Topics 1-3 Flashcards
Risk management process (key steps_)_
The risk management process involves the following five steps:
- Step 1: Identify the risks.
- Step 2 : Quantify and estimate the risk exposures or determine appropriate methods to transfer the risks.
- Step 3 : Determine the collective effects of the risk exposures or perform a cost-benefit analysis on risk transfer methods.
- Step 4: Develop a risk mitigation strategy (i.e., avoid, transfer, mitigate, or assume risk).
- Step 5: Assess performance and amend risk mitigation strategy as needed.
In what circumstances is VaR an appropriate measure of risk?
VaR is a useful measure for liquid positions operating under normal market circumstances over a short period of time.
It is less useful and potentially dangerous when attempting to measure risk in non-normal circumstances, in illiquid positions, and over a long period of time.
Economic capital, definition
Economic capital refers to holding sufficient liquid reserves to cover a potential loss.
What is the correlation risk?
Correlation risk happens when unfavorable events happen together.
The correlation risk drives up the potential losses to unexpected levels.
Influence of risk tolerance on relationship between risk and return?
When risk tolerances are high, the spread between riskless and risky bonds may narrow to an abnormally low level, which again disguises the true relationship between risk and return.
Market risk and its subtypes
Market risk considers how changes in market prices and rates will result in investment losses.
There are four subtypes of market risk:
- (1) interest rate risk
- (2) equity price risk
- (3) foreign exchange risk, and
- (4) commodity price risk.
Basis risk, definition
Basis risk - the presumed correlation between the price of a bond and
the price of the hedging vehicle used to hedge that bond has changed unfavorably.
Equity price risk
Equity price risk refers to the volatility of stock prices. It can be broken up into two parts:
- (1) general market risk, which is the sensitivity of the price of a stock to changes in broad market indices, and
- (2) specific risk, which is the sensitivity of the price of a stock due to unique factors of the entity (e.g., line of business, strategic weaknesses).
Subtypes of credit risk, Bankruptcy risk
There are four subtypes of credit risk:
- (1) default risk
- (2) bankruptcy risk
- (3) downgrade risk, and
- (4) settlement risk.
Bankruptcy risk involves taking possession of any collateral provided by the defaulting counterparty. The risk is that the liquidation value of the collateral is insufficient to recover the full loss on default.
Liquidity risk and its subtypes
Liquidity risk is subdivided into two parts:
- (1) funding liquidity risk and
- (2) trading liquidity risk.
Funding liquidity risk occurs when an entity is unable to pay down or refinance its debt, satisfy any cash obligations to counterparties, or fund any capital withdrawals.
Trading liquidity risk occurs when an entity is unable to buy or sell a security at the market price due to a temporary inability to find a counterparty to transact on the other side of the trade.
Operational risk, definition
Operational risk considers a wide range of “non-financial” problems such as inadequate computer systems (technology risk), insufficient internal controls, incompetent management, fraud (e.g., losses due to intentional falsification of information), human error (e.g., losses due to incorrect data entry or accidental deletion of a file), and natural disasters.
Business risk. definition
Business risk revolves around uncertainty regarding the entity’s income statement, although, in practice, there is a substantial amount of integration with strategic and reputation risk.
Strategic risk
Strategic risk can be thought of in the context of large new business investments, which carry a high degree of uncertainty as to ultimate success and profitability.
Reputation risk
Reputation risk consists of two parts:
- (1) the general perceived trustworthiness of an entity (i.e., that the entity is able and willing to meet its obligations to its creditors and counterparties) and
- (2) the general perception that the entity engages in fair dealing and conducts business in an ethical manner.
Evaluate some advantages and disadvantages of hedging risk exposures
There are some theoretical reasons for a firm not to hedge risk exposures but most of those reasons make the unrealistic assumption of perfect capital markets, which is not realistic. Also, they ignore the existence of the significant costs of financial distress and bankruptcy.
However, in practice, there are some valid reasons not to hedge, including the distraction from focusing on the core business, lack of skills and knowledge, and transaction and compliance costs.
Many reasons exist for a firm to hedge its risk exposures. Key reasons include:
- lowering the cost of capital
- reducing volatility of reported earnings
- operational improvements, and
- potential cost savings over traditional insurance products.