Understanding Health Inequalities Flashcards
Why is it difficult to identify causes of illness in public health data?
Public health data is observational data
We need experimental data
What is meant by experimental data?
A group of people with similar characteristics is randomly divided into 2 groups
The only difference between these 2 groups is exposure status
If you see a difference in outcome, you know it is due to exposure as all the other characteristics are the same
What is meant by observational data?
The selection of people in the exposed and unexposed groups is NOT random
The groups will be different in exposure, but also an array of other characteristics
You don’t know which characteristic results in the difference in health
Under what circumstances is an association most likely to be causal?
An association is most likely to be causal when the exposure is both necessary and sufficient for the outcome to happen
What is meant by necessity?
What is meant by sufficiency?
Necessity:
The exposure must be in place in order for the outcome to happen
Sufficiency:
The exposure always leads to an outcome
Why are risk factors in public health data often neither necessary or sufficient?
Illness can happen without the risk factor of interest
e.g. Different exposures may lead to the same illness
presence of the risk factor does not always lead to illness
Why are associations often seen in observational data?
- Exposure could cause the outcome
- Reverse causation - the outcome may actually be causing the exposure
- Bi-directional causation - there is a feedback loop between exposure and outcome
- Confounding - exposure and outcome are both consequences of something else
What are the three conclusions that must be considered when it comes to public health data?
- We cannot observe causal effects in public health data - only associations between risk factors and health outcomes
- Reverse causation and confounding bias are the main challenges to drawing causal relationships from public health data
- Statistical association does not necessarily imply a cause and effect relationship
Under what 3 circumstances is a causal relationship from public health data more plausible?
- Potential sources of confounding have been thought about and dealt with in some way
- There is less potential for reverse causation
- The association meets a wider set of criteria that are consistent with causality
How may potential sources of confounding have been thought about and dealt with in some way?
- Stratifying into groups can identify whether there is potential for confounding bias
- Statistical adjustment in a regression model allows us to take into account multiple confounders at the same time
How can you identify if there is less potential for reverse causation?
Look at longitudinal data
e.g. Levels of depression amongst unemployed and employed throughout a period of time
Use the same data and swap around
e.g. what is the level of unemployment amongst those who were and weren’t diagnosed with depression within the same time frame
What guidelines are used to think about whether something is causal or not?
Bradford Hill Guidelines
This is a set of 9 guidelines
What are the 9 components of the Bradford Hill guidelines?
- Strength
- Consistency
- Specificity
- Temporality
- Biological gradient
- Plausibility
- Coherence
- Experiment
- Analogy
What is meant by ‘strength’?
Strong associations are more likely to be causal than weak ones
What is meant by consistency?
Has the same association been observed in different populations?
Has the same association been observed using different methods?