
- Rate of change of pop. proportional to its size
- Fixed environment
- Predators have limitless appetite
How can changes occur (natural selection) (2)
- mutation
- recombination