11.1 Empirical and Theoretical Probabilities Flashcards
Experiment
A controlled operation that yields a set of results
Outcomes
Possible results of an experiment
Event (symbolized: E)
A subcollection of the outcomes of the experiment
Ex: if you flip a coin, “heads” and “tails” are events
Probability (symbolized: P(E))
Numeric measurement of the likelihood that the event (E) will occur
Classified as empirical
Empirical
P(E) = (number of times event E has occurred) ÷ (total number of times experiment has been performed)
The relative frequency of an occurrence of an event which is determined by actual observations of an experiment
Theoretical
P(E) = (number of outcomes favorable to E) ÷ (total number of possible outcomes)
Determining the chance of something happening in the future by observing past results; this is determined through a study of possible outcomes that can occur for the given experiment
Used when the experiment has equally likely outcomes
Equally likely
Outcomes of an experiment that has the same chance of occurring as any other outcome
Law of Large Numbers
States that probability statements apply in practice to a large number of trials