1: Factors That Affect Price: Supply & Demand Flashcards

1
Q

What 4 social factors affect demand?

A

1) Consumption habits
2) Consumer preferences
3) Changes in reputation
4) Spending patterns

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2
Q

Name 3 examples of global consumption habits impacting demand.

A
  • Consumption increased rapidly in 2000s and fell after 2008 crisis
  • Rosé and Sparkling categories have increased significantly over last decade (sparkling @ 3% annually 2002-2018)
  • Consumption is falling/static in traditional wine drinking countries; Increasing in new consuming countries
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3
Q

What 4 main social reasons are there for consumption to fall?

A

1) Younger people drinking less wine
2) Health concerns
3) Changes in lifestyle
4) Reduced availability of cheap wine

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4
Q

What are 4 international changing consumer preferences?

A

1) Increase in Rosé popularity (USA)
2) Increase in Prosecco popularity (USA & UK)
3) Lower-alcohol gaining popularity; Fortified (15-22%) declining
4) Medium-sweet German wine declining

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5
Q

What can cause changes in wine’s reputation? (4)

A

1) Reviews & scores by publications and critics
2) Influencers/Key Opinion Leaders
3) Pop culture presence (TV, music, lifestyle news)
4) Peer opinions

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6
Q

What are the identifiers of a price sensitive market?

A

Consumers are unwilling to pay more than the lowest possible price for a given style (ie. UK & Germany)

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7
Q

What are the implications & best approach for producers in price sensitive markets?

A
  • Fierce competition & small margins, limiting producers.

- Producers attempt to combat sensitivity with brand loyalty

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8
Q

What is premiumization?

A

An increased willingness to pay more for individual bottles, because they’re buying less volume.

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9
Q

Name 3 economic factors that affect demand.

A

1) Strength of economy
2) Currency exchange fluctuations
3) Changes to the market

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10
Q

What happens if a producer’s currency gains value vs the importing country’s currency? Loses value?

A
  • Gains value: the importer’s price/retail price could rise; or remain flat with a profit loss for producers
  • Loses value: importer’s price/retail price could fall, increasing competitiveness; or remain flat and producer earns more profit
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11
Q

Name 5 legislative & political factors that impact demand.

A

1) Laws that prohibit or limit the sale of alcohol
2) Government policies to reduce consumption
3) Taxation
4) International trade (customs duties/trade tariffs)
5) Wine Laws (GI’s, PDOs, PGIs)

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12
Q

Give 4 examples of laws that prohibit or limit the sale of alcohol.

A

1) State-owned monopolies (Sweden, Norway, Canada)
2) USA’s 3-tier System
3) Age restrictions
4) Hours restrictions

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13
Q

Give 3 examples of government policies that aim to reduce alcohol consumption.

A

1) Loi Évin in France (restricts ads)
2) Minimum Pricing in Scotland (0.50 GBP per unit of 4.50 GBP/bottle)
3) Blood Alcohol Concentration (BAC) (50mg/100ml Scotland & NZ; 20mg/100ml Sweden & Norway)

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14
Q

What are 2 forms of taxation? An example of each?

A
  1. Sales Tax, added at POS).
    ie. VAT in EU
  2. Excise Duty/Tax, payable at point of manufacture. Can vary by category.
    ie. EU 3.19 /bottle for still; 6.37/bottle sparkling in Ireland
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15
Q

What are the EU’s current trade agreements? The UK? Argentina? US/China? Russia?

A

EU - free trade among members. Chile & South Africa have free or reduced trade rates. Australia has higher tariffs.

UK - left EU and may negotiate free trade agreements with countries, ie. Argentina

Argentina - imposed restrictions on imports, including wine equipment; limits foreign land ownership

US/China - trade war. China applies higher tariffs on US wines

Russia - limited imports, some embargoes

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16
Q

How can a trade war affect demand?

A

Consumers may boycott certain products as a result.

17
Q

What is the advantage and disadvantage of wine laws in generating demand?

A

Advantage: can increase reputation/recognition and hence demand in consumers. Prices can increase.

Disadvantage: PDO rules can be strict, now always allowing producers to adapt to consumer preferences.

18
Q

An example of a wine law in a country that changed and impacted demand.

A

“Lavish gifting” banned for businesses in China in 2012, reducing demand for Bordeaux Premier Cru Classe & Grand Cru Burgundy

19
Q

2 major tenets affecting supply? 3 main factors affecting production, and therefore supply?

A
  • PRODUCTION & LEGISLATION

- 1. Area under vine, 2. Human factors, 3. Natural factors

20
Q

3 major factors impacting Area Under Vine

A
  1. Vine Pull Schemes (several hundred hectares since mid 1980s)
  2. EU Restrictions on new plantings (allowed growth of up to 1% of area already planted per year per state)
  3. Urbanization/Abandonment of Rural Areas
21
Q

What human factors have contributed to an increase in production/supply?

A
  • Relaxation of irrigation laws
  • More modern, high density plantings
  • Modern viticulture and winemaking techniques that increase quality & production (ie. site selection, clone selection, canopy mgmt, pest & disease control)
22
Q

What natural factors have contributed to a change in production/supply?

A
  • Weather/vintage variation (EU in particular - 14% decrease in 2017 due to hail/heat waves)
  • Climate change (droughts, irrigation shortages [Chile])
23
Q

What is the main legislation-related influence on supply? How might this impact supply?

A
  • Increasing no. of GIs, esp in EU
  • GIs may limit varieties, yields, viticulture & winemaking techniques
  • GIs aim to bring supply and demand in line and reduce downward price pressure
  • GIs may expand their area if demand permits (ie. Prosecco DOC). Quality may suffer.
  • GIs may limit the amount of wine that can be released per year (ie. Comité Champagne or Sherry Consejo Regulador)
24
Q

Consequences of over-supply?

A
  • Downward price pressure
  • Wine may sell below cost
  • Wine may go unsold
  • Sell cheaper private labels to retailers
  • Brands may devalue
25
Q

Consequences of under-supply?

A
  • Disappointing clients and customers; eroding of relationships
  • Contracts with retailers may impose availability penalties
  • Prices may rise
  • Customers/clients may switch to alternatives
  • Large companies may hedge by offering alternatives
26
Q

What are 2 major influences on Spending Patterns?

A

Price sensitivity

Premiumization

27
Q

What should a retailer consider (3) when deciding to buy or lease a property?

A

Buying (mortgage or loan). Higher cost upfront but generates equity. Assume all expenses.

Leasing may be cheaper initially but there is less control over tenure, there are partial expenses, and no equity.

Retailers are in prime locations which are most expensive (except online retailers)

28
Q

What are labour considerations for a retailer?

A

Country’s min wage and flexibility
Training costs
More skill (speciality retailer) higher wage (vs supermarket)
Restaurants have a high labour cost due to added duties