week 5 SCM (confidence intervals) Flashcards
what does a confidence interval describe?
- the uncertainty about a statistical estimate
- it describes the range of values or intervals within which the true population parameter will be expected
- it gives an average estimation with a given probability such as 95%. This means that 95% of the time the CI rate would capture the true population parameter
what does it tell you if the confidence intervals are overlapping/ not overlapping?
- if they are overlapping the samples are likely very similar to each other
- if they are not overlapping the samples are probably taken from different populations
how to calculate the confidence interval with a 95% population parameter
CI= mean +/- 1.96 x SEM
1.96 because 95% of z scores fall between -1.96 and 1.96
SEM because this shows us the standard deviation of the sampling distribution of means (how much the sample mean is likely to vary from the population mean)
what can you assume when the number of samples is greater than 30?
a normal distribution
what measure of the sampling distribution would you use when the sample is smaller than 30?
a t-distribution
a t-distribution is slightly broader, with a width that is widest for smaller sample numbers, adjusting confidence intervals to make them slightly wider
how would you calculate confidence intervals from t-distribution
we use adjusted critical values called a critical t or tcrit
we find this value in a table with degrees of freedom (n-1)
CI= mean+/- t-crit x SEM
when would you use a one tailed statistical test vs a two tailed statistical test?
when you have a hypothesis with a specific direction that you want to test
e.g if you wanted to test is more effective than a different drug you could use a one tailed test, but if you also wanted to include the possibility that it was less effective, you would use a two tailed test
does SEM increase or decrease as sample size increases?
decreases
do confidence intervals get bigger or smaller as sample sizes increase?
they get smaller