Valuation (Other) Flashcards
- What IS a valuation multiple?
A valuation multiple is shorthand for a company’s value based on its cash flows, cash flow
growth rate, and Discount Rate. Normally, you value a company with this formula:
Company Value = Cash Flow / (Discount Rate – Cash Flow Growth Rate)
Instead of providing all that information, you can use a number like “10x” and express it in a
condensed way.
You can also think of valuation multiples as “per-square-foot” or “per-square-meter” values
when buying a house: They help you compare houses, or companies, of different sizes and see
how expensive or cheap similar houses, or companies, are.
- Suppose that you graph the EV / EBITDA multiples for a set of similar companies along with
the revenue growth rates, EBITDA margins, and EBITDA growth rates.
Which operational metric will MOST LIKELY have the strongest correlation with the EV /
EBITDA multiples?
Since a company’s value depends on its cash flow, cash flow growth rate, and Discount Rate,
the EV/EBITDA multiples are most likely to be correlated with the EBITDA growth rates.
While EBITDA, Cash Flow, and Free Cash Flow are very different metrics, EBITDA growth is still
closer to cash flow growth than revenue growth is.
EBITDA margins don’t make much of an impact unless they are changing – only changing
margins will produce different growth rates.
There might be some correlation between revenue growth rates and EV/EBITDA multiples, but
the correlation will be stronger for revenue growth and EV / Revenue multiples.
- Despite this principle, why do valuation multiples and growth rates often NOT display as
much correlation as you might expect?
First, EBITDA growth and FCF growth are very different since FCF includes taxes, the Change in
Working Capital, and the full CapEx amount, whereas EBITDA excludes these.
Company valuation is ultimately based on cash flow growth, so growth rates in revenue,
EBITDA, EBIT, and Net Income are, at best, rough approximations of cash flow growth.
Also, not every comparable company necessarily has the same Discount Rate; perhaps the
company you’re analyzing is a lot riskier, or a lot less risky than the others.
Finally, non-financial factors could easily affect multiples. For example, if the company reported
recent legal troubles, announced the development of a new product, or recruited a key
executive, all those changes could affect its stock price and therefore its multiples.
- Could a valuation multiple such as P / E or EV / EBITDA ever be negative? What would it
mean?
Yes, it’s possible for any valuation multiple to be negative (except for ones based on Revenue,
which could be $0 but couldn’t be negative).
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If a company has a negative Net Income or negative EBITDA, the multiples will turn negative.
It means that this particular multiple is not meaningful for valuing the company, so you’ll have
to use other multiples or methodologies to value it.
- Could a valuation multiple such as P / E or EV / EBITDA ever be negative? What would it
mean?
Yes, it’s possible for any valuation multiple to be negative (except for ones based on Revenue,
which could be $0 but couldn’t be negative).
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If a company has a negative Net Income or negative EBITDA, the multiples will turn negative.
It means that this particular multiple is not meaningful for valuing the company, so you’ll have
to use other multiples or methodologies to value it.
- If a company has both Debt and Preferred Stock, why is it NOT valid to use Net Income
rather than Net Income to Common when calculating its P / E multiple?
You can use Equity Value or Enterprise Value in multiples, but you shouldn’t create “halfpregnant” multiples that are based on metrics in between Equity Value and Enterprise Value.
Also remember that if you do not include an expense in the denominator of a multiple, you
have to include the Balance Sheet item corresponding to that expense in the numerator (and
vice versa).
So if you use Net Income rather than Net Income to Common in this case, you’ll have to use a
modified version of Equity Value that adds Preferred Stock, but none of the other items that
you typically add when calculating Enterprise Value.
This numerator will confuse anyone looking at your analysis, so you should stick with the
standard Equity Value calculation and pair it with Net Income to Common.
- If a company’s cash flow matters most, why do you use metrics like EBIT and EBITDA in
valuation multiples rather than CFO or FCF?
Mostly for convenience and comparability. CFO and FCF measure a company’s cash flows more
accurately, but they also take more time to calculate since you need a full or partial Cash Flow
Statement for them.
Also, the individual items within CFO and FCF vary a lot between companies, and vastly
different figures for Deferred Taxes, Stock-Based Compensation, and the Change in Working
Capital make it difficult to create meaningful comparisons.
- What are the advantages and disadvantages of EV / EBITDA vs. EV / EBIT vs. P / E?
But the interviewer will probably be annoying and press you on this point, so you can say that
with EV / EBITDA vs. EV / EBIT, EV / EBITDA is better in cases when you want to completely
exclude the company’s CapEx, Depreciation, and capital structure.
EV / EBIT is better when you want to exclude capital structure, but partially factor in CapEx and
Depreciation. It is common in industries, such as manufacturing, where those items are key
value drivers for companies.
The P / E multiple is not terribly useful in most cases because it’s affected by different tax rates,
capital structures, non-core business activities, and more – so you use it primarily to be
“complete” and ensure that you’ve covered all the common multiples.
Also, sometimes it is more relevant and important in certain industries, such as commercial
banks and insurance firms, where you do want to factor in the interest income and expense.
- What are the advantages and disadvantages of FCF vs. Unlevered FCF vs. Levered FCF?
The main advantage of Unlevered FCF is that it’s capital structure-neutral, so a company’s cash
flow will be the same regardless of its Cash, Debt, and Preferred Stock. It’s also easier and faster
to calculate than the others.
You’d use FCF or Levered FCF if you want to take into account the company’s capital structure,
and you’d use Levered FCF to be slightly more accurate since it includes (Mandatory?) Debt
Principal Repayments.
You almost always use Unlevered FCF in a DCF analysis to value a company; FCF is more
common for standalone financial statement analysis; and Levered FCF is rare, partially because
no one agrees on how to calculate it.
You can create a DCF analysis based on Levered FCF as well, but we strongly recommend
against doing this because it’s less reliable and harder to set up.
- Could Levered FCF ever be higher than Unlevered FCF?
Yes. Levered FCF includes Net Interest Expense, so if the company had a negative value for that
figure, i.e. it earned more in Interest Income than it spent on Interest Expense, and it also had
minimal Debt principal repayments, then Levered FCF might be higher than Unlevered FCF.
This scenario is highly unusual, but it is possible.
- If EBITDA decreases, how do Unlevered and Levered FCF change?
Think of what EBITDA includes: Only Revenue, COGS, and Operating Expenses. Unlevered FCF
and Levered FCF also include all those items, plus more.
So if EBITDA decreases, it means that Revenue has decreased, or that COGS or Operating
Expenses have increased.
If any of those happens, then both Levered FCF and Unlevered FCF should also decrease since
the Operating Income that flows into both of them will also be lower.
Technically, the FCF figures might stay the same if the D&A, Working Capital, or CapEx change in
such a way that the change offsets the drop in Operating Income.
But that’s not the main point of the question; it’s just an edge case.
- Two companies have the same P / E multiples but different EV / EBITDA multiples. How
can you tell which one has more Debt?
You might be tempted to say, “The one with the higher EV / EBITDA multiple,” but that’s
wrong. You can’t answer this question because the companies could be very different sizes.
For example, if they both have P / E multiples of 15x, but one company has Net Income of $10
and one has Net Income of $100, the one with Net Income of $100 is likely to have more Debt –
even if its EV / EBITDA multiple is lower.
If you assume that both companies have the same Net Income and the same EBITDA, then you
can “kind of” answer this question.
In that case, the companies have the same Equity Value, so the company with the higher EV /
EBITDA multiple must have a higher Enterprise Value.
Most likely, that means that it has more Debt.
HOWEVER, remember that other items factor into the calculation. Perhaps both companies
have the same amount of Debt, but the one with the higher EV / EBITDA multiple has less Cash.
Or the company with the higher multiple has a higher Unfunded Pension or Preferred Stock
balance.
But as originally stated, this question is too vague to answer unless you get more information.
- Two companies have the same amount of Debt, but one company has Convertible Debt,
and the other has traditional Debt.
Both companies have the same Operating Income, Tax Rate, and Equity Value. Which
company will have a higher P / E multiple?
Since the interest rates on Convertible Debt are lower than the rates on traditional Debt, the
company with Convertible Debt will have a lower interest expense and therefore a higher Net
Income.
As a result, its P / E multiple will be lower. So the company with Convertible Debt will have a
lower P / E multiple, and the company with traditional Debt will have a higher P / E multiple.
Advanced Note: Technically, you may have to reflect on the Income Statement the
“Amortization of the Convertible Bond Discount,” which is a number that reflects how the
Liability component of a Convertible Bond is worth less than a normal Bond because of the
lower interest rate. If you do this, then the Net Incomes of both companies will be much closer,
and the P / E multiples may be almost the same.
- A company is currently trading at 10x EV / EBITDA. It wants to sell an Asset for 2x the
Asset’s EBITDA. Will that sale increase or decrease the company’s Enterprise Value?
It depends on what type of Asset it is. Assuming that it is a core-business Asset, then the sale
will reduce the company’s Enterprise Value because the company is trading away the Asset for
Cash, which is a non-core-business Asset.
If it’s not a core-business Asset, then the company’s Enterprise Value won’t change.
Even though the company’s Enterprise Value decreases in the first case, its EV / EBITDA
multiple increases because the Asset’s multiple was lower than the multiple for the entire
company.
Pretend that the company’s total EBITDA was $100, and this Asset contributed $20 of that
EBITDA. The company’s Enterprise Value before the sale was, therefore, $1,000.
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The company now sells the Asset for $40. After the sale, the company’s Enterprise Value falls by
$40, and its EBITDA falls by $20. So its new EV / EBITDA is $960 / $80, or 12x.
This is why companies often sell under-performing divisions: To boost their valuation multiples
and increase their stock prices.
- Is it accurate to subtract 100% of the Cash balance when moving from Equity Value to
Enterprise Value?
No, but everyone does it anyway. The reasoning is that a portion of any company’s Cash
balance is a “core-business Asset” because the company needs a certain minimum amount of
Cash to continue running its business.
So technically, you should subtract only the Excess Cash, i.e. the portion of the Cash balance
above this number. For example, if the company has $1,000 in Cash but needs only $200 to run
its business, you should subtract $800 rather than $1,000 when calculating Enterprise Value.
However, companies rarely disclose this number, and it is almost impossible to determine on
your own, so in practice, everyone just subtracts the entire Cash balance.