unit 7 economy test Flashcards
what is the business (economic) cycle
- the level of demand in most markets is influenced by the rate of economic growth
- economies vary in terms of their ‘normal’ long term growth. A mature economy like the UK has a long term growth rate of around 2-3%.
- GDP growth will vary depending on the state of the economic cycle
what is a net importer
a country or territory whose value of imported goods and services is higher than its exported goods and services over a given period of time.
what is GDP
measure of the value of output (activity) in the economy
what is demand
- how much of a good or service a consumer wants and is able to pay for
- for a business, demand turns into revenues
what are the stages of the business cycle
- the sequence of slump, recovery, boom and recession
what are the main causes of the business cycle
- changes in the level of business and consumer confidence
- alternating periods of stocking and de-stocking
- changes in the value of consumer spending and business investment
- changes in government policy which can induce a change in the economy
whats boom in the business cycle
high levels of consumer spending, business confidence, profits and investment. Prices and costs also tend to rise faster. Unemployment tends to be low
whats recession in the business cycle
falling levels of consumer spending and confidence mean lower profits for businesses - which start to cut back on investment. Space capacity increases + rising unemployment
whats slump in the business cycle
very weak consumer spending and business investment; many business failures; rapidly rising unemployment; prices may start falling
whats recovery in the business cycle
things start to get better; consumers begin to increase spending; businesses feel a little more confident and start to invest again; but it takes time for employment to stop growing
strategies during a recession
- diversification into new markets
- restructuring and delayering to reduce cost and minimise risks
- greater investment, often when firms cut investment when struggling during a recession larger firms may be able to get ahead by investing eg apple, Dyson
- sales promotions and price cuts
- cutting costs/cost minimisation, reduced R&D, pay freezes, pay cuts, redundancies, different working patterns
- mergers and takeovers, BA & Iberia
what is an exchange rate
- an exchange rate is the price of one currency expressed in terms of another currency.
- the exchange rate determines how much of one currency has to be given up in order to buy a specific amount of another currency
ways exchange rates impact business activity
- price of exports in international markets
- cost of goods bought from overseas
- revenues and profits earned overseas
- converting cash receipts from customers overseas
what might cause an increase in the exchange rate
- increasing demand for exports = higher demand for the currency
- lower demand for imports = lower demand for the currency
- speculation, traders may bet that the exchange rate will rise
- an increase In interest rates, making it more attractive to hold the currency
- foreign direct investment into the country, higher demand for the currency
factors affecting the significance of exchange rates on businesses
- the impact of changes in exchange rates on businesses will depend on:
- how much they export to other economies
- whether domestic businesses face strong competition from overseas firms in their markets
- how much a business relies on importing goods and services from overseas in order to operate
- the price elasticity of demand (PED) for a business’ products.
what does SPICED stand for
strong
pound
imports
cheaper
exports
dearer
what is inflation
inflation is a sustained increase in the average price level of an economy
how is inflation measured
- by the annual percentage change in the level of prices as measured by the consumer price index
- a sustained fall in the general price level os called deflation, in this situation the rate of inflation becomes negative
effects on inflation on consumers
- money loses value and people lose confidence in money as the value of savings is reduced
- inflation can get out of control, price increases lead to higher wage demands as people try to maintain their living standard
whats consumer price index (CPI)
- the consumer price index is the main measure of inflation for the UK
- the government has set up the Bank of England a target for inflation (using CPI) of 2%
- the aim of this target is to achieve a sustained period of low and stable inflation
- low inflation is also known as price stability
why was the rate of inflation so low in the uk (until post pandemic)
- falling global commodity prices including oil
- slow wage growth in the labour market
- falling food prices (globally and supermarket price wars)
- sustained price deflation in technology products
- slower real economic growth, falling towards 2%
- still some spare capacity on the supply side of the economy
why did inflation rise in 2022
- inflation in the Uk peeked at 11.1% in October 2022. interest rates increased in a bid to control the economy.
- higher energy costs, soaring wages as companies struggle to fill vacancies and disruption along supply chains
- external shock - war in Ukraine gas disrupted supply chains of gas, oil and wheat
- current inflation rate is 2.2% (October 2024), fallen from 6.8% (July 2023)
possible causes of demand pull inflation
- an appreciation of the exchange rate decreases the price of imports
- a reduction in direct or indirect taxation, consumers have more disposable income causing more demand
- rising consumer confidence and an increase in the rate of growth of house prices
- fasters rates of economic growth In other countries, providing a boost to Uk export overseas.
what are the two types of inflation
- demand pull (when there is excess demand)
- cost push (when costs arise)
whats demand pull inflation
- occurs when there is excess aggregate demand in the economy or market
- businesses respond to high demand by raising prices to increase their profit margins
- demand pull inflation is associated with the boom phase of the business cycle
whats cost push inflation
occurs when costs of production are increasing
causes:
- external shocks
- a depreciation in the exchange rate
- acceleration in wages
what happens?
- firms raise prices to protect their profit margins
- ‘wages often follow prices’
- a rise in inflation can lead to rising inflationary expectations
inflation costs and consequences
- money loses its values and people lose confidence in money as the value of savings is reduced
- inflation can get out of control, price increases lead to higher wage demands as people try to maintain their living standards. this is known as a wage price spiral
- consumers and businesses on fixed incomes lose out because their income falls, employees in poor bargaining positions lose out
- inflation can favour borrowers at the expense if savers
- inflation can disrupt businesses planning and lead to lower capital investment
is inflation always bad for businesses
no some inflation is good for business
- industry wide price rises enable revenues to grow
- growing revenues + constant gross margin = higher gross profit
- makes using debt as a source of finance cheaper in real terms
whats fiscal policy
the use of government spending, taxation and borrowing to acheive relevant objection
whats monetary policy
use of interest rates to determine cost of money
what are the fiscal taxes
- income tax
- corporation tax
- VAT
what are taxes spent on by the government
- health
- education
- social security