topic 3- exponential pop growth Flashcards
what is the exponential (cont) pop growth model
Nt=N0e^rt -dN/dt for this one is integrated - pop size at time dN/dt=rN - cont. differential equation pop growth rate
what are we interested with? assumptions?
Interested in continuous growth
Assume time interval is infinitely small (t approaches 0)
discrete time model vs exponential
deltaN/deltat=(b-d)N from discrete model is replaced with dN/dt=(b-d)N
it is derivative - describes how a function changes as input changes
what is pop growth now descirbed by? variables?
population growth is now described by the change in population size (dN) occurring
during an infinitely small time interval (dt)
b & d are now “instantaneous” rates
b-d=r
r = instantaneous rate Of increase
(aka: intrinsic rate of increase, finite rate of increase, Malthusian parameter
solve differential equation?
dN/dt=rN - differential equation, output = instantaneous pop growth rate
solve by integration ->
Nt=N0e^rt
geometric vs exponential model? look at the graphs
geometric
- pop size in intervals
-pop growth rate (slope) deltaN/deltaT is the same from (t) to (t+1)
exponential
-smooth line
pop cont. reproducing/increasing
-cont changing slope/ pop growth rate (dN/dt)
how do geometric and exponential behave similarly?
follow same curve
λ=e^r
r= loge(λ)= In(λ)
how is the pop growth rate approximated? how does it change?
• Population growth rate Population growth rate (dN/dt) is approximated by the slope of the line tangent to the curve at any point in time (t) Population growth rate changes continually over time Populations increase at an accelerating rate for the exponential model
pop growth for different values of r or λ
r>0 or λ>1 = pop grows
r=0 or λ=1 = pop constant
r<0 or λ<1 = pop decline
convert exponential model to linear model
Nt=N0e^rt becomes In(Nt)=In(N0) +rt
In(No) is y intercept
r is slope
if r is contant, the log of N will be a linear function of ti,e
exponential doubling time?
In(2)/r=t
if r is 0 = undefined
if d>b, r is negative
assumptions?
• Closed population
• Unlimited resources & constant
environment (b, d, r constant)
• All individuals identical (b & d) or average b
& d is constant throughout time (stable age-
class distribution)
• Continuous growth with no time lags