Valuation Flashcards
What are the key comparative elements?
- building age and condition
- building spec and layout
- efficiency and adaptability
- legal
- limitations on use
- location
- size
- transaction date
What are the sources of comparable evidence?
Market evidence:
- direct transactional evidence
- publicly available info
(published by gov or e.g. real estate agents)
- published databases
(can provide a background to market trends)
- asking prices
- historic evidence
Indices:
- MSCI indices (cover principal commercial investment markets)
- larger firms of real estate advisors
- bdg cost data indices (for residuals)
AVMs
What is the hierarchy of evidence?
CAT A: direct comparables
- contemporary completed transactions for near-identical properties with full and accurate info
- similar real estate, enough reliable data
- similar real estate marketed, offers, not completed
- asking prices
CAT B: general market data
- info from published sources/commercial databases
- other indirect evidence (e.g. indices)
- historic evidence
- demand/supply data
CAT C: other sources
- transactional evidence from other real estate types and locations
- other background data (e.g. interest rates, stock, market movements)
What factors affect value?
- resi = location, aspect, outlook, physical condition, facilities
- retail = prime/secondary/tertiary, location, size, accessibility, parking ratio, tenant quality and mix, bdg quality
- offices = location, bdg quality, layout, facilities, service costs, bdg efficiency
- industrial = accessibility to transport links, bdg design, size, age, condition
- dev. potential = amount and density of permitted dev,
assumed value of completed dev,
ground conditions, dev costs,
allowance for risk, finance costs - investment: lease terms, break option, covenant, RR, tenure
How do you analyse a comparable?
- establish a common measurement or comparison standard
- analysis of the comparable data to provide meaningful comparable evidence (adjustments):
quantitative (cost of renovation)
qualitative (diff in location) - a matrix format often assists the valuer’s judgement
- valuer has to stand back and weigh up range of evidence
- requires technical ability and experience of relevant market and judgement developed from that experience- the process should lead to a ranking of the comparable evidence and an assessment of where the asset being valued fits into that ranking
How do you deal with a shortage of comparable evidence?
- the valuer has to look further afield and across a wider range of indicators when transactional evidence of direct comps lacking
- uncertainty generated by a lack of comp evidence is a common feature of the real estate market
- ensure the client understands this!
What is a comparable?
- an item of information used during the valuation process as evidence to support the valuation of another, similar item
- val of any asset relies on the economic principle of substitution
- ideally, comparable evidence should be:
comprehensive;
very similar;
recent;
the result of an arm’s length transaction in the market;
verifiable;
consistent with local market practice;
the result of underlying demand
Why might comparables not meet ideal criteria?
- a limited no. of available comparable transactions
- a lack of up-to-date evidence
- special purchasers
- a lack of similar or identical evidence
- real estate markets are not fully transparent
What valuation approaches might you use comparables in?
Market approach:
- adopts the principle that the value of one property may be derived by comparing it directly with market transactions of similar properties
Income approach:
- investment method
net rental income and a capitalisation factor
DCF key inputs inc rent, rental growth rate, discount rate
- profits method
assessment of a fair and maintainable level of trade
Cost approach:
- DRC 2 components: depreciated cost of bdg and val of land
What is a reversionary yield?
the Market Rent expressed as a % of the Purchase Price or Market Value
What is an initial yield?
the net income at the date of purchase expressed as a % of the Purchase Price
How did you/would you value an over-rented investment?
Term and reversion
- the term income has the higher risk
- the term income is capitalised at a higher rate than the reversionary income to reflect the risk
- the % uplift from the market-rented rate is a function of
the amount of over-renting
the time period until reversion to the market rent
the quality of the tenant’s covenant
if tenant of 1st class covenant, no risk so market rent rate
Hardcore
- the top slice income (overage/froth) is capitalised from now until reversion
Explain the process of the hardcore/layer technique?
(under-rented)
- the bottom slice of the income is capitalised at below the market-rented rate to reflect the reduced risk
- the top slice is capitalised above this rate to reflect the increased risk
Explain the process of the term and reversion technique?
(under-rented)
- the term is capitalised at a rate slightly lower than the market-rented rate to reflect the reduced risk
- the rent at review/reversion should arguably be an increased risk as it is not yet agreed
What techniques can be used to value an under-rented reversionary investment?
- term and reversion
- hardcore/layer
What is a reversionary investment?
A reversionary freehold is an investment that is let at a rent other than the Market Rent
- traditionally, under-rented
- can be over-rented
How is rental and capital growth accounted for in a conventional investment valuation?
Expectations of rental growth are not made explicit in the valuation but are implicit in the capitalisation rate
What would you do if you had to value an investment property but could not find any evidence of yields?
gilt yield + risk premium - growth rate
How would you carry out a diminution valuation in relation to a dilapidations claim?
usually carry out vals of property “in compliance” and “out of compliance” (not Red Book val)
- assess MV of property in each condition
- likely purchaser of property in each condition
- vals may be required for each scenario
- val date is termination date
- judgement as to whether items in SoD ind or cumulatively likely to affect value and how cost of remedial work is reflected in val if at all
What is “supersession” in relation to dilapidations claims?
e.g. where a LL completed remedial work that is grander than “basic”;
sometimes the LL’s claim could have been superseded
i.e. if the LL would still have undertaken the grander work or the market demands grander work be undertaken,
whereas at other times the LL would still be able to claim for the cost of basic remedials
What is recoverable under dilaps according to Dilapidations GN 2016?
typically the lower of the cost of the works and diminution of value of the LL’s reversion as a consequence of the T’s breaches
s18 of LTA 1927 limits the damages:
Limb 1: damages shall not exceed the amount by which the value of the reversion is diminished
Limb 2: no damage shall be recovered for a breach if the premises would at or shortly after termination be pulled down or structurally altered
(an example of “supersession”)
Why do property investors require a risk premium?
to adequately compensate them for the risk taken
What do you understand by the expression risk premium?
comprises Market Risks and Specific Risks
What is a risk-free rate?
the gross redemption yield on UK gilts