Valuation Basic Flashcards
- What are the 3 major valuation methodologies?
Comparable Companies, Precedent Transactions and Discounted Cash Flow Analysis.
- Rank the 3 valuation methodologies from highest to lowest expected value.
Trick question – there is no ranking that always holds. In general, Precedent
Transactions will be higher than Comparable Companies due to the Control Premium
built into acquisitions.
Beyond that, a DCF could go either way and it’s best to say that it’s more variable than
other methodologies. Often it produces the highest value, but it can produce the lowest
value as well depending on your assumptions.
- When would you not use a DCF in a Valuation?
You do not use a DCF if the company has unstable or unpredictable cash flows (tech or
bio-tech startup) or when debt and working capital serve a fundamentally different role.
For example, banks and financial institutions do not re-invest debt and working capital
is a huge part of their Balance Sheets – so you wouldn’t use a DCF for such companies.
- What other Valuation methodologies are there?
Other methodologies include:
• Liquidation Valuation – Valuing a company’s assets, assuming they are sold off and
then subtracting liabilities to determine how much capital, if any, equity investors
receive
• Replacement Value – Valuing a company based on the cost of replacing its assets
• LBO Analysis – Determining how much a PE firm could pay for a company to hit a
“target” IRR, usually in the 20-25% range
• Sum of the Parts – Valuing each division of a company separately and adding them
together at the end
• M&A Premiums Analysis – Analyzing M&A deals and figuring out the premium
that each buyer paid, and using this to establish what your company is worth
• Future Share Price Analysis – Projecting a company’s share price based on the P / E
multiples of the public company comparables, then discounting it back to its present
value
- When would you use a Liquidation Valuation?
This is most common in bankruptcy scenarios and is used to see whether equity
shareholders will receive any capital after the company’s debts have been paid off. It is
often used to advise struggling businesses on whether it’s better to sell off assets
separately or to try and sell the entire company.
- When would you use Sum of the Parts?
This is most often used when a company has completely different, unrelated divisions –
a conglomerate like General Electric, for example.
If you have a plastics division, a TV and entertainment division, an energy division, a
consumer financing division and a technology division, you should not use the same set
of Comparable Companies and Precedent Transactions for the entire company.
Instead, you should use different sets for each division, value each one separately, and
then add them together to get the Combined Value
- When do you use an LBO Analysis as part of your Valuation?
Obviously you use this whenever you’re looking at a Leveraged Buyout – but it is also
used to establish how much a private equity firm could pay, which is usually lower than
what companies will pay.
It is often used to set a “floor” on a possible Valuation for the company you’re looking at.
- What are the most common multiples used in Valuation?
The most common multiples are EV/Revenue, EV/EBITDA, EV/EBIT, P/E (Share Price /
Earnings per Share), and P/BV (Share Price / Book Value per Share).
- What are some examples of industry-specific multiples?
Technology (Internet): EV / Unique Visitors, EV / Pageviews
Retail / Airlines: EV / EBITDAR (Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation,
Amortization & Rental Expense)
Energy: EV / EBITDAX (Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation, Amortization &
Exploration Expense), EV / Daily Production, EV / Proved Reserve Quantities
Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs): Price / FFO per Share, Price / AFFO per Share
(Funds From Operations, Adjusted Funds From Operations)
Technology and Energy should be straightforward – you’re looking at traffic and energy
reserves as value drivers rather than revenue or profit.
For Retail / Airlines, you add back Rent because some companies own their own
buildings and capitalize the expense whereas others rent and therefore have a rental
expense.
For Energy, all value is derived from companies’ reserves of oil & gas, which explains
the last 2 multiples; EBITDAX exists because some companies capitalize (a portion of)
their exploration expenses and some expense them. You add back the exploration
expense to normalize the numbers.
For REITs, Funds From Operations is a common metric that adds back Depreciation and
subtracts gains on the sale of property. Depreciation is a non-cash yet extremely large
expense in real estate, and gains on sales of properties are assumed to be non-recurring,
so FFO is viewed as a “normalized” picture of the cash flow the REIT is generating.
- When you’re looking at an industry-specific multiple like EV / Scientists or EV /
Subscribers, why do you use Enterprise Value rather than Equity Value?
You use Enterprise Value because those scientists or subscribers are “available” to all the
investors (both debt and equity) in a company. The same logic doesn’t apply to
everything, though – you need to think through the multiple and see which investors
the particular metric is “available” to
- Would an LBO or DCF give a higher valuation?
Technically it could go either way, but in most cases the LBO will give you a lower
valuation.
Here’s the easiest way to think about it: with an LBO, you do not get any value from the
cash flows of a company in between Year 1 and the final year – you’re only valuing it
based on its terminal value.
With a DCF, by contrast, you’re taking into account both the company’s cash flows in
between and its terminal value, so values tend to be higher.
Note: Unlike a DCF, an LBO model by itself does not give a specific valuation. Instead,
you set a desired IRR and determine how much you could pay for the company (the
valuation) based on that.
- How would you present these Valuation methodologies to a company or its
investors?
Usually you use a “football field” chart where you show the valuation range implied by
each methodology. You always show a range rather than one specific number.
As an example, see page 10 of this document (a Valuation done by Credit Suisse for the
Leveraged Buyout of Sungard Data Systems in 2005):
http://edgar.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/789388/000119312505074184/dex99c2.htm
- How would you value an apple tree?
The same way you would value a company: by looking at what comparable apple trees
are worth (relative valuation) and the value of the apple tree’s cash flows (intrinsic
valuation).
Yes, you could do a DCF for anything – even an apple tree.
- Why can’t you use Equity Value / EBITDA as a multiple rather than Enterprise
Value / EBITDA
EBITDA is available to all investors in the company – rather than just equity holders.
Similarly, Enterprise Value is also available to all shareholders so it makes sense to pair
them together.
Equity Value / EBITDA, however, is comparing apples to oranges because Equity Value
does not reflect the company’s entire capital structure – only the part available to equity
investors.
- When would a Liquidation Valuation produce the highest value?
This is highly unusual, but it could happen if a company had substantial hard assets but
the market was severely undervaluing it for a specific reason (such as an earnings miss
or cyclicality).
As a result, the company’s Comparable Companies and Precedent Transactions would
likely produce lower values as well – and if its assets were valued highly enough,
Liquidation Valuation might give a higher value than other methodologies.